Ralph Wiggum Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 2 hours ago, The Iceman said: Way too early to say that. March is a weird month, you can have a +nao/+ao/-pna and still get snow.. all it takes is one perfectly tracked bowling ball. It's become pretty rare that we get completely skunked in March. I bet there will be one more 'threat' after this one that comes probably after the first week of March. If not though, still a great winter. I said for a while, not for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 38 minutes ago, hazwoper said: It’s not even worth it with you anymore. At ANY time of the year roads that are treated will melt once precip has let up or ended Ask 1994... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 44 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Lets do it! Quick refresh. Then the warmup. In fine calling it a season after this You really can't think this is true...correct? I'm at 36F now...probably hit 37-38F+...sun blazing. Clouds move in tonight earlier than expected....holds temps higher than predicted. When snow falls mid/late morning tomorrow temps at/near+ 32F w/the sun rays kicking. Nothing (or for a short time somewhat sticks)...then melts and any precip may turn to rain...high 36-38F+....sloppy 1-2" or so IMO at best. It just has that end of winter/early spring look... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Dipped to 16 last night (forecast 18 ) and only 33 now (forecast 34) Forecast low 25 tonight/high 37 tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Yearning for spring and warmth and I have to get the 6" bullseye 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 I think some of you are about a month ahead in your wishing!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 HREF is surprisingly bullish. Gets the 1" line down to 95. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/?model=href&product=snowfall_012h_mean§or=conus Not surprisingly N and W are the favored areas for 2-4" accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 18 hours ago, Albedoman said: 2-4 for the LV with lollipops of 6 in. This storm has the potential to be labeled as an over performer for many if the convective portion gets going. Do not underestimate the snowfall rates which can easily overcome any sun angle crap even on treated roads. A nice cover for the dirty snow along the roads right now and 4 inches will nearly give me over 60 in for the year in Macungie On cue --WWA issued for the LV with 2-4 in south of #78 3-5 in north of #78. If it snows 5 inches in Macungie with lollipops of 6 in on the hills, we will have almost a two foot snow pack again. Bring it on before the meltdown later in the week which our snow pack to to a 6-12 in before the big storm event next week. The 30-50 foot snow piles in the shopping center parking lots will not be gone until after April fools day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 6 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Ask 1994... I really don’t understand what side of the fence you are on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Well it has been a pretty Epic February that's for sure and one more accumulating snow would be icing on the cake. March is a funny month and maybe some surprises yet to come, I have snow mountains in some parking lots that'll be around for quite awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 I was never impressed w/this event but accu weather seems even less impressed than myself for Philly/majority of Mont/Bucks counties...move the accumulation line down SE a tad. Think mid-upper Mont/Bucks should be in the 1-2" range...Philly C-1". Doesn't take long to accumulate a 1" or so w/a beginning thump... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Birds~69 said: I was never impressed w/this event but accu weather seems even less impressed than myself for Philly/majority of Mont/Bucks counties...move the accumulation line down SE a tad. Think mid-upper Mont/Bucks should be in the 1-2" range...Philly C-1". Doesn't take long to accumulate a 1" or so w/a beginning thump... I agree. Map looks a little conservative. 1-2” would be a nice refresher with hopefully one more significant event before spring arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 On 2/20/2021 at 9:40 PM, Albedoman said: 2-4 for the LV with lollipops of 6 in. This storm has the potential to be labeled as an over performer for many if the convective portion gets going. Do not underestimate the snowfall rates which can easily overcome any sun angle crap even on treated roads. A nice cover for the dirty snow along the roads right now and 4 inches will nearly give me over 60 in for the year in Macungie Mt Holly just upped the the possible accumulation totals to 7 inches in the LV. They are worried about the convective banding and now saying 2" an hour rates are possible. WWA expanded into Montgomery and Bucks Counties as well. Walter Drag and I have been discussing throughout the week this setup as a possible nice surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 15 minutes ago, mattinpa said: I agree. Map looks a little conservative. 1-2” would be a nice refresher with hopefully one more significant event before spring arrives. I think Philadelphia gets near 1” and Allentown receives 3”-4”. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 15 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: I think Philadelphia gets near 1” and Allentown receives 3”-4”. nice to see post in this region Don. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Albedoman said: nice to see post in this region Don. It should be a fun event for the Lehigh Valley. It will be interesting to see if there are some localized 6” amounts and where they occur. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Fox29 jacked up the totals a bit for Philly/burbs. (10pm newscast) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 20 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: I think Philadelphia gets near 1” and Allentown receives 3”-4”. I always enjoy seeing your knowledge in the NYC forums. Welcome! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: It should be a fun event for the Lehigh Valley. It will be interesting to see if there are some localized 6” amounts and where they occur. Don, my point and click forecast for Tamaqua (just a few miles beyond Mt Holly's CWA) is for 4-8 inches. We shall see... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: Don, my point and click forecast for Tamaqua (just a few miles beyond Mt Holly's CWA) is for 4-8 inches. We shall see... I believe that’s in or near the vicinity where the latest HREF is showing 6”-8” amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 This one is probably the most difficult forecast of the year. Modeling has this storm to spread out. If anyone is to cash in the gradiet will need to be tighter. Leave it to Fox 29 to pull the rabbit out of the hat to make up for the misses this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 12 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: I believe that’s in or near the vicinity where the latest HREF is showing 6”-8” amounts. Yes. Far eastern Schuylkill County. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, Voyager said: Yes. Far eastern Schuylkill County. Good luck with the snow. Be careful driving if you have to be on the road. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 1 hour ago, Albedoman said: Mt Holly just upped the the possible accumulation totals to 7 inches in the LV. They are worried about the convective banding and now saying 2" an hour rates are possible. WWA expanded into Montgomery and Bucks Counties as well. Walter Drag and I have been discussing throughout the week this setup as a possible nice surprise. Not seeing this on their site⁉️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Channel 69 news guy still talking a coating in Allentown, thinks there is an hour of snow then rain lol. I thought he would have wised up but no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Just now, RedSky said: Channel 69 news guy still talking a coating in Allentown, thinks there is an hour of snow then rain lol. I thought he would have wised up but no. hey what's "the epic day 10 storm" ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, LVwxHistorian said: hey what's "the epic day 10 storm" ?? ? Don't think I can handle any more epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 50 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Good luck with the snow. Be careful driving if you have to be on the road. Thanks Don. I might be off, though. The boss/owner would rather we and the trucks be safe than to risk a crash. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 1 minute ago, RedSky said: ? Don't think I can handle any more epic it says it in your tagline: January 2016 - month of the epic day 10 storm AND the epic storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Accu weather held ground during their 11pm forecast....same as 6pm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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