dryslot Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Just now, mreaves said: They are still riding in Bennington county though by the time this would happen, it will likely be gone. Even if that were to verify, I would still be below normal on the season.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 At least Ray is porked by folks to the north. Maybe that is a better porking vs a southerly porking? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Where was this a month or so ago? Jesus. Lol, exactly. But Ma nature gives it to you when ...SHE wants to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Dendy's concern level now up to 10%. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Wait till the EPS comes out with zero members showing that lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 CNE/NNE People complaining about a foot snow storm progged by euro in Late March ...embarrassing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Wait till the EPS comes out with zero members showing that lol There is no way you don't feel a little tingle still with late season events at your location. Don't effing lie. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: CNE/NNE People complaining about a foot snow storm progged by euro in Late March ...embarrassing So much for the "hardy" New Englander. I don't wants dews and don't want late season snow. Just put them all in a wheelchair. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 Dryslot is hitting the shuffleboard courts at The Villages in FL at 6pm. Be there or be square. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Dryslot is hitting the shuffleboard courts at The Villages in FL at 6pm. Be there or be square. More like i'll be hitting the vape and bottle. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 yeah ... I still say there's too much amplitude/ zealous correction applied between the upper MW on D4 ...to what the Euro carries along D5 over the southern Lakes... Which then means it ends up with -3 SD along the S. coast of SNE - Which in itself is not unusual, but having that suspicious relay at mid range west of there .. It is a noted thing the Euro does around that temporal seam - roid rage. Also, the heights over the SE U.S. don't typically register that high when that sort of depth is issued at 40 N ... Red flags... I suggest modulating that toward an NJ model low and narrowing the corridor of impact - if there is any.. It is noted that the GFS just wants that as cold fropa - but..the GFS has an N/Stream speed bias too so ... basically, two forms of error bias vying for believability - lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: There is no way you don't feel a little tingle still with late season events at your location. Don't effing lie. Of course I’d take that in SNE but it’s not even a threat as shown like that up north. Maybe it snows at the resorts, but this pattern doesn’t allow for a massive Bomb like that . Let’s cut it way north which is much more likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 I'll say it, Not happening James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: CNE/NNE People complaining about a foot snow storm progged by euro in Late March ...embarrassing Wake me up when it verifies. Euro has given me dozens of feet of snow that verified as partly cloudy and OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: Wake me up when it verifies. Euro has given me dozens of feet of snow that verified as partly cloudy and OTS. We know you will be nude in Randolph dipping your weenie in snow drifts ...”yup at least 3.5” depth here” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 Given how other guidance looks, that isn't a far fetched look for NNE at least. Not sure why so many are dismissing it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There is no way you don't feel a little tingle still with late season events at your location. Don't effing lie. He’d be the first calling for 4-8 when it shows 2-4. Nobody is believing that magnitude at the moment...but the bigger takeaway, is it just shows that 2012 this is not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: He’d be the first calling for 4-8 when it shows 2-4. Nobody is believing that at the moment...but the bigger takeaway, is it just shows that 2012 this is not. I will say this is one of the best wx stretches in late March that I can recall outside of 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Given how other guidance looks, that isn't a far fetched look for NNE at least. Not sure why so many are dismissing it. Not dismissing it, The GFS and GGEM and Uncle have it too at varying degrees, I would favor elevation and northern areas though right now, That air mass has a cold look to it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Given how other guidance looks, that isn't a far fetched look for NNE at least. Not sure why so many are dismissing it. LOL Seasonal pattern. Maybe now that it’s basically spring the pattern has shifted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Hopefully another 25-50"er for the CNE/NNE crew. Let's go!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: LOL Seasonal pattern. Maybe now that it’s basically spring the pattern has shifted. I wouldn't use persistence for events that happened 1-2 months ago. I hate persistence in general, but I get what you mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I wouldn't use persistence for events that happened 1-2 months ago. I hate persistence in general, but I get what you mean. I’m definitely onboard with it. This is basically MD winter now. 70 degrees and then a MECS the next day. Feels like home. I hope the Euro verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 20 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: CNE/NNE People complaining about a foot snow storm progged by euro in Late March ...embarrassing I don't understand it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 EPS looking good for Phin to Maine now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: This wx is pants tent to the 100th power. Feels like we are going to pay for it down the road. May 2021 is going to suck isn't it? Endless 55 F and drizzle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 68.0 on my Davis right now. Solid ~ +20 2012 lite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 7 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: May 2021 is going to suck isn't it? Endless 55 F and drizzle. Noose worthy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Given how other guidance looks, that isn't a far fetched look for NNE at least. Not sure why so many are dismissing it. I know I said it was unlikely a couple of days ago but the models have changed since then. The chances of a massive ocean low have increased quite a bit. We have seen the changes we needed to see in the Atlantic, instead of a consolidated polar vortex over the pole we have a piece diving into the central us, phasing with the southern stream. We also have a small lobe east of Nova Scotia, which creates a mechanism to prevent the storm from escaping, leading to a slow mover. Imo the euro solution that gives NNE 2 feet is very possible and cannot be dismissed. Hell even down in se mass I’m watching it. This is going to be a big one, and the models have the track only 50 miles too late for us in southeast mass. If we can get that lobe east of Nova Scotia to back in to the south and west a bit, it will force the low to transfer farther south and undergo earlier cyclogenesis. If this happens, the storm would stall over nantucket instead of the gulf of Maine, which would bring those 2ft+ totals into all of eastern mass including the cape. Yes it will start as rain, but due to the rapid cyclogenesis the low will create its own cold air and will dynamically cool the atmosphere which will not only change the rain to snow, but it will increase the ratios as well. Since the low is going to stall, a slow moving blizzard is very possible if not likely and the areas to the north and west of the low where it stalls will easily get over 2 feet, possibly 3-4 feet (likely in the mountains). Honestly even James and Anthony are in the game, they need a lot more to go right but the pattern currently modeled suggests there is room for the low to transfer farther south. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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