bluewave Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 12 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yeah, those warm Niña years we capitalized on every cold snow opportunity My only regret over this period is that I missed out on the Nemo 6” per hour 50 DBZ band. But maybe we can see something like that in the 2020s closer to our area. Be interesting to see if we can get a 40” event like BGM did in December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: My only regret over this period is that I missed out on the Nemo 6” per hour 50 DBZ band. But maybe we can see something like that in the 2020s closer to our area. Be interesting to see if we can get a 40” event like BGM did in December. I caught the western edge of it. Was amazing-the sky (nighttime) was this surreal orangish color. I'd like to see a March 1888 redux too. That would be unreal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 60 in Midtown and it feels amazing. It's sad in a way because it's only the first week of March still and you know there will be some cold days ahead but once you get this first taste of spring, you want it all the time. Well, at least those of us who are normal. (Edit: A.K.A. everybody but Anthony) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 60 here too early for this crap 5 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 62 here. Gorgeous outside. The stubborn snow patch in my backyard is finally disappearing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 This officially ends the 8th longest under 55° day streak at Newark. It was also the 25th longest under 60° day streak. Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 55 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date Period of record: 1931-01-01 to 2021-03-08 1 111 1963-03-23 2 87 1941-03-22 3 84 2003-03-14 4 83 1956-02-24 5 78 1969-03-16 6 77 1977-02-22 7 76 1968-03-07 - 76 1948-02-17 8 73 2021-03-08 9 69 1971-02-11 10 65 2015-03-10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 67 degrees here right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Wow at this rate Thursday may hit 75+ It could be awhile before we see things this warm again actually. Too bad it couldn't arrive for the weekend. Weekend looks BN with chilly winds to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 29 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 60 here too early for this crap We had a very good winter. Now it's time for nice warm weather for outdoor activities. I know you're a big baseball fan, so it always puzzles me when you say you'd want blizzards all year round. Wouldn't that make it difficult for our NY Mets to play baseball? I love snow, but would never want it all year round. Snow November through mid March is very nice, but after that we need the warmer weather for things like outdoor sports and the growing season. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 64 here now well above forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Models are possibly bringing back next week's low. It now looks shredded instead of a big cutter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Models are possibly bringing back next week's low. It now looks shredded instead of a big cutter. looks exciting.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: looks exciting.... I didnt look at the models until I popped up in the mid Atlantic thread. Ukie is pretty intriguing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 So far JFK is the big warm and dry downslope flow winner at 65°. 000 SXUS51 KOKX 091757 OSOOKX New York City Metropolitan Area Weather Roundup National Weather Service New York NY 100 PM EST TUE MAR 09 2021 CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS Central Park SUNNY 63 27 25 W9G17 30.29F LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY 60 28 29 NW13 30.26F Kennedy Intl MOSUNNY 65 29 25 W15G24 30.27F Newark Liberty MOSUNNY 64 27 24 NW15 30.27F Teterboro Arpt SUNNY 61 32 33 NW16G22 30.26F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 18 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: We had a very good winter. Now it's time for nice warm weather for outdoor activities. I know you're a big baseball fan, so it always puzzles me when you say you'd want blizzards all year round. Wouldn't that make it difficult for our NY Mets to play baseball? I love snow, but would never want it all year round. Snow November through mid March is very nice, but after that we need the warmer weather for things like outdoor sports and the growing season. Snow is melting, the practice green will be clearing, time to start rolling some putts... and yes, Play ball. Go Mets. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 3 hours ago, bluewave said: Our first 60° day since Christmas. It’s crazy how many late Dec 60’s we’ve been seeing in recent years. 66 here currently, warmest day since Nov 27th which had a high of 67. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 21 minutes ago, Cfa said: It’s crazy how many late Dec 60’s we’ve been seeing in recent years. 66 here currently, warmest day since Nov 27th which had a high of 67. More than crazy, it's irritating. As someone who ties holiday mood to cold weather (perhaps this is in the medical books somewhere), these diabolically placed 60 degree days just before Christmas which have seemed to occur almost every year since about 2013 have got to go. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gmendevils8204 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said: More than crazy, it's irritating. As someone who ties holiday mood to cold weather (perhaps this is in the medical books somewhere), these diabolically placed 60 degree days just before Christmas which have seemed to occur almost every year since about 2013 have got to go. Especially when we end up with a warm rain and fog on Christmas Eve, which has happened a couple times lately also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 The big AO and NAO volatility continues on the 12z guidance. Models have the +5 AO rise and warm up this week. But now they introduce a -4.5 SD 50/50 low over the weekend. This wave break may result in a return to a more east based -NAO in mid to late March. So I think that’s why the models are struggling so much with the storm details past 120 hrs. The main takeaway may be this week will be the warmest for a while as lows may cutoff behind the intense 50/50 vortex. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 9, 2021 Author Share Posted March 9, 2021 14 minutes ago, bluewave said: The big AO and NAO volatility continues on the 12z guidance. Models have the +5 AO rise and warm up this week. But now they introduce a -4.5 SD 50/50 low over the weekend. This wave break may result in a return to a more east based -NAO in mid to late March. So I think that’s why the models are struggling so much with the storm details past 120 hrs. The main takeaway may be this week will be the warmest for a while as lows may cutoff behind the intense 50/50 vortex. Agreed... I do think op models and ens are coming around and will post shortly in the storm thread. It's how strong the multiple hort waves developing the -NAO... and it may be that the models are too strong too soon. Maybe I'm wish casting but significant wintry weather appears headed for the midAtlantic and at least a part of the northeast beginning this weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 64 for the high in Lindenhurst as of now, was kind of sad when I first saw the possible end of winter coming up. But now that the warmup is here, it honestly feels great. It's nice to go out with just a T-shirt on again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 40 minutes ago, wdrag said: Agreed... I do think op models and ens are coming around and will post shortly in the storm thread. It's how strong the multiple hort waves developing the -NAO... and it may be that the models are too strong too soon. Maybe I'm wish casting but significant wintry weather appears headed for the midAtlantic and at least a part of the northeast beginning this weekend. Yeah, the big 50/50 low and east based block snuck up on the models. The individual storm details will probably have to wait a while. But the volatility in the North Atlantic sector over the last month has been very impressive. New run Old run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: I didnt look at the models until I popped up in the mid Atlantic thread. Ukie is pretty intriguing. The end of the Ukie, which is a bad model, looked like it was going to cut that low west of Chicago 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 28 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, the big 50/50 low and east based block snuck up on the models. The individual storm details will probably have to wait a while. But the volatility in the North Atlantic sector over the last month has been very impressive. New run Old run Confluence has always won out this winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Eps has front end for that storm Monday into Tuesday. Favors areas around DCA and Phl for now 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Eps has front end for that storm Monday into Tuesday. Favors areas around DCA and Phl for now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 27 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Confluence has always won out this winter. The 50/50 lows have been beating model expectations over that record warm pool. Started out with the near record 935 mb 50/50 low ahead of the Dec 17-18 storm. Then we saw the -5SD TPV dive into Eastern New England last week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 51 minutes ago, bluewave said: The 50/50 lows have been beating model expectations over that record warm pool. Started out with the near record 935 mb 50/50 low ahead of the Dec 17-18 storm. Then we saw the -5SD TPV dive into Eastern New England last week. A big reason why NNJ and Abe have been the sweet spot this winter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 10 minutes ago, Allsnow said: A big reason why NNJ and Abe have been the sweet spot this winter Day 10 cutters have been turning into day 7 Miller Bs. New run Old run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Last true cutter was xmas eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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