Hoth Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: I miss March 2018 I miss 3/7/18. The rest of the month featured an impressive rain storm and two very painful busts I can do without. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 Tuesday... Cloud cover on the decrease as high pressure reasserts itself into southern New England. Will be a bit breezy especially earlier in the day as the pressure gradient tightens due to the deepening low to the northeast and high building in. Have gone with the NAMNest/ARW/GFS guidance for winds and gusts. This shows that we could tap into some 20-25 kt gusts within the mixed layer. @@Winds shift to the W and eventually the NW, which will promote downsloping. @@Given this setup have increased high temperatures toward the 80th percentile of guidance and lowered dew points to the 15th percentile of guidance. The result is high temperatures in the low to mid 50s across much of the region. take them up up up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, Hoth said: I miss 3/7/18. The rest of the month featured an impressive rain storm and two very painful busts I can do without. Epic wind storm with damage, a 6.8 cement damaging snow storm, and a beautiful 20 inches with epic banding. We just missed another bomb late in the month as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2021 Author Share Posted March 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Epic wind storm with damage, a 6.8 cement damaging snow storm, and a beautiful 20 inches with epic banding. We just missed another bomb late in the month as well. March 22. LI had like 22-24" or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: March 22. LI had like 22-24" or something like that. Finished with 15” here in Brooklyn, NY 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 2 hours ago, Whineminster said: What we don't is to blow our warm load now in early spring, so that from may to July 4 it's overcast days of wheel o'rhea Oh yeah-tell that to 2012. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 To clarify for whineminster, that was a hot summer following a hot spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I feel like some are just calling it a season, way too early. The models haven’t even given me a fantasy digital snowstorm in like a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 Ryan’s got a totally dry 10 day forecast. Unreal dry stretch for Morch , our wettest month. Stein really getting nervous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 51 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Tuesday... Cloud cover on the decrease as high pressure reasserts itself into southern New England. Will be a bit breezy especially earlier in the day as the pressure gradient tightens due to the deepening low to the northeast and high building in. Have gone with the NAMNest/ARW/GFS guidance for winds and gusts. This shows that we could tap into some 20-25 kt gusts within the mixed layer. @@Winds shift to the W and eventually the NW, which will promote downsloping. @@Given this setup have increased high temperatures toward the 80th percentile of guidance and lowered dew points to the 15th percentile of guidance. The result is high temperatures in the low to mid 50s across much of the region. take them up up up Won't be "nice" out though ...not with those numbers. 55 with 25 mph wind is big f.u. ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan’s got a totally dry 10 day forecast. Unreal dry stretch for Morch , our wettest month. Stein really getting nervous It is kinda crazy at this point. People keep hitting me with snarky replies that "winter lasts until May there" and "it snows upslope every day there" but this has been a crazy dull stretch by any metric. I think the monster liquid is coming in late April. Should be a fun mud season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 3 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Eh' W of the River from 'Berg up through Berks and over to the Monads has not had any way above average Winters since 2015 and before that it was lots of average to slightly above winters. Same with ENY I would imagine? Mitch is an exception since he is at 2k. He an Backedge had good year this year. Think your right for the most part. 17'-18' was actually top 3-5 all time in SVT (snowfall wise) in the mountains and #1 in the valley. I don't think it was on that level down by your area though? Most other years probably closer to average with an all time rat in 15-16 by a good margin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 39 minutes ago, PhineasC said: The models haven’t even given me a fantasy digital snowstorm in like a month. The latest v16 GFS has some nice fool’s gold for the Equinox period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 4 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Dude, I was responding to Rays motif - you're turning into a petty squabble to refute a message you just don't like. who cares - jesus What a baby......your way or the highway.. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 16 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It is kinda crazy at this point. People keep hitting me with snarky replies that "winter lasts until May there" and "it snows upslope every day there" but this has been a crazy dull stretch by any metric. I think the monster liquid is coming in late April. Should be a fun mud season. This is the year when you tell them to fold.. pack up tents and GTFO. It’s over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2021 Author Share Posted March 8, 2021 26 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It is kinda crazy at this point. People keep hitting me with snarky replies that "winter lasts until May there" and "it snows upslope every day there" but this has been a crazy dull stretch by any metric. I think the monster liquid is coming in late April. Should be a fun mud season. Yeah not the greatest stretch up there, but who knows. Maybe the short record up there is not a true reflection of the overall climo? You still get 100+” winters and 30”+ pack like it’s your job though lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah not the greatest stretch up there, but who knows. Maybe the short record up there is not a true reflection of the overall climo? You still get 100+” winters and 30”+ pack like it’s your job though lol. It isn’t like I have been just missing these storms or they were rain here and snow nearby. I don’t think it’s a climo issue. There has just been nothing synoptic that was notable