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March 2021 Weather Discussion


CoastalWx
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  On 3/9/2021 at 1:59 PM, Ginx snewx said:

How much did you have for ORH NYC BDL versus actual 

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ORH and NYC were too low...I thought the most snow would be NE, instead of SW.

December-March Snowfall Outlook

 
City
Predicted Snowfall
Actual
Forecast Error
Boston, MA
40-50"
?
?
NewYork, NY(Central Park)
11-21"
?
?
Philadelphia, PA
11-21"
?
?
Baltimore, MD
10-20"
?
?
Washington, DC
5-15"
?
?
Albany, NY
52-62"
?
?
Hartford, CT
40-50"
?
?
Providence, RI
25-35"
?
?
Worcester, MA
50-60"
?
?
Tolland, CT
40-50"
?
?
Methuen, MA
50-60"
?
?
Hyannis, MA
15-25"
?
?
Burlington, VT
80-90"
 
?
?
Portland, ME
70-80"
?
?
Concord, NH
65-75"
?
?
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  On 3/9/2021 at 1:57 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would agree, but I would like another inch or two just to nail a couple of more cities on my seasonal forecast.

I had 50-60" IMBY (current 49.5") and 40-50" in Boston (38.4").

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Jesus Ray, that's damn close as is, might as well root for a foot and hit your top end.

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  On 3/9/2021 at 2:33 PM, CoastalWx said:

Ooof. I admit it was a tougher call near the coast, but the day before it started, things started to become clear it was a biggie even at BOS. Even where I am now had 2'.

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I remember it snowed most of the day in the city, but nothing was sticking the day that it started.  Took the train home and got on 128 and there was a little snow in Westwood.  Got off on route 28 in Randolph and everything was snow covered including the roads and we already had 3 or 4 inches.  Huge difference in just a few miles.

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  On 3/9/2021 at 2:38 PM, HimoorWx said:

I remember it snowed most of the day in the city, but nothing was sticking the day that it started.  Took the train home and got on 128 and there was a little snow in Westwood.  Got off on route 28 in Randolph and everything was snow covered including the roads and we already had 3 or 4 inches.  Huge difference in just a few miles.

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I was working in BOS on 3/7/13....took the train home. Accumulations were noticeable once past 128 in Wellesley, and by the time I got back to ORH, there was about 4-5". But nobody thought the 20"+ amounts were happening even that evening. I was still on the 9-14" bandwagon. The firehose just went insane after midnight it was like consistent 1-2" per hour for the next 8-10 hours.

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  On 3/9/2021 at 2:41 PM, ORH_wxman said:

I was working in BOS on 3/7/13....took the train home. Accumulations were noticeable once past 128 in Wellesley, and by the time I got back to ORH, there was about 4-5". But nobody thought the 20"+ amounts were happening even that evening. I was still on the 9-14" bandwagon. The firehose just went insane after midnight it was like consistent 1-2" per hour for the next 8-10 hours.

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I remember going 12-20”

One of my top 3 favorite storms 

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  On 3/9/2021 at 2:38 PM, HimoorWx said:

I remember it snowed most of the day in the city, but nothing was sticking the day that it started.  Took the train home and got on 128 and there was a little snow in Westwood.  Got off on route 28 in Randolph and everything was snow covered including the roads and we already had 3 or 4 inches.  Huge difference in just a few miles.

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I was in Dorchester and went over to my Grandmother's to visit in Roslindale. Same thing. Get in and up a bit and there was about 3"+ at her house. Once you get on the west and southwest side of the city near 200' and higher, it gets sneaky good.

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  On 3/9/2021 at 2:45 PM, CoastalWx said:

I was in Dorchester and went over to my Grandmother's to visit in Roslindale. Same thing. Get in and up a bit and there was about 3"+ at her house. Once you get on the west and southwest side of the city near 200' and higher, it gets sneaky good.

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Yeah, once you head south on 28 from 128, you gain elevation pretty quickly.  We are at about 225'

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  On 3/9/2021 at 1:29 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That is actually how I expect it to play out if we do get another event.....sums up the snowfall distribution this season perfectly.

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I'm on the CT shoreline and have a cabin in NW NJ. Both areas have had an insane amount of precipitation the last year. I expect this spring for the same area to jackpot as it has the last year. 

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  On 3/9/2021 at 2:49 PM, DavisStraight said:

Did you shovel all that? No Blower?

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That was all shoveled, and it is a pretty long driveway.  Should have gotten a snow blower then, but I thought how often are we going to see two 2' storms in a month.  I can handle this!  Finally bought an electric one after 2015.  Should have learned my lesson earlier. :arrowhead:

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  On 3/9/2021 at 2:51 PM, ORH_wxman said:

This is the week after the 2013 firehose storm...there were a couple torchy 50F days afterward which receded the snowpack, but it's interesting because you can see that secondary jackpot area still SW of Boston

 

Mar13_visibleSatellite.png

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I do remember how fast it disappeared.  Almost as fast as April 1997.

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Looks like my snow depth is going to go to zero today finally...well maybe a "trace" since as long as you have patches in the yard, that's a trace. There has been continuous snow pack since January 26th, so a pretty good run.

We had continuous from Dec 9th through January 12th in 2017-2018 so this beats that stretch. Have to go back to 2015 I think to beat this 43 day stretch.

The previous 5 years have not been good pack winters. We had longer stretches than this in 2008-2009, 2010-2011, 2012-2013, 2013-2014, and 2014-2015.

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  On 3/9/2021 at 3:17 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Looks like my snow depth is going to go to zero today finally...well maybe a "trace" since as long as you have patches in the yard, that's a trace. There has been continuous snow pack since January 26th, so a pretty good run.

We had continuous from Dec 9th through January 12th in 2017-2018 so this beats that stretch. Have to go back to 2015 I think to beat this 43 day stretch.

The previous 5 years have not been good pack winters. We had longer stretches than this in 2008-2009, 2010-2011, 2012-2013, 2013-2014, and 2014-2015.

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Seems like you melted out a bit faster than I did because you had more, and I still had like 4" as of this AM.

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  On 3/9/2021 at 3:23 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Seems like you melted out a bit faster than I did because you had more, and I still had like 4" as of this AM.

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Yeah maybe...it depends where in the yard though....where I measure is down to like 2-3" but there are shaded spots that still have over half a foot. I think that 2-3" will go today. There are houses in the neighborhood that have 100% full pack in their shaded yard and it looks at least 6" deep, lol. Typical uneven March melt-out.

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  On 3/9/2021 at 3:25 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah maybe...it depends where in the yard though....where I measure is down to like 2-3" but there are shaded spots that still have over half a foot. I think that 2-3" will go today. There are houses in the neighborhood that have 100% full pack in their shaded yard and it looks at least 6" deep, lol. Typical uneven March melt-out.

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I try to pick a median spot to  measure, as well. I don't have any 6"+..pretty uniform 3-4".

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