Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 Ha... been jokin' with Will but I'm thinking there may actually be a chance at this .. A last of the season sort of hurrah exit event, then as little as three or four days later, spring tsunamis in... Even the GFS overcomes in N/stream mania to wash out the 540 blues after whatever comes of that... .. hm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 33 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: March 1-3, 2018 anyone? Windswept rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Ha... been jokin' with Will but I'm thinking there may actually be a chance at this .. A last of the season sort of hurrah exit event, then as little as three or four days later, spring tsunamis in... Even the GFS overcomes in N/stream mania to wash out the 540 blues after whatever comes of that... .. hm Para cancels spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 41 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: March 13, 2018 anyone? 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Windswept rain? Was thinking the 13th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: March 13, 2018 anyone? @Ginx snewx No trash cans anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Seriously. We’ve had plenty of MJO treks into phase 8/1 produce nothing. There’s an outside chance at something D7-8 but a lot needs to go right. I am at the other end of the spectrum...I hardy use it, and should incorporate it more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 2 hours ago, Wentzadelphia said: More LBSW....cool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2021 Author Share Posted February 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Don't worry about the scale...its all about body mass. Build some lean mass and monitor how your pants fit at the waist. Leave Kev and his archaic height/weight chart in the early 80s. Kevin is like that scene in Pee Wee’s Big Adventure when he goes to weigh himself and it prints out 98lbs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2021 Author Share Posted February 27, 2021 Not much help from the euro suite of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Not much help from the euro suite of guidance. Still, looked pretty close. I love the quick ridge spike. If we can get that a bit farther west wouldn’t hurt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: Still, looked pretty close. I love the quick ridge spike. If we can get that a bit farther west wouldn’t hurt Sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2021 Author Share Posted February 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Still, looked pretty close. I love the quick ridge spike. If we can get that a bit farther west wouldn’t hurt Getting that vibe of this being too little too late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Getting that vibe of this being too little too late. Exactly my thoughts after a cursory glance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sell. If it showed a bomb right now you'd probably sell that too. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: If it showed a bomb right now you'd probably sell that too. Odds are I'd make a profit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Was thinking the 13th. Ah let’s do this^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: @Ginx snewx No trash cans anymore Oh how we pray for a Pete repete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 Looks like all three ensemble suites are a pretty safe whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like all three ensemble suites are a pretty safe whiff. It’s over 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like all three ensemble suites are a pretty safe whiff. There’s a few EPS members that scrape the coast. I’m def not putting my money on it, but I still think there’s an outside shot. This is over a week out. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 The pattern supports a farther west low. At least the models have a low now, just a few days ago they didn’t even have a low. Both the OP runs and ensembles show a whiff but they aren’t far off from something big. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 13 minutes ago, George001 said: The pattern supports a farther west low. At least the models have a low now, just a few days ago they didn’t even have a low. Both the OP runs and ensembles show a whiff but they aren’t far off from something big. Except for the run of the GEM that had a blizzard yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 21 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: There’s a few EPS members that scrape the coast. I’m def not putting my money on it, but I still think there’s an outside shot. This is over a week out. Lame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Except for the run of the GEM that had a blizzard yesterday. Yeah yesterday is when they started seeing the low. The Canadian went from way offshore to a blizzard in one run before moving back south some. The risk with this storm is definitely it develops too late and misses everyone, but I like where I’m at with this setup. Eastern New England has a better shot in these types of setups with us having a bit more room for error in regards to how late the storm develops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 3/50 show hit -- "there's a chance" 3/50 whiff -- "toss the clueless outliers" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 GGEM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 58 minutes ago, George001 said: The pattern supports a farther west low. At least the models have a low now, just a few days ago they didn’t even have a low. Both the OP runs and ensembles show a whiff but they aren’t far off from something big. I'm not sure why people are so pessimistic. The EPS wasn't a bad look 168hrs out. Other ensembles look similar. There's been a sharpening of the PNA ridge and strengthening Greenland block ahead of the system. Nearly every system has trended west as we got closer. I'm all-in on this. It's the last threat of the season...go big or go home. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s over Embrace the cold and dry, it’s the only cold and dry you have. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 45 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Embrace the cold and dry, it’s the only cold and dry you have. What cold is this you speak of, I checked out a while ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2021 Share Posted February 27, 2021 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: I'm not sure why people are so pessimistic. The EPS wasn't a bad look 168hrs out. Other ensembles look similar. There's been a sharpening of the PNA ridge and strengthening Greenland block ahead of the system. Nearly every system has trended west as we got closer. I'm all-in on this. It's the last threat of the season...go big or go home. I mean, there’s definitely a chance that storm could hit...esp given the lead time of 7+ days....but there isn’t a big reason to be optimistic about it. Synoptically, it’s a tight squeeze to fit that storm into the pattern...eastern New England would have the best shot naturally but it is still a heavy lift even for them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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