for well over a month now. Retention here is definitely godlike, however. I can’t believe how much snow is still out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It isn’t like I have been just missing these storms or they were rain here and snow nearby. I don’t think it’s a climo issue. There has just been nothing synoptic that was notable for well over a month now. Retention here is definitely godlike, however. I can’t believe how much snow is still out there. Literally nothing has melted since like early January. Even BTV for their climo has gone quite a while with a good pack. Now the sun is coming out it’s starting to hit some spots with solar but the lengthy snow season has felt solid this winter. Other winters you’ll see more synoptic but also more melt and cutters mixed in. Been a great ski season because of that since the Grinch. Warm front nosing in, radar has some moisture building into the mountains, a Phin classic, dusting to an inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2021 Author Share Posted March 9, 2021 25 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It isn’t like I have been just missing these storms or they were rain here and snow nearby. I don’t think it’s a climo issue. There has just been nothing synoptic that was notable for well over a month now. Retention here is definitely godlike, however. I can’t believe how much snow is still out there. Well climo incorporates everything, but their record is like what....11 years or something like that? Definitely some decent years there maybe skewing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 21 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Literally nothing has melted since like early January. Even BTV for their climo has gone quite a while with a good pack. Now the sun is coming out it’s starting to hit some spots with solar but the lengthy snow season has felt solid this winter. Other winters you’ll see more synoptic but also more melt and cutters mixed in. Been a great ski season because of that since the Grinch. Warm front nosing in, radar has some moisture building into the mountains, a Phin classic, dusting to an inch. I think it will take me a few winters here to really put this one in proper context. It hasn’t been exactly what I expected in a couple ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Well climo incorporates everything, but their record is like what....11 years or something like that? Definitely some decent years there maybe skewing it. I don’t necessarily buy the CoCoRaHS numbers as the long term average verbatim. But this seems like an abnormal stretch of dry, boring weather. Basically every time there was a solid storm up here I had the highest totals in NH and rivaled most of the inhabited places in NNE (other than the weenie-band storm in mid Dec). So if precip gets here I tend to snow well. There just has been a near total lack of decent lows transiting SE to NE in the GOM lately. I guess I just figured those were more common having watched NE weather from a distance for so many years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I think it will take me a few winters here to really put this one in proper context. It hasn’t been exactly what I expected in a couple ways. Interesting. The pack is there and didn’t look too different than normal as J.Spin has posted from that site. Snowfall definitely down but the pack has been there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 55 minutes ago, weathafella said: What a baby......your way or the highway.. Jerry - you leaped into a conversation and didn't - clearly - know the history. It has nothing to do with you and your atlas ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan’s got a totally dry 10 day forecast. Unreal dry stretch for Morch , our wettest month. Stein really getting nervous Great, drier the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: Interesting. The pack is there and didn’t look too different than normal as J.Spin has posted from that site. Snowfall definitely down but the pack has been there. I think retention has been more than I expected, uplsope has also been more than I expected (I figured it was being way overhyped). Temps have been warmer than I expected by quite a bit and these 30-40 day stretches of mostly dry weather have been unexpected. Based on the historical record (albeit short), I expected more meaty snowfalls over 2”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 52 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is the year when you tell them to fold.. pack up tents and GTFO. It’s over Unreal, January and March could end up full ratter months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 I’m figuring next time I get a 200”+ winter with big snow bombs followed by “atmospheric river” cutters that destroy the pack and ruin skiing conditions I will come to appreciate the value of a stretch of nearly two months with temps in the mid-20s and 30” OTG without any big storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 21 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I think it will take me a few winters here to really put this one in proper context. It hasn’t been exactly what I expected in a couple ways. .... I think it's like you moved to great location for big winters ...*but* did so at the tail end of climate destruction's moving winters N ... probably you got Kevin's bald headed winter tendencies at that that latitude ... maybe 10 years. By then Kevin'll be DC'ing it. Then... the tipping point probably starts causing world wars over dwindling resources anyway and who'll have time to care - ... trope dystopian but pick one... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Epic wind storm with damage, a 6.8 cement damaging snow storm, and a beautiful 20 inches with epic banding. We just missed another bomb late in the month as well. Yeah, if I'd partaken of that 20" fluffer I'd probably feel differently. Instead I wound up sitting in subsidence and the three inches I got melted before the storm even ended. The wind with that first storm was impressive though, especially out east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: March 22. LI had like 22-24" or something like that. Which was expected to be in my hood. Instead we sucked exhaust and got 2" of sand while LI directly south of me was buried. That month was a brutal roller coaster. Poor Ryan got raked over the coals for the March 22 bust on social media. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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