40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 C-, which assumes failure for March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2021 Author Share Posted February 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: C-, which assumes failure for March. Was hoping the metfan storm had a chance. More like mehfan now. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 A- winter. Mild with a few big snow events thrown in, nearly zero arctic air. hard to beat. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2021 Author Share Posted February 28, 2021 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Is that WinterWolf? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Was hoping the metfan storm had a chance. More like mehfan now. We giving up on events a week out ? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2021 Author Share Posted February 28, 2021 For Jerry, 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 I'm going B-. B if we can score something big in March. Lack of cold the entire season and complete abdication of winter during January will keep it from scoring any higher. Any chances of snow squalls with the passage tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2021 Author Share Posted February 28, 2021 We joke with the over stuff as anyone knows March can bring a surprise, but the pattern look now stinks IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 Even Will has thrown in the towel . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 I'll go solid A- on the winter. First, it shines especially bright against the backdrop of a 9" winter last year. I'm right around 50", which is a bit shy of double our average. We had a coating in October and the biggest December event in a long time, even though it was washed away a week later. January sucked, but at least it wasn't also cold. February was awesome, a full month of coverage. If we can pull one last gasp warning event, there's room to bump the grade up a little more. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 Since we didn’t get normal snowfall you can’t give anything higher than C+ or B-. January blew dongs being snowless.. Xmas was ruined . We did have good pack most of Dec and all of Feb. We end and move onto other interests 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We joke with the over stuff as anyone knows March can bring a surprise, but the pattern look now stinks IMO. NNE shredder still running full blast for the foreseeable future? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Is that WinterWolf? “YOU JUST DON’T TURN IT OFF!” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: NNE shredder still running full blast for the foreseeable future? You should leave for FL now. No reason to stay and watch 30” of melt away over the next few weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 This winter gets an A+ from me just because it blew away any other winter in my life. Grinch was horrifying and nearly broke my brain. I was saved by the Jan 17 and Feb 1/2 storms. One of the worst weather events in my life, maybe tops. I never want to see “atmospheric river” and “warm sector” together in a GYX distro ever again. The long boring periods where every storm went south of me (which is ongoing) has been rather annoying. @dendrite tried to warn me Retention after Grinch has been fabulous. I am in a great spot for that. The pack here has been like you’d see at a ski place. Uplsope was also fun. No idea if I received more or less of that than usual. It seems pretty decoupled from the broader pattern so probably average there. It was the synoptic piece that was lacking, based on the historical record. And before the usual suspects rage out at me that it can still snow 2 feet in mid April here... yeah I get that. LOL wake me up when the models show a real, strong low SE of my house with my temp at 28. So far all I still see is weak crap. Thank god for uplsope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You should leave for FL now. No reason to stay and watch 30” of melt away over the next few weeks We are skiing now but headed to FL before the month ends. I can extend my stay if the mythical Randolph March magic ever materializes late month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 The Canadian is a miss this run, but it did bring the low back. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 I know things don’t look great for the storm threat next week, but based on the pattern in place I don’t believe the storm will end up getting squashed despite what the models show. In my opinion the low will keep moving west on the models due to how amplified the western ridge is as well as the strong northern stream that has nowhere to go but dig south in this highly amplified and slow flow being shown on the models. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 For me ... I find the notion of 'not grading until March is over', vs March looks unavoidably like a giant piece of shit across the spectrum of various charting and ensemble tooling ( telecon's ..etc..) combined ... as mutually exclusive realities. It's interesting too - because while neither of those are disputable, quoting Newton, "Two truths can never contradict" - yet being in this state of affairs apparently denies that conclusion. Maybe from that we can infer that one of those lead premises must therefore be false. ... My guess is that mood determines which ...? Yeah, if "healthy realism" is in play, ... giant piece of shit wins... and the former don't grade 'till March is over folk can eat said shit. If former turns/proves right, that invariably proves the 2nd premise of shitness wrong... Either way, it's almost like where "April is the cruelest month..." March should be dubbed the giant asshole month. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 I give it a C, average, when all is said and done the results will register average, it would be a B if we had some arctic shots earlier and froze the big lakes, small ones have sold ice, the bigger ones do not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 D for me. 4 inches of absolute fluff illusion was my best event. I watched an entire day of white rain, and there weren't really any really remarkable storms, just moisture. Three pretty crap winters on the trot, even for here, which is close to the worst place in new England for snow. The only thing not making it an f, like last winter, is the fact that the 3 inches of slush followed by colder temps gave us a surprisingly resilient pack that I was able to ski on locally, and my kid was able to sled on a bunch. A week of real winter in an entire season. Oh, and my sister got more snow than me this year. She lives in england for gods sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, NeonPeon said: D for me. 4 inches of absolute fluff illusion was my best event. I watched an entire day of white rain, and there weren't really any really remarkable storms, just moisture. Three pretty crap winters on the trot, even for here, which is close to the worst place in new England for snow. The only thing not making it an f, like last winter, is the fact that the 3 inches of slush followed by colder temps gave us a surprisingly resilient pack that I was able to ski on locally, and my kid was able to sled on a bunch. A week of real winter in an entire season. Oh, and my sister got more snow than me this year. She lives in england for gods sake. What part of England got more snow than you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 Wrong thread earlier 3 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said: Little critter that bites? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 It’s d9 so it could’ve gone in banter too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 17 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Wrong thread earlier Maybe yeah... 'cept , ha - 222 hours re a phenomenon that inherently is invisible if it is one of those, and has to sneak up as part of the the definition of what 'little critter that bites' means ( i.e., under-estimated) ... That advance notice torpedoes the invisibility requirement .. to mention, "little"? - trying to survive the tyranny of 222 hours of fractal-flow mayhem in La Nina battling God's for supremacy of which gets to break the most hearts ... probably doesn't end well for said little critter actually being there at that time... That said, yeah...in a vacuum that ignores all that ... it does look like that. Anytime a piddling system has a single physical metric that is unusually powerful embedded side an a dizzying array of nuances ... it stands a chance of over producing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Since we didn’t get normal snowfall you can’t give anything higher than C+ or B-. January blew dongs being snowless.. Xmas was ruined . We did have good pack most of Dec and all of Feb. We end and move onto other interests We got normal snowfall... just January sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We got normal snowfall... just January sucked Normal here is 60”. I’m at 55” . BN 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Normal here is 60”. I’m at 55” . BN You used "we" "We" is me and we is right around average for the whole season...lol I think you go above... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Maybe yeah... 'cept , ha - 222 hours re a phenomenon that inherently is invisible if it is one of those, and has to sneak up as part of the the definition of what 'little critter that bites' means ( i.e., under-estimated) ... That advance notice torpedoes the invisibility requirement .. to mention, "little"? - trying to survive the tyranny of 222 hours of fractal-flow mayhem in La Nina battling God's for supremacy of which gets to break the most hearts ... probably doesn't end well for said little critter actually being there at that time... That said, yeah...in a vacuum that ignores all that ... it does look like that. Anytime a piddling system has a single physical metric that is unusually powerful embedded side an a dizzying array of nuances ... it stands a chance of over producing. 12z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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