A-L-E-K Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 yeah, fine with it given our climo it was gonna happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 19 hours ago, Stebo said: I wouldn't mind getting some precip for soil moisture and even a couple inches of snow to hit average. Its march it would be gone in a couple days anyways Detroit is at 41.3" on the season. The current average is 42.7", however the new 1991-2020 normals start in May. By my calculation the new average will climb to 44.6" unless they use some quality control (which we know they love to do ). The 20th century average was 39.1" (thanks to a sucky mid century) and the period of record avg (1880-2020) is 40.9". Anyway you slice it this will look like a pretty avg snow season (which of course was anything but from the grass tips of Jan to the 2-3 foot drifts or Feb) so I'd rather a nice storm to just safely bump us on the plus side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 11, 2021 Author Share Posted March 11, 2021 GFS coming back down to earth in snow totals E of Iowa and much more in line with the v16 and Euro. Expecting DAB to 1" here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 11, 2021 Share Posted March 11, 2021 GFS is hitting a freezing rain threat around here with the early week storm. If it occurs, I suspect impacts would be more of an elevated object thing given the recent warm spell and lack of cold air going in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted March 11, 2021 Share Posted March 11, 2021 I had a bit of fun yesterday and plotted out a four panel map of the 1974 "Super Outbreak". I thought I would share the data here for those interested. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 11, 2021 Share Posted March 11, 2021 1 hour ago, blizzardof96 said: I had a bit of fun yesterday and plotted out a four panel map of the 1974 "Super Outbreak". I thought I would share the data here for those interested. Thanks for posting that. 4/3/1974 is arguably the most notorious weather date in history. Say the date to most weather enthusiasts anywhere and they will be able to immediately recognize it as the Super Outbreak or at least be able to come up with the answer after thinking about it for a minute. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 11, 2021 Author Share Posted March 11, 2021 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: Thanks for posting that. 4/3/1974 is arguably the most notorious weather date in history. Say the date to most weather enthusiasts anywhere and they will be able to immediately recognize it as the Super Outbreak or at least be able to come up with the answer after thinking about it for a minute. It’s no 8/10/2020 though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted March 11, 2021 Share Posted March 11, 2021 34 minutes ago, madwx said: It’s no 8/10/2020 though you called? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 5 hours ago, Hoosier said: Thanks for posting that. 4/3/1974 is arguably the most notorious weather date in history. Say the date to most weather enthusiasts anywhere and they will be able to immediately recognize it as the Super Outbreak or at least be able to come up with the answer after thinking about it for a minute. I actually spoke about it at length at a weather presentation I gave tonight. The White County courthouse in Monticello, IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 1 hour ago, IWXwx said: I actually spoke about it at length at a weather presentation I gave tonight. The White County courthouse in Monticello, IN I love the old Fujita map. This kind of detailed damage plot was ahead of its time. Click for higher resolution. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 12, 2021 Author Share Posted March 12, 2021 don't look now but the drought is expanding across the Midwest. Gotta hope some of these systems in the next few weeks actually pan out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 39 minutes ago, madwx said: don't look now but the drought is expanding across the Midwest. Gotta hope some of these systems in the next few weeks actually pan out I was just commenting to my wife this morning on how dry it was and there isn't much precip in the forecast either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 1 minute ago, WestMichigan said: I was just commenting to my wife this morning on how dry it was and there isn't much precip in the forecast either. We hardly had any plain rain the entire winter, just very small amounts here and there. February's deep snowpack did hit about 1.5" water content (entirely from snow) that was slowly released as it melted without aid of any precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: We hardly had any plain rain the entire winter, just very small amounts here and there. February's deep snowpack did hit about 1.5" water content (entirely from snow) that was slowly released as it melted without aid of any precip. First time of this that I can recall. Full sun and temps of 40+ ate the entire snow pack. Even today in the shade you can find a few remnants of snow.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 Adding to the discussion on the lack of rain, its the same here where scant rain that is forecast has never materialized this last week, I thought mid-week was going to be a wash-out and it turned out virtually nothing fell! It enhanced the warmth we had. Yesterday's storms that my point was flip-flopping on 6 times obviously didn't produce like it did south of me. I welcome the very sunny conditions, its about time we had a good March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 St. Paddy's Day Blizzard.....start the thread............. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 12z GFS is drinking again and then this on Thursday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 I mean, I can't be THAT wrong at 84 hours...can it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 Looks like the question isn’t if it’s going to snow Sun night-Mon, but how much.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 3 hours ago, Torchageddon said: Adding to the discussion on the lack of rain, its the same here where scant rain that is forecast has never materialized this last week, I thought mid-week was going to be a wash-out and it turned out virtually nothing fell! It enhanced the warmth we had. Yesterday's storms that my point was flip-flopping on 6 times obviously didn't produce like it did south of me. I welcome the very sunny conditions, its about time we had a good March. Same here. For several days, models were spitting out around an inch of qpf for our area yesterday. Final total imby? The big T. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 6 hours ago, DAFF said: First time of this that I can recall. Full sun and temps of 40+ ate the entire snow pack. Even today in the shade you can find a few remnants of snow.. Actually...the deep snowpacks of 2014 AND 2015 saw slow, rain less melts too. only the deep pack of 2018 was melted accompanied by rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 Why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 GFS would have a period of fairly intense conditions on St. Patrick's Day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 18z gfs 24 hr snows 3/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 It hasn’t been in the same area every time. But GFS has been spinning up something fierce for the 18th in the last few runs (not counting 12z currently). EDIT: Basically neutered on the 12z. I shouldn’t have said anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 14, 2021 Author Share Posted March 14, 2021 There is actually pretty good agreement on a cutter going far NW around the 21-24. Should flood the area with mild air and bring a chance of thunderstorms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 9 hours ago, madwx said: There is actually pretty good agreement on a cutter going far NW around the 21-24. Should flood the area with mild air and bring a chance of thunderstorms. It looks similar to the last warm system. Could use some rain here, but track is too far NW once again. It's already like the mid-summer patter where the trailing cold front has a line of precip that weakens to nothing as it approaches Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 I'm very pleased to see the current chill will be short-lived. The Euro has 50s back to Iowa later this week and then 60s by early next week. The daffodils are about ready to bloom in my yard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 Despite some passing cool shots most of the second half of the month will be above average 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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