Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: ASECTATT SW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: More like ASWCTATT Just now, Ginx snewx said: SW I prefer SE CT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Radar update... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: I prefer SE CT. Oh, you are referring to where you perceive to be the better spot in this event? I thought you were referencing where Luke lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 This thing is a sheared out mess... The WAA/isentropic aspect is being displaced many hours down stream to the point of being ripped away ... opening up a gap between it ( the deep blue p-type rad wall pressently DCA to NJ...) ...and a cyclogen latter response that is more more evidenced as being "starved" ...because the antecedent is stealing away seaward with the dynamics. SO, in total...this is a system that straight up clearly got butt f*ed by the fast flow... This is proving as in motion paragon, why compression does not favor deep lows. Nice learning op... It's all relative - if the in situ mechanics were overwhelming ...you may get closer to a fast moving bomb, but the stretching ...ultimately leading to shearing forces are always there...and it's up to the in situ mechanics to either able to hold it together...or burst up and shred like this bootleg 30 hour ordeal ends up becoming of it - 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Fwiw - rad also gives the impression they are ~ 30 mi too far N along that N periphery of their 'pink' cloud annotation but we'll see 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Light snow. Everything covered with about 0.10". Looking at radar trends, not expecting much more than 2" maybe 3" at best today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Hammering right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 S CT just #winning recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 So that push of sleet getting near CNJ to NYC that was not modeled there has no influences at all on how far north the snow gets? Shouldn’t that mean a stronger WAA push resulting in snow farther up into CNE and heavier bands farther into SNE ultimately? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Dumpage here. 2” new. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 coming down righteous in my old stomping grounds of Waterbury I'd say visibility under a half a mile Nice flake size 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So that push of sleet getting near CNJ to NYC that was not modeled there has no influences at all on how far north the snow gets? Shouldn’t that mean a stronger WAA push resulting in snow farther up into CNE and heavier bands farther into SNE ultimately? No. System gets sheared at a certain latitude, regardless of the thermal profile...has nothing to do with temps. If that compressed flow was not there, then yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Still nothing. Radar is deceptive. forecast is skeptical showing only 60% POPs, later start time, but I am thinking that’s conservative. we aren’t really that far north but it reminds me of some of those early 2004 systems when I lived in RI that hit westerly and Warwick but snow never made it to Woonsocket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: No. System gets sheared at a certain latitude, regardless of the thermal profile...has nothing to do with temps. If that compressed flow was not there, then yes. I think it means a bit more of a north thrust north of Metheun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, IowaStorm05 said: Still nothing. Radar is deceptive. forecast is skeptical showing only 60% POPs, later start time, but I am thinking that’s conservative. we aren’t really that far north but it reminds me of some of those early 2004 systems when I lived in RI that hit westerly and Warwick but snow never made it to Woonsocket It’s virga there. Real snow is closer to 95 to maybe 10 miles north or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I think it means a bit more of a north thrust north of Metheun I don't. Second round will try make it further north.... You can already see the RAD confirming this shunting east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I don't see a positive bust that far north. This won't get much past BDR-GINX...at least the meat anyways. That’s how it looks for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsean Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Snowing moderately here, good flake size Cheshire, CT. 28* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Flurries here. So I guess nothing for N CT at all according to Scoots and Rays posts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Finally seeing some flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Flurries here. So I guess nothing for N CT at all ? Light garbage later on this afternoon, but the meat of the WAA pulse round 1 won't reach there.Struggle to be more than 10-15 miles N of 95. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Light garbage later on this afternoon, but the meat of the WAA pulse round 1 won't reach there.Struggle to be more than 10-15 miles N of 95. So we all have to wait for wave 2 tonight ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Not "we all" in the snow hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oh, you are referring to where you perceive to be the better spot in this event? I thought you were referencing where Luke lived. Nah, just quick on my toes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So we all have to wait for wave 2 tonight ? Yeah anyone north of the meat of thiswon't get much accumulation until tonight....it will just be some shredded garbage. Can't rule out a coating to an inch this afternoon though...esp down by you. I'm expecting jack shit here until tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just barely on the outside looking in for this round. Flurries. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Moderate to heavy now. Good day to work from home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 heavy snow here, 2.5 inches so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I'm exactly 10.25 mi from the shore, always wondered that. Light snow, in a break right now. More coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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