40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Euro really parks good banding from my area into NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Def looks more like GFS/NAM mm ...i might pull the trigger on a low confidence Watch and sort of bold/highlight it as likely to go down to Advisory pending more cycles. OH wait heh...is this still 4th period even. Actually don't do anything I guess for now accept model ogle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Euro really parks good banding from my area into NH Kind of meager back here so I would like another tick or two North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Lock it up. Different than Rays Narcan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 22 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Probably a noticeable difference between N VT and N NH though. Depends, north of the Whites probably skews much harder into nickel and dime but Phin does synoptic well. Alex, Pittsburgh, CT Lakes etc is very heavily mesoscale climate oriented. I guess years of JSpin explaining stuff makes me wonder about things like Phin sees 40” and 4” QPF like his neighbor since Feb 1st... is the experience different if it’s four distinct 1.0” QPF for 10” of snow type trackable storms... rather than small amounts every single day that add up to that same total. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lock it up. Different than Rays Narcan We take. 5-6” is a nice lil event this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Elevation will Jack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 First Call. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/03/snowy-friday-morning-commute-possible.html Final will be Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 I think I need every bit of that 10" here in Ayer to end the season 'normal' - or within reasonability of that distinction. I'd like that... so that a "normal" winter is officially "not good enough" for those in the area that have turned this pass-time into a life-defining codependency complex lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lock it up. Different than Rays Narcan Probably kuchera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: First Call. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/03/snowy-friday-morning-commute-possible.html Final will be Friday. After the snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 I'm tellin' ya man... just a matter of time and we'll get a 70 F legit ambient temperature over a snow pack - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Probably kuchera. We have this deep cold interjecting with some nice vertical velocities which should yield increasingly higher ratios. Damn nice flash freeze. Stay home Friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Depends, north of the Whites probably skews much harder into nickel and dime but Phin does synoptic well. Alex, Pittsburgh, CT Lakes etc is very heavily mesoscale climate oriented. I guess years of JSpin explaining stuff makes me wonder about things like Phin sees 40” and 4” QPF like his neighbor since Feb 1st... is the experience different if it’s four distinct 1.0” QPF for 10” of snow type trackable storms... rather than small amounts every single day that add up to that same total. Greedy here I want both from Dec 1st to March 21st. As long as it doesn't melt or sublimate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: After the snow? Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Upper 20's yesterday with wind, mid-30's and clouds today and then snow Thurs night into Fri. Hell of a way to run a mild week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 3 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Can we just graduate drought in New England to the top of the fraud five and be done with this nonsense? Only if 1963 thru August 1966 gets wiped off the records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, tamarack said: Only if 1963 thru August 1966 gets wiped off the records. Was that region wide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Elevation will Jack Nah warm. Toss any snow right? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 We did try and try and try to tell them. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 34 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I think I need every bit of that 10" here in Ayer to end the season 'normal' - or within reasonability of that distinction. I'd like that... so that a "normal" winter is officially "not good enough" for those in the area that have turned this pass-time into a life-defining codependency complex lol The sucky January made it worse even though the records will show it was average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We did try and try and try to tell them. Yes we did. Dewsh and DIT going down in flames for the winter is over calls. Yesterday frigid with wind. Today Raw cloudy and cold, plowable snow Thursday night/Friday. So much for the seasonably mild and snow over BS. Some Bad calls by them. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm tellin' ya man... just a matter of time and we'll get a 70 F legit ambient temperature over a snow pack - It's happened here in 2001, 08, 12 and 17, all but 2012 in April. 4/24/01 needed to reach 80 to wipe out the final 4" of pack that spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: Yes we did. Dewsh and DIT going down in flames for the winter is over calls. Yesterday frigid with wind. Today Raw cloudy and cold, plowable snow Thursday night/Friday. So much for the seasonably mild and snow over BS. LOL it’s all good, but the EPs had this signal for a long time. Even when the euro op was a cutter it showed it under SNE. We’ll see what happened because this will be tough to pin down, but hopefully at least an advisory event for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: LOL it’s all good, but the EPs had this signal for a long time. Even when the euro op was a cutter it showed it under SNE. We’ll see what happened because this will be tough to pin down, but hopefully at least an advisory event for many. Of course it’s all good..but gotta call em on it when they were so sure everything was spring time and flowers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 OKX thinks the cold arrives too late to make an impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Based on what I see on the models today they are close but not quite there when it comes to phasing. This could very well phase and produce a monster ocean low if it keeps trending, but there isn’t a whole lot of time. Instead it looks like the streams will phase a little bit over western NY (a bit better than yesterday’s models having the northern steam diving into central NY, which would allow the low to strengthen a little more). The setup is quite marginal with there not being a strong cold air mass in place, which explains why the models have the storm starting as rain. As it is right now, I’m not really buying the 6-12 snow maps as the low is not strong enough to create its enough cold air to dynamically cool the atmosphere and increase the snow ratios, so the 6-12 inch snow maps would translate to 2-4 inches of wet snow. If we can get that northern stream to dive 200 miles west however it’s a whole nother story. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Regardless of snow, the winds should howl for a while heading into Friday morning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: Regardless of snow, the winds should howl for a while heading into Friday morning. It’s been too windy lately. I don’t have any use for it unless it can take down a few sick trees on my property, cut them up, and haul them away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 14 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yes we did. Dewsh and DIT going down in flames for the winter is over calls. Yesterday frigid with wind. Today Raw cloudy and cold, plowable snow Thursday night/Friday. So much for the seasonably mild and snow over BS. Some Bad calls by them. we have only been discussing this upcoming mix event for 8 days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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