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Feb 18/19 Disco/Obs


nj2va
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Just now, Deck Pic said:

lol...It's a short term model and it completely screws DC...

It drops 3" of snow/sleet on DC (mostly sleet) but the warm layer is only about 1C for a lot of that...if its off by just a bit then its in line with the euro pretty well on the thermals.  It's precipitation representation is pretty close also except in typical NAM fashion its wet.  They are fairly close in terms of the progression of the event just off by very minor details.  The ground truth ends up a big difference because DC is on the razors edge for precip type.  But even then...the Euro was like 3-4" of snow with some sleet...the NAM would be some snow with 2-3" of sleet...so its not really that far apart in terms of how much "stuff" is on the ground in the end either.  

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3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

That doesn’t make any sense. This implies that their thinking means nothing to you. I mean unless that’s how you feel then you do you. 

Its easy to choose the warmest/least snowiest model so if they go with the NAM...so be it. Dosent mean its going to  be an all sleet because the pro guys are favoring that model

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