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Feb 18-19 Storm Obs/Discussion


NorEastermass128
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Hard to see how KBOS is not over 6" given 4.5" at 7pm and best returns of the event 8-10pm...

What a fun event. Not a blockbuster, but still had its own charm.

Guidance was actually pretty decent... we were guarded after Tuesday's debacle but guidance actually verified pretty well.

The other thing that threw people off: Euro was simply not good on this. Not a good winter in general for it.

Robust solutions on GFS / UK / RGEM proved correct in handling the reinvigorated low Thurs-Fri.

Just looking at 12z Wednesday guidance... best guidance: 

NAM, RGEM, GFS, UK

GFS father > v16, though too robust in northeast MA up into southeast NH/ME

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15 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

I plan to start a thread of posting all of our Last 4 storm totals.  THEN you will see the sadness.  Even this, with 4.25".  Most everyone North of me from part 2 and South of me in part 1 has more.  The first storm of 5" where people 20 miles from me got 18" and those 5 miles from me got 10".  The last storm of "A Poor  Man's 2/7/03" with 10" was the one great one, except it does nothing for my major statistics of Southern New England unless it was a 12" storm.  So even that was sad.  

You did better than me, I don't think I even got 3" this 3 day storm.

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2 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Hard to see how KBOS is not over 6" given 4.5" at 7pm and best returns of the event 8-10pm...

What a fun event. Not a blockbuster, but still had its own charm.

Guidance was actually pretty decent... we were guarded after Tuesday's debacle but guidance actually verified pretty well.

The other thing that threw people off: Euro was simply not good on this. Not a good winter in general for it.

Robust solutions on GFS / UK / RGEM proved correct in handling the reinvigorated low Thurs-Fri.

Just looking at 12z Wednesday guidance... best guidance: 

NAM, RGEM, GFS, UK

GFS father > v16, though too robust in northeast MA up into southeast NH/ME

Yeah Euro was dogshit. BOS is going to have over a half inch of LE. 

Some of those mesos were still too aggressive. Ratios definitely helped juice these snow totals...esp just to the west and southwest of Boston. But the Euro takes an L on this one.  

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24 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

I plan to start a thread of posting all of our Last 4 storm totals.  THEN you will see the sadness.  Even this, with 4.25".  Most everyone North of me from part 2 and South of me in part 1 has more.  The first storm of 5" where people 20 miles from me got 18" and those 5 miles from me got 10".  The last storm of "A Poor  Man's 2/7/03" with 10" was the one great one, except it does nothing for my major statistics of Southern New England unless it was a 12" storm.  So even that was sad.  

Try being 4 miles SE of 18" and getting 4" for 2/1/21. Absolutely brutal

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20 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Hard to see how KBOS is not over 6" given 4.5" at 7pm and best returns of the event 8-10pm...

What a fun event. Not a blockbuster, but still had its own charm.

Guidance was actually pretty decent... we were guarded after Tuesday's debacle but guidance actually verified pretty well.

The other thing that threw people off: Euro was simply not good on this. Not a good winter in general for it.

Robust solutions on GFS / UK / RGEM proved correct in handling the reinvigorated low Thurs-Fri.

Just looking at 12z Wednesday guidance... best guidance: 

NAM, RGEM, GFS, UK

GFS father > v16, though too robust in northeast MA up into southeast NH/ME

I think it does.

6.5" final here and I'm basically next to Logan.

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53 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

I plan to start a thread of posting all of our Last 4 storm totals.  THEN you will see the sadness.  Even this, with 4.25".  Most everyone North of me from part 2 and South of me in part 1 has more.  The first storm of 5" where people 20 miles from me got 18" and those 5 miles from me got 10".  The last storm of "A Poor  Man's 2/7/03" with 10" was the one great one, except it does nothing for my major statistics of Southern New England unless it was a 12" storm.  So even that was sad.  

You're still doing better than newport. You aren't in a bad spot, as far as Rhode island goes, but you're going to have to come to terms with that caveat, just as I have come to terms with celebrating any snow and not worrying too much about what other people get, as the climo speaks for itself. I can travel in any direction by car after virtually any snowfall, and see a steady increase in snow. Frequently I'll drive 10 minutes north of here to daycare and there is twice as much snow.

This was comfortably the best event of the season, but I think I appreciated the last one more, as the 3 inches of white rain hardened into something I skied on for a week, and having any sort of variety in this God forsaken monotony is huge.

This fluff will be gone in a blink. It's gorgeous out though, and I snuck in a ski today.

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A subset of SNE totals... generally 4-7" ORH east:

KBOS 5.7 / East Boston 6.5 / Charlestown 7.1 / Dorcester 7.0

As many expected, jack was Milton 7.3: 

...Suffolk County...
  Charlestown             7.1  1127 PM  2/19  General Public
  Dorchester              7.0  1113 PM  2/19  Ham Radio
  West Roxbury            6.8  1031 PM  2/19  Ham Radio
  East Boston             6.5  1045 PM  2/19  General Public
  Roslindale              6.0  1010 PM  2/19  Public
  Logan AP                5.7  1215 AM  2/20  Airport
  Chelsea                 5.6  1105 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
  Allston                 5.4  1140 PM  2/19  Broadcast Media
...Plymouth County...
  Whitman                 7.2  1237 AM  2/20  Trained Spotter
  Rockland                6.0  1100 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
  Middleboro              5.1  1158 PM  2/19  Ham Radio
...Norfolk County...
  Milton                  7.3  1121 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
  Westwood                7.0  1000 PM  2/19  Public
  Weymouth                6.6  1144 PM  2/19  Public
  2 W Walpole             6.0  1218 AM  2/20  Public
  Walpole                 5.5  1000 PM  2/19  NWS Employee
  Sharon                  5.5   827 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
  Randolph                5.3  1030 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
  Millis                  5.0  1002 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
  Foxboro                 5.0  1133 PM  2/19  NWS Employee
...Worcester County...
  Northbridge             6.0  1053 PM  2/19  General Public
  Fitchburg               5.1   920 PM  2/19  Co-Op Observer
  Lunenburg               5.1   918 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
  Worcester               4.9  1028 PM  2/19  CWO
  Worcester AP            4.9  1216 AM  2/20  Airport
...Barnstable County...
  Marstons Mills          4.7  1244 AM  2/20  Ham Radio
  west harwich            3.8   416 PM  2/19  Ham Radio
  Barnstable              3.6   855 PM  2/19  NWS Employee
...Essex County...
  Topsfield               6.0   952 PM  2/19  Public
  Peabody                 5.5   830 PM  2/19  Public
  Swampscott              5.0  1000 PM  2/19  Public
  Ipswich                 5.0   951 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
...Middlesex County...
  Wilmington              6.5  1151 PM  2/19  Public
  West Newton             6.2  1107 PM  2/19  General Public
  Framingham              5.5  1027 PM  2/19  General Public
CONNECTICUT

...Hartford County...
  Burlington              4.5   802 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
  Collinsville            4.0   853 PM  2/19  General Public
  South Windsor           4.0  1112 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
  North Granby            3.7   756 PM  2/19  Trained Spotter
  West Hartford           3.5   853 PM  2/19  Broadcast Media
RHODE ISLAND

...Kent County...
  TF Green AP             6.7  1215 AM  2/20  Airport
...Providence County...
  East Providence         4.5  1000 PM  2/19  Public
  Providence              3.0  1100 PM  2/19  Public
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