aldie 22 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Just now, Baltimorewx said: It’s a stat padder for you NW guys no doubt. But I’m not gonna believe a couple 10:1 maps that put down 4-6” in my neck of the woods during the middle of the day with temps generally above freezing. The only thing this has going for it is the cold antecedent temps before precipitation that maybe makes the ground colder than it would normally be. That likely helps some folks for a couple hours late Monday morning I'm not expecting concrete accumulations but I'm game for some old sleet refreshing. The grass looks like one of Ellenwoods old maps with that translucent gray...I mean i don't live in Fairfax County for gosh sakes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: It’s a stat padder for you NW guys no doubt. But I’m not gonna believe a couple 10:1 maps that put down 4-6” in my neck of the woods during the middle of the day with temps generally above freezing. The only thing this has going for it is the cold antecedent temps before precipitation that makes the ground colder than it would normally be. That likely helps some folks for a couple hours late Monday morning C'mon this is a helluva setup for the lowlands. 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 14 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Latest Hrrr Appears the high desert country in northern Shenandoah Valley is holding.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: C'mon this is a helluva setup for the lowlands. Damn right it is, we do really well with lows over the great lakes and high pressure offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 The NAM has been doing terrible with this just as it did with the last "event" its slowly speeding up the progression and intensity but still not there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 3k speeding up too snow into Bal by 10am looks heavy too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Ramjet Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 25 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm not expecting concrete accumulations but I'm game for some old sleet refreshing. The grass looks like one of Ellenwoods old maps with that translucent gray...I mean i don't live in Fairfax County for gosh sakes The difference between Leesburg and the northwestern tip of Loudoun County is stark. I still have 100% snow cover with 5-6 inches and 50% cover on my access road. I drive into Hillsboro and it has all but disapeared. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Roger Ramjet said: The difference between Leesburg and the northwestern tip of Loudoun County is stark. I still have 100% snow cover with 5-6 inches and 50% cover on my access road. I drive into Hillsboro and it has all but disapeared. Yeah Leesburg has had a less than great year...the fact that Sykesville is doing about 5-6" better in what would typically be a similar climate shows how this year is more lat than long for storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Big tick up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 38 minutes ago, CAPE said: C'mon this is a helluva setup for the lowlands. Hmmm... I don't know about that. Instability looks too low for a decent convective severe threat down there. If dews were a bit higher then I'd agree. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 watch this become our biggest snowfall of the season in DC. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Lol.....some places in central Maryland could see more snow tomorrow than they did last Thursday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 46 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm not expecting concrete accumulations but I'm game for some old sleet refreshing. The grass looks like one of Ellenwoods old maps with that translucent gray...I mean i don't live in Fairfax County for gosh sakes Don’t be angry that you’re uncultured and afraid of the big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Good rates and morning start on Cold ground = accumulating snow Unless its rain After certainly a cold morning, it’s already 30 here in Baltimore with the sun blasting. So ground may not be as cold here as even I thought come tomorrow. N of the fall line I’m sure a lot better though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Good rates and morning start on Cold ground = accumulating snow Unless its rain Or unless there is a warm nose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 47 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: Appears the high desert country in northern Shenandoah Valley is holding.... Yeah. But I am in that 2 inch lolli just NW of Winchester. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, mattie g said: Don’t be angry that you’re uncultured and afraid of the big time. 3rd place lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 GRAF'd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Should only hit mid upper 30s even in Bmore today and 20s tonight. What was your overnight low ? It was down around 19. I know but the sun is scorching out there too lol. We’ll see how low it gets tonight that might be key 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 If this ends up happening that will be back to back storms the CMC performed very well. It sniffed this one out first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Its pretty much snowed or had a chance to snow every week for awhile now...if just one of these mf'ers had hit flush this winter would have a whole different feeling 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 23 minutes ago, MDstorm said: Lol.....some places in central Maryland could see more snow tomorrow than they did last Thursday. Since all I saw last Thursday was 2” of sleet accumulation, I abscond! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Its pretty much snowed or had a chance to snow every week for awhile now...if just one of these mf'ers had hit flush this winter would have a whole different feeling Yeah that’s what’s most disappointing. We’ve had the chances. I understand NW folks are pretty happy with the results for the most part but us metro guys, it’s just been disappointment after disappointment. All the chances and not one verified warning event. Snow wise anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 I have had a snow pack for the entire month but somehow I feel I missed out. Or ‘we’ missed out since other members of the forum have seen even less. So weird after zippo the past few years. I’ll be happy to get another inch. Not getting my hopes up per the seasonal trend for things to dry up as soon as they pass the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 34 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: After certainly a cold morning, it’s already 30 here in Baltimore with the sun blasting. So ground may not be as cold here as even I thought come tomorrow. N of the fall line I’m sure a lot better though Cold ground isn't the issue. It's the rapidly warming low and mid level temps with the southerly flow. Might be a little better if we could invert the Low and High position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 36 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Yeah that’s what’s most disappointing. We’ve had the chances. I understand NW folks are pretty happy with the results for the most part but us metro guys, it’s just been disappointment after disappointment. All the chances and not one verified warning event. Snow wise anyway You could see a coating to an inch in your hood if everything times out right, but this is clearly a northern tier deal. My temp will probably be 36 before the precip even arrives, so maybe some mangled flakes for a few mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 RGEM still likes Baltimore. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 @CAPE there is a wave developing on the front as it passes us and there is a lot of very dry air in front of it that will cool as it saturates. I agree it’s a long shot 95 SE but the only reason it’s not a straight up line of rain showers is it’s not a typical simple cold front passage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: @CAPE there is a wave developing on the front as it passes us and there is a lot of very dry air in front of it that will cool as it saturates. I agree it’s a long shot 95 SE but the only reason it’s not a straight up line of rain showers is it’s not a typical simple cold front passage. Yeah I get that, but it's still tough to overcome the southerly flow ahead of it on the coastal plain. It is possible the GEM/RGEM have the right idea, and that would work out pretty well for Baltimore proper even, and maybe get a little snow here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 1 hour ago, Baltimorewx said: After certainly a cold morning, it’s already 30 here in Baltimore with the sun blasting. So ground may not be as cold here as even I thought come tomorrow. N of the fall line I’m sure a lot better though Certainly a cold morning here but I wonder how much colder it would have been if the ground were white and not brown. Friday's relative warmth and Saturday's sun were enough to melt the (almost) 1" I received - at least in non-shady areas. Quite the contrast with the few of you to the north who have had full snow cover for several weeks Likely comes down to rates - an inch or two of snow is only a few tenths of precipitation - it could happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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