BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 2 SWS ...A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN WYOMING AND CENTRAL ERIE COUNTIES... At 809 AM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates of 1 to 2 inches was impacting the Southtowns and extended as far east as western Wyoming county. Expect this band of heavy snow to remain nearly stationary through 9 AM this morning. ...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT NIAGARA...ORLEANS AND NORTHEASTERN GENESEE COUNTIES... At 839 AM EST, bands of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates over 1 inch per hour and visibility less than one-quarter mile stretched from western Niagara County across much of Orleans county and into northern Genesee county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Good stuff! Was surprised a bit to see a single super intense band over Southern Erie last night. Thought it would have been a more moderate fanned out snow band impacting a wider area. Interested to see what happens when that band off Ontario drops down and interacts with the flow off Erie. Should be an interesting battle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 Band has weakened here but still moderate snow with 1" rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 I have some great video from last night to post in the heaviest stuff. Will post this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 20” in north Boston just got sent a few pics from friend there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Monroe county getting it now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Nice connection... 2.5 in Caz... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 Since this has been the best model so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 I woke up to a dusting! Wooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 Hamburg 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 Heavy snow has moved back in. This winter went from a C to a B+ overnight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: It definitely matters. Ice limits the natural process of LES. The less moisture is available when there is ice coverage. The reason why the best bands in history are over the tug is because of the 3 lake connection. It grabs moisture from 3 lakes and pounds it on the tug. The greater the amount of available moisture the greater the potential band strength. Yeah I get that but how much did ice cover limit this particular event? Sounds like rates were 3-4”/hour. How much higher would you realistically get? Maybe ice cover helped this in some ways with convergence or something? Just spitballing here...Thinking we would have had 5-7”/hour rates with no ice cover seems unrealistic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Yeah I get that but how much did ice cover limit this particular event? Sounds like rates were 3-4”/hour. How much higher would you realistically get? Maybe ice cover helped this in some ways with convergence or something? Just spitballing here...Thinking we would have had 5-7”/hour rates with no ice cover seems unrealistic. You're right. I think this had potential for 5"+ rates if lower ice cover. As that sounding was posted, ideal conditions for maximum snowfall rates and beautiful dendrites that accumulate quickly. Nov 2014 had 5-8" rates at its peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: You're right. I think this had potential for 5"+ rates if lower ice cover. As that sounding was posted, ideal conditions for maximum snowfall rates and beautiful dendrites that accumulate quickly. Nov 2014 had 5-8" rates at its peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 About 4 inches. Looks beautiful. So, about 4"/12 hour rates. Almost to Buffalo's rates. Nickels and dimes, dibs and dabs, puppies and kittens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 1 minute ago, It's Always Sunny said: Once in 100 year storm that was. Highest total for round 1 was 65" and round 2 49". All in 3 days. https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2014-2015&event=B https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2014-2015&event=C I have a picture saved from someone who put a sticker every 30 minutes for a few hours during heaviest stuff. The max was 8" per hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 17 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: I woke up to a dusting! Wooo Me too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Once in 100 year storm that was. Highest total for round 1 was 65" and round 2 49". All in 3 days. https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2014-2015&event=B https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2014-2015&event=C I have a picture saved from someone who put a sticker every 30 minutes for a few hours during heaviest stuff. The max was 8" per hour. That's insane lol. I vaguely remember that event but it's hard to even comprehend those types of rates. I've been in some good blizzards growing up in MA which presumed to have 3" (maybe 4") rates at times and that was pouring dendrites. I can't imagine more than that. So cool. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Apparently there was more open water than some of those pics showed. Plus, it’s occurring in the oragraphic region. probably go cellular just as the goods hit Monroe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Precip has shut off here, radar shows nada, and models show the banding over the Finger Lakes. Might be done here in the Syracuse region. This winter is proof that with even a little open water, Buffalo IS and would be KING over Syracuse most years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Precip has shut off here, radar shows nada, and models show the banding over the Finger Lakes. Might be done here in the Syracuse region. This winter is proof that with even a little open water, Buffalo IS and would be KING over Syracuse most years. And if my aunt had balls she’d be my uncle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 North Boston 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 Eden 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 Jesus Boston... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 3.4" /0.19" liquid. This looks like we've wrapped up winter snow here. Sad AF. Debating grade for season again. F+ or D-... At least Bayern Munich is losing today The f@cks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 13 minutes ago, 96blizz said: And if my aunt had balls she’d be my uncle... Hey, you may doubt, but I think there is some merit to it. They rock with open water. The 'Cuse relies on Synoptic systems to our East to provide the goods on the backside. If we continue the pattern of not many coastal systems, especially off New England....with the potential for Lake Erie to not freeze over in more years to come...I could see Buffalo potentially averaging more than Syracuse. I almost typed it could take some years for that, but the climate seems to be making some pretty quick shifts. Not sure if it's just a temporary blip or some more substantial yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Hey, you may doubt, but I think there is some merit to it. They rock with open water. The 'Cuse relies on Synoptic systems to our East to provide the goods on the backside. If we continue the pattern of not many coastal systems, especially off New England....with the potential for Lake Erie to not freeze over in more years to come...I could see Buffalo potentially averaging more than Syracuse. I almost typed it could take some years for that, but the climate seems to be making some pretty quick shifts. Not sure if it's just a temporary blip or some more subs yet. South of Buffalo. The airport got 1/2" lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Hey, you may doubt, but I think there is some merit to it. They rock with open water. The 'Cuse relies on Synoptic systems to our East to provide the goods on the backside. If we continue the pattern of not many coastal systems, especially off New England....with the potential for Lake Erie to not freeze over in more years to come...I could see Buffalo potentially averaging more than Syracuse. I almost typed it could take some years for that, but the climate seems to be making some pretty quick shifts. Not sure if it's just a temporary blip or some more subs yet. If I’m being 100% honest I just wanted to use that saying lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Just now, 96blizz said: If I’m being 100% honest I just wanted to use that saying lol. It provided a disturbing mental image... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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