Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 1 minute ago, MJOatleast7 said: Off tobic, but...anybody catch that warm-core system near Bermuda end of next week? Way too early to talk TCs but still... That's very baroclinic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: More like a Holliston to ORH jack well we'll see - If the Euro arrives and there's some EPS movement too - ...watches go up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: well we'll see - If the Euro arrives and there's some EPS movement too - ...watches go up. Yea, I am in wait and see....if Euro confirms, then get more aggressive....but I do not trust the GFS, as it maybe too N stream happy. What that does confirm is that if the N steam does get more involved, its def a warning a event....that map is derived from GFS thermals with a very thermally grouchy algorithm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Having the NAM largely agree does give pause before summarily dismissing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Having the NAM largely agree does give pause before summarily dismissing. This is why - really - I'm willing to wait on the Euro frankly .. I mean, as a baser deterministic forecasting philosophy - duh - we don't auto 86 any solution... It's a matter of gradation of inclusion to put some weird syllables to it .. Like, .01% ICON ...hahahaha Anyway, that agreement is giving this a kind of 'sneak up and bite' appeal to it..and though what I mentioned off the Euro is factually and empirically correct, it still is not 100% infallible - of course not. Hopefully, we get no agreement at any point leading Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Seasonal pattern FTW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 12 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Seasonal pattern FTW. That’s the way it goes in New England some years...It’s the Tenor for 20-21. Next year it’ll be a different tenor...maybe you’ll like next years better? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 19 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Seasonal pattern FTW. It's pretty anomalous for your area to go 6 weeks in winter with nothing over 2", especially when there have been storms to track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 41 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: More like a Holliston to ORH jack ahhhh, already loving my new location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It's pretty anomalous for your area to go 6 weeks in winter with nothing over 2", especially when there have been storms to track. Yep, but got some snow this weekend at least. Looks really dry the rest of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 At the risk of slamming the door on the winter of 20-21, is anyone going to start a thread for Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 hmm... didn't realize this was happening but the American telecon layout is looking increasingly shitty as of late. Hadn't been checkin' But, modestly positive PNA by D10 with NAO slipping negative among most members could really turn that pattern ugly at our latitude/ geographic climo after next week's warm up. - may just be the seasonal lag coming back to destroy orchard crops with snow flurries in May again and again as the new paradigm because CC is not happening ... weeeee. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 15 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It's pretty anomalous for your area to go 6 weeks in winter with nothing over 2", especially when there have been storms to track. I mean it does happen, but as JSpin pointed out he still had like 40” in the past 6 weeks and likely had numerous 2”+ events just not falling within the 24 hour Cocorahs time scale. Maybe it feels different but that is a large part of NNE Mtn climo... tons and tons of light events that add up to many inches. The last event was like 8” up there I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Man today feels colder than yesterday due to the lack of sun. Bring on the warmth after Friday’s potential snow chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Not really relevant to us I suppose but man ...TX to eastern OK could be raked off the face of the planet by cyclic EF5 swarms in that look on D6 to 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 10 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: At the risk of slamming the door on the winter of 20-21, is anyone going to start a thread for Friday? I would appreciate it if you would...maybe you can eeyore it into a minor event so I can be in school 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 58 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: More like a Holliston to ORH jack I can’t get that map to look like that in the heart of January. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Not really relevant to us I suppose but man ...TX to eastern OK could be raked off the face of the planet by cyclic EF5 swarms in that look on D6 to 7 @weatherwiz will be disappoint if he's not out there then 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 19 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: hmm... didn't realize this was happening but the American telecon layout is looking increasingly shitty as of late. Hadn't been checkin' But, modestly positive PNA by D10 with NAO slipping negative among most members could really turn that pattern ugly at our latitude/ geographic climo after next week's warm up. - may just be the seasonal lag coming back to destroy orchard crops with snow flurries in May again and again as the new paradigm because CC is not happening ... weeeee. Anthony just relieved himself in the back of his squad car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Anthony just relieved himself in the back of his squad car. Why ... it's not a snow pattern ...it's an 'ugly' pattern - as in unilateral ass pounding, all preferences failed. actually hyperbole aside it could be just giga motions in the ensembles. It's just that that seasonal lag thing is real - that part has been taking place where we get these obnoxious asynchronous cold patterns in April and May... I'm sort of getting gun shy and weary that the muzzle's always pointed out our springs because of that seemingly growing dependable oddity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Euro with a widespread advisory event with some 7-8" across some elevations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 28 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I mean it does happen, but as JSpin pointed out he still had like 40” in the past 6 weeks and likely had numerous 2”+ events just not falling within the 24 hour Cocorahs time scale. Maybe it feels different but that is a large part of NNE Mtn climo... tons and tons of light events that add up to many inches. The last event was like 8” up there I think. Probably a noticeable difference between N VT and N NH though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 10 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: Euro with a widespread advisory event with some 7-8" across some elevations Any maps? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 11 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: Euro with a widespread advisory event with some 7-8" across some elevations Quick 2-4" for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Def looks more like GFS/NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Quick 2-4" for many. 3-6 THIS RUN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Any maps? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Why ... it's not a snow pattern ...it's an 'ugly' pattern - as in unilateral ass pounding, all preferences failed. actually hyperbole aside it could be just giga motions in the ensembles. It's just that that seasonal lag thing is real - that part has been taking place where we get these obnoxious asynchronous cold patterns in April and May... I'm sort of getting gun shy and weary that the muzzle's always pointed out our springs because of that seemingly growing dependable oddity He doesn’t like warmth. Him and Mitch will high five each other to 40s and clouds in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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