wdrag Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Good Tuesday morning all, Expect a period of snow showers in the nw-ne suburbs toward midday. Elsewhere for NYC/LI & s of I-78, rain or possibly rain/mixed snow showers early this afternoon. No accumulation NYC CP eastward and southward, however 0.1-0.7" possible in a few hilly areas well northwest and north of the city. Essentially harmless, with probably no street hazard, other than what one might expect in a rain shower. This is associated with a strong wave passage. mPing should be somewhat active between 10A-4P. No graphics today with the graphics below from 2/22. 528A/23 -- Today (22): Advisories posted just w and n of I-95 for a 5 hour period of occasionally heavy wet snow, while snow NYC and possibly all of the forum coasts during midday changes to rain. Exception southern Ocean County - which may be all rain. Snowfall rates of 1-1.5"/hour anticipated for portions of NJ will quickly make treated roads slippery for a time. Isolated ~5" possible part of NJ near and north of I78 with a general 2-4" accumulation in the advisory area though 4" possibly less likely in NYS/CT. This band may spawn isolated thunder in NJ/LI as it models convective in nature. Expect the first heavy burst within 1 hour of onset, then a slight relax followed by another heavy burst, then on the wane it's last two hours. Begins NJ/ne PA/se NYS 10A-NOON, NYC/CT Noon-1P,. Ends about 5 hours after onset. . Snow in NYC CP possible until 2P where anticipate anywhere from 0.2 to 1.4" there , dependent on temps/how quick it changes. Even a slight coating possible all of the forum coasts. Tuesday: Combined Tuesday in this thread only because it's a top 8 February and many members even out to eastern LI should see some sort of snow showers for an hour or two (may be more accumulation e LI Tuesday than today). Snow showers possibly mixed with rain on LI. Many locations Tuesday should receive 0.1 to as much as 0.5" new snow by ~1PM... the showery occurrence primarily during midday. Attached the 00z/22 HPC HREF, the 06z/22 NAM anticipated base snowfall and the NWS regional deterministic snowfall graphic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Looks good for this storm, trending in right direction, now with 2-4” forecasted... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 WWA for 2-4 with spot chance of 5”. Picked up 5.5-6” last Thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Just catching up since this evolved right under my nose while I was dealing with other affairs yesterday. 2-4 looks good for BGM’s WWA where I probably only see 2” of slop at my house because surface temperatures look otherwise highly questionable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 28 and cloudy. WWA for 2-5, expecting towards the lower end 2-3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 It is going to be very close for NYC. Excited to see what occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Thread is so quiet Nice little snow event for DC and Philly. Lets hope we all get in on the action. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 24 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It is going to be very close for NYC. Excited to see what occurs. If the rates for this event continue to be as heavy as what I am seeing to our west this morning then the warmer boundary layer close to the coast could be overcome more than currently believed. I agree that this will be close for NYC. I think that it is reasonable that places in the Bronx, Manhattan, Northern Queens, and Staten Island could see new accums with this event before all is set and done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Thread is so quiet Nice little snow event for DC and Philly. Lets hope we all get in on the action. Good morning Anthony. We could start a “Free S19” movement. Or instigate more fun discourse between Rjay and Bx. Or just wait for the first flake. As always .... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 1 hour ago, HeadInTheClouds said: 28 and cloudy. WWA for 2-5, expecting towards the lower end 2-3. Yeah, the 4-5 inch amounts for higher terrain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Storm is flying On Philly's doorstep right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Snow started here at 9:45 AM. It's blowing sideways and has that look that it's about to dump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Temps are pretty warm but agree the fact it's snowing in DC is usually promising for us so we'll see. Definitely an interesting nowcast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Storm is flying On Philly's doorstep right now People just to the west of the Schuylkill Expressway are reporting snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Moderate snow with 1/2 mile visibility 32F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 I am now down to 1/4 mile visibility with heavy snow. It took only 10 minutes for this to get to this rate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Salt trucks did their thing about 1/2 hour ago, but the roads have turned white in the last ten minutes. Heavy snow 29.5 Temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Flurries have begun in Chester, NJ. Update: Quickly went to moderate snow, fine flakes. Temp is 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 The upper air (850 and 925 temps) are the same or slightly colder in the NYC area than down in Phily (where it is snow) so well see what the BL temps do once the precip starts. Temps will need to cool 3-5 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evie3 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Pouring snow in northern Somerset County near 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 31/18 cloudy currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, mikem81 said: The upper air (850 and 925 temps) are the same or slightly colder in the NYC area than down in Phily (where it is snow) so well see what the BL temps do once the precip starts. Temps will need to cool 3-5 degrees Pay attention to your dew point temp. The air temp has dropped 3F since the event began. I have gone from 32 to 29. The DP has leveled off at 27F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Light snow started in Metuchen around 10:45 am; it dropped from 38 to 36F in the last 20 minutes and has more room to drop with a dp of 26F. Any snow today is bonus snow, IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Steady light snow approaching moderate at times in South Old Bridge, NJ. Nice surprise this morning as was supposed to be rain for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Heavy snow with wind ripping 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Light snow here in Brooklyn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 9 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Light snow started in Metuchen around 10:45 am; it dropped from 38 to 36F in the last 20 minutes and has more room to drop with a dp of 26F. Any snow today is bonus snow, IMO. Well that escalated quickly - moderate snow now and 35F (wet bulb is 32F). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Weeee ripppppp Its a nyc winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Heavy snow 1/8 mile visibility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzLuv Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Snow coming down hard here for last 30-40 minutes. Sticking to cars but not road surface as they had been salted heavily in the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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