PhineasC Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 Any real storms on the horizon yet? What a ridiculously boring spell here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 Best view in New England 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 2:32 PM, MJO812 said: Big drop coming after the rise ? Expand A big drop from +6 to +2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2021 Author Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 2:59 PM, dendrite said: A big drop from +6 to +2. Expand Sell the big cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2021 Author Share Posted March 7, 2021 It will chill off, but I’ll sell the op run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 2:59 PM, dendrite said: A big drop from +6 to +2. Expand Yep winter will be back but briefly 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 4:02 AM, Typhoon Tip said: You sure? it’s been between 70 and 87 three times in the last five years between Feb and Mar. Expand On 3/7/2021 at 4:55 AM, CoastalWx said: As modeled it is possible for at least a day. At least near 70 anyways. Expand right. like I said in my post, widespread 70’s are unlikely. I understand that it is possible, and I understand that it has happened before. but it is unlikely to be widespread 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2021 Author Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 3:22 PM, SJonesWX said: right. like I said in my post, widespread 70’s are unlikely. I understand that it is possible, and I understand that it has happened before. but it is unlikely to be widespread Expand So far all guidance is showing that, but we shall see. That is a respectable warm punch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 Next thing really is severe wx season...crap under two months away now and not even prepared yet. Time flying fast. Only one more full month to go until we're into severe season 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2021 Author Share Posted March 7, 2021 Some of the guidance is at least low 70s for a couple of days potentially. LFG! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 3:22 PM, SJonesWX said: right. like I said in my post, widespread 70’s are unlikely. I understand that it is possible, and I understand that it has happened before. but it is unlikely to be widespread Expand MHT has a shot Thu with enough sun...outside shot Friday if the fropa holds off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2021 Author Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 3:34 PM, dendrite said: MHT has a shot Thu with enough sun...outside shot Friday if the fropa holds off. Expand They do. And a greater chance further south. We 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 3:24 PM, weatherwiz said: Next thing really is severe wx season...crap under two months away now and not even prepared yet. Time flying fast. Only one more full month to go until we're into severe season Expand Severe season is easy in SNE. Almost always expect under performers...a few EF0 warm front spinners, maybe a rogue EF1 and then a lot of marginal hail and rotting branches down from 40 knot gusts. About twice or three times a decade we get a real sweet setup. We’re like the mid-Atlantic coast for snow events when it comes to severe wx. Hopefully you get to chase out in the plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 3:24 PM, weatherwiz said: Next thing really is severe wx season...crap under two months away now and not even prepared yet. Time flying fast. Only one more full month to go until we're into severe season Expand Your posts are like trying to run a snow plow business in Southern MD. It's just not happening, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 Wednesday thru Friday all have those classic overperforming temps look .Full sun, strong west winds, no snowcover , no vegetation and dry ground. Two of those days will hit 70 and Thursday might hit 73-76 BDL, MHT, TAN, BOS Friday prob stays in 60’s if cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 3:46 PM, ORH_wxman said: Severe season is easy in SNE. Almost always expect under performers...a few EF0 warm front spinners, maybe a rogue EF1 and then a lot of marginal hail and rotting branches down from 40 knot gusts. About twice or three times a decade we get a real sweet setup. We’re like the mid-Atlantic coast for snow events when it comes to severe wx. Hopefully you get to chase out in the plains. Expand I was all set to go last year then COVID happened. Last season sucked anyways in the Plains...in fact, it's been relatively lackluster for the better part of the last decade outside of 2011 and another year or two. I am hopeful for this season though with the moderate La Nina with active southern stream. SSTA's recovering quickly in the Gulf too. Obviously not going to the Plains there since we're not out of the woods yet, but going next season for sure. Maybe this summer we can get some potent squall lines. On 3/7/2021 at 3:50 PM, PhineasC said: Your posts are like trying to run a snow plow business in Southern MD. It's just not happening, man. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 2:43 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Why post those awful maps? The mean is like 3-6” for most on every other site. Those stormvista maps are the worst, they should say cm instead of inches and then it would be more accurate. Expand Is there that much difference between 3-6 and 4-8 on a clown map for 15 days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 Hopefully we can get strong enough mixing Wednesday and Thursday but a sneak look at some soundings shows there may be a bit of an inversion between like 850 and 925 which could prevent deeper mixing. Friday would probably offer best shot at mixing ahead of cold front but also more in the way of clouds. May also have a quite a bit of high-level clouds Wednesday and Thursday. 70 would be sick though!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 Gfs might show something after next weekend 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 Better vort pass on GFs because the first front is stronger... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 This will not be squashed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 Snowman19 is the worst poster on here. Gives everyone weenies. Anyway, Para gfs is further north with the low and CMC is a cutter . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 3:46 PM, ORH_wxman said: Severe season is easy in SNE. Almost always expect under performers...a few EF0 warm front spinners, maybe a rogue EF1 and then a lot of marginal hail and rotting branches down from 40 knot gusts. About twice or three times a decade we get a real sweet setup. We’re like the mid-Atlantic coast for snow events when it comes to severe wx. Hopefully you get to chase out in the plains. Expand lol yup. The last 3 years were actually pretty active locally with big wind events (5/15/2018 and 8/27/2020) but they're definitely the exception rather than the norm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 4:42 PM, CT Rain said: lol yup. The last 3 years were actually pretty active locally with big wind events (5/15/2018 and 8/27/2020) but they're definitely the exception rather than the norm. Expand Had dewpoints been 5-7F higher 5/15/2018 we probably would have had a couple EF3+ rip across the state 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 4:18 PM, MJO812 said: Gfs might show something after next weekend Expand After you hit 80F? Great I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 4:47 PM, Dr. Dews said: After you hit 80F? Great I guess Expand Who is going to hit 80? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 4:47 PM, weatherwiz said: Had dewpoints been 5-7F higher 5/15/2018 we probably would have had a couple EF3+ rip across the state Expand Sort of an interesting thought experiment is what happens if we continue to see these really warm SSTs in the warm season in Long Island Sound and the Atlantic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 7, 2021 Share Posted March 7, 2021 On 3/7/2021 at 4:49 PM, CT Rain said: Sort of an interesting thought experiment is what happens if we continue to see these really warm SSTs in the warm season in Long Island Sound and the Atlantic. Expand That is something to really monitor and keep in mind, especially if we end up with a big warmup early. Something like this just seems to becoming a new norm. There are so many things this could impact such as weaker inversions and greater low-level instability. Despite the fact they're a bit below-average just off the Southeast coast, that should change quickly over the next week with that ridge becoming established. A huge issue too should we get something tropical coming up the coast. We really got pretty lucky with Isaias last year because had it not made that second landfall I think we would have been screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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