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Feb 18/19 Disco/Obs


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Just now, Deer Whisperer said:

My benchmark as well. If I get that I'll be satisfied. Don't care about totals at this point. 31.1/16.4

Of course you don't care about totals... you have already been reaped.

My benchmark is 4+ (snow only)... otherwise I may be joining you.

Judging by today's models I think it is doable.

 

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1 minute ago, KAOS said:

Of course you don't care about totals... you have already been reaped.

My benchmark is 4+ (snow only)... otherwise I may be joining you.

Judging by today's models I think it is doable.

 

I wish you the best of luck then. You'll get more than me

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58 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

My first and only call for my area is 3-4" of snow and a bunch of sleet. Once it shuts off I'm thinking 5" total of frozen stuff. Sleet will pummel and compact for sure. My plan is to measure snow at the beginning of the flip, clear the table, then measure sleet. Roads will be the worst they've been since Jan 16. Jan 19 was 11" in my yard but iirc the roads were fine. Not to mention snow distribution was all over the place so road impacts varied by the mile. Tomorrow will be a different story. 

I like this call. It's pretty in line with the pros at NWS too. I do however have more confidence in a potential high bust considering the trends in guidance at the final hour here. The key for me is temps. If we clearly start as snow and dew points have to meet as a bunch of QPF falls, it opens the window for us. It's a lot harder to get no snow from the setup than 5-6". 

You'd like to think that the closer to the event, the more accurate the modeling, but who the fark knows anymore. 

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1 hour ago, Bob Chill said:

My first and only call for my area is 3-4" of snow and a bunch of sleet. Once it shuts off I'm thinking 5" total of frozen stuff. Sleet will pummel and compact for sure. My plan is to measure snow at the beginning of the flip, clear the table, then measure sleet. Roads will be the worst they've been since Jan 16. Jan 19 was 11" in my yard but iirc the roads were fine. Not to mention snow distribution was all over the place so road impacts varied by the mile. Tomorrow will be a different story. 

That's my plan as well. As soon as the changeover happens, clear it off.

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