psuhoffman Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: 3rd place lol Y’all gots to git r on up here! Ain’t gots to worry bout nuttin. Don’t git more cultured den chasin da goat dat done get lose from dat dere neighbors farm gain! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Soooo. ...not too many blue collar rednecks like me in this forum There are plenty they just tend not to brag about the median income of their county! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 hour ago, Clueless said: I have had a snow pack for the entire month but somehow I feel I missed out. Or ‘we’ missed out since other members of the forum have seen even less. So weird after zippo the past few years. I’ll be happy to get another inch. Not getting my hopes up per the seasonal trend for things to dry up as soon as they pass the mountain. I can relate. Even up here despite the fact I’ve done great objectively it feels somewhat hollow because all the events underperformed to a degree. Had the 3 “big” storms this year looked like a 3-6” storm from 72 hours out and ended up 10/12/8” I’d probably feel a LOT different then the fact they looked like 20/20/12” storms from 72 hours and all trended down. I know that makes no logical sense but I feel more excited when I get a 6” snow that was only supposed to be 1-3” then a 10” snow that was supposed to be 15-20”. Don’t get me wrong I would grade this winter a solid B+ even now but had one of the big storms been a flush hit instead of a bit of a letdown it would be a A with the exact same results. I also think my perception is affected by results in the DC area since I spend so much time focused on forecasting for a s getting that area snow! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 34 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah I get that, but it's still tough to overcome the southerly flow ahead of it on the coastal plain. It is possible the GEM/RGEM have the right idea, and that would work out pretty well for Baltimore proper even, and maybe get a little snow here. I agree this is likely a forum divider (again) but it wouldn’t shock me if some decent snow sneaks in closer to Baltimore then normal given the low track. There are some pretty rare ancillary circumstances. I’ve never seen a snowfall gradient like this year across our area before. I was looking at a snowfall % of normal map yesterday and across our area goes from much below normal right through the urban core to solidly above normal in the Catoctin area and along the PA line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 This product from the NAM nest (based off what the model microphysics thinks about how "pure" the snow is as it reaches the surface) has worked really well in some recent events, and it looks pretty reasonable to me for tomorrow (1-2 inches in northern MD). IF the NAM nest is too slow with the arrival of the precip (a common bias, but a lot of the other guidance doesn't look *too* much faster), then we can potentially take more advantage of the colder profiles in place at the start of the morning. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I agree this is likely a forum divider (again) but it wouldn’t shock me if some decent snow sneaks in closer to Baltimore then normal given the low track. There are some pretty rare ancillary circumstances. I’ve never seen a snowfall gradient like this year across our area before. I was looking at a snowfall % of normal map yesterday and across our area goes from much below normal right through the urban core to solidly above normal in the Catoctin area and along the PA line. Lack of true cold hurt much of the time, and then there was bad luck/timing with the block that led to suppression/shredding of waves that could have been good events for southern/eastern areas. I guess I cant complain too much. I have just over 12", which is more than 12 times the snow from last winter lol. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 36 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: There are plenty they just tend not to brag about the median income of their county! Kinda Iike bragging about 45" of snow....it's the same but not really 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 This is a crappy setup. It just moves in too quick for the cold to retreat in northern areas. Natures version of hitting a slow infield ground ball and sprinting to first to just beat the throw by a hair. Every time we've hit the ball far this year, it's been caught at the warning track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Fingers crossed for a light coating on my ice pack. Low of 18 today, currently 32 and sunny. Feels great outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Canadians or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 3 hours ago, leesburg 04 said: 3rd place lol Is this for real? so we live in the riches region on in the nation? Seems like a sign of the times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: Kinda Iike bragging about 45" of snow....it's the same but not really I had heard about that new math .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Just now, blueberryfaygo said: Is this for real? so we live in the riches region on in the nation? Seems like a sign of the times. Uncle Sam has a deep pocketbook 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Euro 3 hour snowfall Can you show the map into west Virginia please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Setting the O/U at 0.6” IMBY 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, ChesterfieldVa80 said: Can you show the map into west Virginia please? This is total for the event at 10-1. Believe at your own peril. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 I gotta get me one of those rules that measures in tenths of an inch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: Kinda Iike bragging about 45" of snow....it's the same but not really I didn’t claim to be any better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 O/U for MBY is 1". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Almost every event has turned out warmer . Models even had last night too cold most places. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 TWC very bullish for the event tomorrow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Just now, Snowchaser said: TWC very bullish for the event tomorrow They had 5-8” for the last storm lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 37 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Looks reasonable imo It might be reasonable for the northern tier if all goes right but there’s no way 1” is making it to and south of US 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 32 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I imagine wwa's coming soon Just issued. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 WWAs for north and west of 95 for 1-3”. Makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 A nice final refresher will look nice to end the snow season. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 I’m expecting flakes but too warm temperatures for any meaningful stickage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: A little early for THE END talk ..no? No 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Pretty stout, dry airmass this has to slam into...Hoping to add 2-3" to the snow pack. Currently 35/13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Was getting ready to ask what the HRR-RONG was showing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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