WEATHER53 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Man the clouds are moving. Fully clear to fully cloudy really fast . Gonna hazard 40mph? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Snow just started here, currently 29.5/20.1. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Euro seems about right imo...we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 looks like we're gonna hold around 30/31 for a while. Dews still in the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2am obs 28.5F 16DP. I think we get a 3-5 degree temp drop with steady onset. Light greens dried up over me. Can we see how far down snow makes it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchvoniWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 When I first moved to DC I quickly became obsessed with tracking models and potential snow, then some bad years made me swear it off for good. Now I've found this forum and am right back at it wide awake at 2am trying to talk myself into believing the GFS and also into not believing the GFS. Help. (Also hi, nice to meet you all.) 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbite_falls Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Welcome to the asylum bud. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigsnowdog Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 27/13, +4 temp in last hour, -2 dew point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 6z HRRR 24 hour QPF - 95 from dc to BAL 0.9-1.0 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickymdwx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 28/16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Wonder what model dark sky uses for its forecast algorithm. It’s an “up to the minute” kind of weather app. Forecast changes every hour - perhaps the HRRR? Now has 7-11” for my brother in ellicott city and 5-9” for my area. Odd considering every forecast until tonight had my area getting more (in line with guidance) I expect climo to help me out here in this setup but I’m definitely curious what models that app relies on for its data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Current OBS: union bridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Multiple stations showing a drop of 4+ degrees in a very short period in West Virginia under heavy snow banding. Man, if we can get back down to 20-22 as the heavies are overhead, It’s going to be a really fun morning. A few hours of nice accumulation looking more likely. Shame the precip didn’t move in at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchvoniWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, jayyy said: Wonder what model dark sky uses for its forecast algorithm. It’s an “up to the minute” kind of weather app. Forecast changes every hour - perhaps the HRRR? Now has 7-11” for my brother in ellicott city and 5-9” for my area. Odd considering every forecast until tonight had my area getting more (in line with guidance) I expect climo to help me out here in this setup but I’m definitely curious what models that app relies on for its data. https://darksky.net/attribution For what it's worth, they are now showing 5"-9" for me too. Up from the last hour or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, SchvoniWx said: https://darksky.net/attribution For what it's worth, they are now showing 5"-9" for me too. Up from the last hour or so. Thank you! Much appreciated. That’s actually a lot more data than I expected it to consider. Damn. That’s solid news for the immediate west and north Baltimore suburbs. Shows 8-12” for Baltimore. Gutsy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchvoniWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, jayyy said: Thank you! Much appreciated. That’s actually a lot more data than I expected it to consider. Damn. That’s solid news for the immediate west and north Baltimore suburbs Yeah I remember reading about it a while back and being surprised. Still mad at them for moving to Apple, but have kept it on my phone with the Today Weather app for Android. I hope they're right, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Here comes the claw... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, SchvoniWx said: Yeah I remember reading about it a while back and being surprised. Still mad at them for moving to Apple, but have kept it on my phone with the Today Weather app for Android. I hope they're right, lol. I work for Apple, so I’m not terribly mad about the free access hehe. In my opinion, it’s a great app and is usually pretty spot on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 SREF 3z mean. 4-6 for DC/BAL 6-8 far NW, small stripe of 8-10 north of Winchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 quick quick dusting in Montclair. Awaiting the better returns to the Southwest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 6z nam has is very robust with wave 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knglover Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 27/16 very light snow has started in Montclair Edit: @SnowGolfBro ninjaed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: 6z nam has is very robust with wave 2 This is good right? Late night posts are hard to decipher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 This is good right? Late night posts are hard to decipher. Yea...it had hardly anything before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: This is good right? Late night posts are hard to decipher. Yea...it had hardly anything before Copy. I could have checked but eh. Wasn’t in the mood for disappointment this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Copy. I could have checked but eh. Wasn’t in the mood for disappointment this early. Wave 2 seems to be still evolving but 12k nam made a good move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 23, Cloudy. Looks like some light snow came through at some point. I have a quasi-dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 23, Cloudy. Looks like some light snow came through at some point. I have a quasi-dustingMore than you got at dca last winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 3 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: 23, Cloudy. Looks like some light snow came through at some point. I have a quasi-dusting More than you got at dca last winter The real heavies might not really get to us until 6-7 am. We're probably wasting time being awake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: The real heavies might not really get to us until 6-7 am. We're probably wasting time being awake. Sage advice. Hitting the snooze button for a bit. Zzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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