DanTheMan Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 12:00 PM, LP08 said: Expected the warm nose, not the crappy radar but it is what it is. Expand Yeah if we cant get snow I would at least like it to be a heavy sleet bomb.. 27/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 12:00 PM, LP08 said: Expected the warm nose, not the crappy radar but it is what it is. Expand That dead zone/precip fork a lot of guidance was hinting at is showing up nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 11:58 AM, mappy said: Been texting Ava since I woke up, a "forecasting nightmare" as she put it. Expand Sure is a nightmare. We're back to all snow. Moderate to borderline heavy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 11:56 AM, attml said: 28.9 / 26 We had a 1/2 inch of snow and now all sleet in Severna Park??? WTF??? Why can't we ever just get a decent snowstorm? Expand Be glad you got a half inch of snow. I got no snow whatsoever here in Dundalk. Immediately sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 12:01 PM, frd said: Enjoy ! I love the snow covered landscape. Expand My favorite time of day is twilight with a snowy landscape 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PasadenaMDSnow Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Sleet here as well. So odd to see it laying on the road more than the grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Getting some big fatty parachutes now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 11:51 AM, EastCoast NPZ said: It has either switched to sleet here too, or has quit altogether. Visibility has increased dramatically. Eyeballing around 3" on the ground. Expand Dumping snow here right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Ava just thanked @mappy for her snow updates on TV. . 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 12:03 PM, HighStakes said: Sure is a nightmare. Were back to all snow. Moderate to borderline heavy. Expand yeah id call it heavy snow here too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 12:04 PM, Scraff said: Ava just thanked @mappy for her snow updates on TV. . Expand she did! 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Mostly snow now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 12:04 PM, mappy said: she did! Expand That’s because your area is the only one to report any snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 12:05 PM, Scraff said: That’s because your area is the only one to report any snow. Expand LOL some of that, yes. But we are good friends also, we chat often and not always about the weather hahahaha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Not gonna even care what Radar shows. Today is looking out the window, seeing things look icy and being glad it’s not rain and 36° 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Roads have caved here in Westminster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 11:57 AM, MN Transplant said: They will be launching the balloon from Dulles in a few minutes. We’ll get the results in 45-60 min. The SPC mesoanalysis page has a model-derived estimate of the upper air structure right now. 850s are a problem (more than 700 or 925). I’m guessing there is even a worse layer in there above 850. Expand 80 degrees! Heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EB89 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Now mostly snow again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Heavy snow with lots of sleet here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 28/23, sleet. Received ~1" of snow thus far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 11:17 AM, osfan24 said: No, but the much-ridiculed NAM once again lead the way on this. What a winter it has had. You can take the GFS, HRRR, and Euro and throw them in the trash can. I'm sitting at 25 with a mix of sleet and freezing rain. Seems to go to all sleet in heavier bands. This is probably the most frustrating winter I can remember. At least some previous winters, you just closed the blinds and took the loss and took your lumps because you were coming off a run of really good winters. The amount of time I've spent tracking essentially nothing this winter makes me understand why Bob Chill stepped away. Expand This was so much more bearable just hugging the NAM from the start. There’s still a good storm to be salvaged here, just relies on getting enough sleet to look like snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 All sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 11:53 AM, frd said: Imagine your rates , darker blues, banding, etc., and location is helping too , here is it meh. Many corporations in northern Delaware closed due to the winter storm warning. I doubt we see 4 to 6 inches of snowfall here. But, I will wait before declaring complete failure for 3 out of the 4 storms this season Oh, I shouldn't even use the word storms, implies something major, not. Expand This event is a good example of why these "precip-type" radar maps are often flawed. The indicated precip type is not based purely on radar data; they add supplemental model data to determine the likeliest precip type at the location of each radar observation. The dual-polarization observations, however, show the sleet/snow line from southern Carroll County northeastward into PA, where reflectivity (ZH) and differential reflectivity (ZDR) values are enhanced due to bright banding, and correlation coefficient is reduced due to a mix of melting particles with different shapes. SImilarly, the rain/freezing rain transition is where the correlation coefficient increases south of Anne Arundel County, with both ZDR and ZH values decreasing here as raindrops dominate the backscatter. One other thing to note is the higher correlation coefficient and lower ZH and ZDR closer to the radar site in northern VA. The lack of a melting signature here is because the radar beam is closer to the ground at these locations and thus propagates beneath the melting layer; once the radar beam is higher off the ground at locations farther from the radar site, the polarimetric melting layer signature is visible. When the beam gets high enough, it samples above the melting layer and the signature disappears, as correlation coefficient becomes close to 1 and ZH and ZDR values decrease. 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 It's funny watching the pellets bounce off of the grill 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodwidp Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 All sleet here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Columbia, 7am: Looks like we may have started briefly as pre-dawn snow before changing to sleet/ZR. Temp down from 25.4 at 6am to 25.0 at 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Getting some of those Arkansas bands now. Just ripping. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 11:58 AM, mappy said: Been texting Ava since I woke up, a "forecasting nightmare" as she put it. Expand On 2/18/2021 at 12:01 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: So the NAM from a few days ago as our far NW outliner wins again. Sheesh. Expand The NAM won this 24 hours ago. I called it yesterday morning. When the NAM says no. It's no. Light slop 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhoady Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 On 2/18/2021 at 11:24 AM, Rhoady said: 11z: 26F/25, light mix, 80/20 PL/ZR, 1.2" The meso analysis that dec pic posted is relevant at least afa precip changing back from 90% ZR to 80-90% PL an hr or so later imby Expand 12z: 28F/25, light mix, 60/40 PL/ZR-, 1.3". The accumulated precip is the worst to drive or walk on rn. Mini-glaciers forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Ice rink 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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