Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Congrats Ji 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Quasievil said: Exactly. By the time it starts sleeting, we've got a comfortable snow pack. Lock it up. I agree I'm just saying the map showing 9" is misleading... 18Z NAM was good to the whole area for sure I'd lock it up in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 The run isn't over, but this 4.4" jack lolli on the 3k for DCA is hilarious. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: Congrats Ji If that map verifies it will be a proper bust for basically our entire subforum except DCA lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3K is reallllyyy ugly for the area. It snows for an hour or two in most spots. Great consensus we got going on this mix line! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 21 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: LWX updated their maps... I’m holding them to that 8-12 up here. There will be consequences...might have to wag my finger even! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: If that map verifies it will be a proper bust for basically our entire subforum except DCA lol. Something is wrong with the algorithm output...I probably shouldnt have posted lol...Toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: I’m holding them to that 8-12 up here. There will be consequences...might have to wag my finger even! Great minds think alike lol. Wasn't your map 6 to 12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, osfan24 said: 3K is reallllyyy ugly for the area. It snows for an hour or two in most spots. Great consensus we got going on this mix line! 4 miles NW of me there is a Winter storm warning, still waiting to see whether Mount Holly advances the Winter Storm Watch here to Warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Deck Pic said: Something is wrong with the algorithm output...I probably shouldnt have posted lol...Toss BTW is it nice for you to be out of urban heat island hell? I remember all your obs from past events basically 40 degrees and sad hahaha. Do you take some trips up to Canaan at all? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: BTW is it nice for you to be out of urban heat island hell? I remember all your obs from past events basically 40 degrees and sad hahaha. Do you take some trips up to Canaan at all? Thanks...I love Davis/Canaan...I will go out there soon. Only 90 minutes away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Congrats Ji Wtf is that BS? That better be a 1 hour snowfall map! 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Low Res NAM, better solution... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Oh thank goodness. that 3k nam snow map was UGLY 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 NAM twins making a BIG move in the viagra-direction for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Fair to say 0z models will still be relevant for this storm due to timing of the start, Im expecting a positive game time shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Hard pass on taking this run (or really any NAM run) seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Low Res NAM, better solution... Where have I seen this scenario play out before.......... This map should be the poster child for the 2020-2021 winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 9 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Congrats Ji What's the total QPF look like...is it just as pock-marked looking as this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Congrats Ji The teachers will have Ji’s head if this verifies 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Always in Zugzwang said: What's the total QPF look like...is it just as pock-marked looking as this? It looks like a 3 year old drew it with crayons after guzzling some mountain dew from their sippy cup. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Wtf is that BS? That better be a 1 hour snowfall map! You may be right! Seems to snow for just one hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Hard pass on taking this run (or really any NAM run) seriously. Def the standard issue NAM overdoing precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just a slight difference in qpf from the two NAM's out this way. 3k says .5 total. 12K says 1.1 total. Nice consistency. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treyfish Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 311 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=winter storm warning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I'll throw my hat in the ring this time. I like 1-3/2-4" for DC before the changeover, a little more in Baltimore with amounts steadily increasing to the north and west. More concerned about the potential for prolonged icing along and east of I-95. 13 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Too bad...would have liked to see it run over the mid atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 8 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: What's the total QPF look like...is it just as pock-marked looking as this? As Matt said, something’s off about the WB Kuchera map. This is the hour DC and southwest flip to sleet. The 0.5+” band is narrower than in the 12K, but its nowhere as funky as the Kuchera map suggests. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Wtf is that BS? That better be a 1 hour snowfall map! No thanks if that is the future nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, gymengineer said: As Matt said, something’s off about the WB Kuchera map. This is the hour DC and southwest flip to sleet. The 0.5+” band is narrower than in the 12K, but its nowhere as funky as the Kuchera map suggests. Thanks. Yeah, something looks a little odd. And sorry @Deck Pic, didn't see you had already posted the total QPF just before I asked my question, but thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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