Amped Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, Quasievil said: Agree. Being conservative is the right approach here. We've simply failed too many times to expect anything different., Could just leave the 2-4" forecast up for Baltimore for every event this year. Would have been close enough most of the time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 That satellite view is great. If we are lucky, we will get a few hours of clear skies after sunset. That certainly can’t hurt. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 pretty good thump per Euro at 12z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 Euro, snow starts at 12z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Not really much different in EURO that I see at 21...snow entering western zones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Yeah I see it got rid of some mixing near DC at 24. Mod snow entering 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Seems a little better north of DC at 27...mix line holds off slightly more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 at 18z--Leeburg is below 0 at 850 and 700. Where is the warm nose? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 Sleet next panel, but man, it's hauling. Hopefully it has that second wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hypothetical 240 hour snow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I will admit I was wrong about suppression last night... looks like 2-4 inches of snow with another 1-2 inches of sleet tacked on (for my area), I will take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Sleet next panel, but man, it's hauling. Hopefully it has that second wave annnnnnnd it's gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Its pretty close to the same as far as snow totals though...slightly less on 10:1...nearly identical on Kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, WhiteoutMD said: annnnnnnd it's gone 12 hour storm. with first wave..hopefully it has the trailing wave again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 32/14 at 1pm with filtered sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 Well, at least the thump is still there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Looks about 0.25" inches drier than 6z for the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Spits pixie dust back at DC east thru 60 but it's barely anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 this is bs. Half the qpf of GFS. The euro is always so dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: Plus it's in the mid to upper 30s Friday afternoon, so not sure what light precip will accomplish... it will probably stick to the snow covered by sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Ji said: this is bs. Half the qpf of GFS. The euro is always so dry .8" of QPF that is all happening below 32? sign me up. I'd like more but if that's the low-end amount I think we should all be okay. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Seems to be haulin' ass though which is going to cut down the QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: not good enough boss. It will be like .48 on 18z run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: this is bs. Half the qpf of GFS. The euro is always so dry Euro has been the driest of the models the couple days, hasn't it? Anybody wager a guess as to why? Less amped or? Edit: I see someone suggested it's quicker timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, LP08 said: Looks about 0.25" inches drier than 6z for the DC area. I don't think qpf will be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: .8" of QPF that is all happening below 32? sign me up. I'd like more but if that's the low-end amount I think we should all be okay. Yep, that’s where I’m at. A few inches of snow and sleet on top. Sounds fun. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 34 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Do you go back and do a horizontal line with the actual once the event is over? Yup! Just a little reference line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: Yep, that’s where I’m at. A few inches of snow and sleet on top. Sounds fun. its become a run of the mill snowstorm we used to get in the 80s. Really nothing special about this one according to the euro 1 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Warm Nose said: Seems to be haulin' ass though which is going to cut down the QPF And scary, because most storms this winter seem to move through even quicker than had been modeled. Even that rain event two nights ago, was here and gone in just a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 NYC gets like 30 hrs of pixie dust. Going to set a record for the most boring storm ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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