T. August Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 .7” of sleet. Worst bust of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 About 0.8” or 0.9” of sleet. Ready for spring in DC. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, T. August said: .7” of sleet. Worst bust of the year. It definitely wasn’t Dolly Parton. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Definitely living through one of the worst forecast busts I can remember. Even those of us who stayed mostly snow aren’t going to come close to what was forecast on this one. Models were showing 6-12 inches here not 36 hours ago, and I might have 3.5 inches out there. This winter sucks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 It’s getting windy out. That’s interesting. 32 and breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 12 hours before the storm began, here's what the hourly forecast looked like. Not picking on the NWS here since this is what most were forecasting, but it's actually impressive how differently this storm ended up for a huge chunk of the forum. From winter storm warning with hours of heavy snow expected to a few hours of heavy sleet, quite the difference from forecast to reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickymdwx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 inch of sleet/snow .65 water equivalent 29/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Added around 4" here. Meh. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 When Ji said yesterday he saw the back edge I chuckled. Now I’m not chuckling. Not even a single giggle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I'm about to start moving a bunch of stuff to banter. I'm asking yall to try to get just into the obs from here on out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 24 minutes ago, nj2va said: About 0.8” or 0.9” of sleet. Ready for spring in DC. No question. Pathetic event for the most part pathetically modeled by the globals. Waste of time hahaha but oh well I got to look at some pretty digital snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Checking out my obs on the home weather station online, winds flipped to NE and temp dropped to 26. Looks like something trying to blossom on radar to our west? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Wow went from 34 to 29 when the wind shifted. Very nice 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 38 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I measured 5.5" of pretty much all snow when I first got up and shoveled off my "measuring spot". Since then I got 2.5" of half snow/sleet mix for a total of 8" of frozen that fell but the depth everywhere is still only 6.5" due to compacting from the weight of the ice on top of the snow. But lets assume the 5.5" had higher ratios so is like .45 qpf. But the 2.5" since is VERY low ratio lets say 5-1 so best guess I was close to 1" qpf up here under that banding...which makes sense because that is what all the guidance said the qpf would be only they had that band along 95 near DC not up here. Agreed. We definitely did better than anticipated with banding early on, which saved us up here… big time. We verified, but definitely not in the way we expected to. Models showed that insane banding initially setting up near 95 (MoCo - HoCo death band type depiction) which is what gave those areas 3-6” before the flip on some guidance. However, the band setup shop about 25-30 miles north of the general consensus and those areas closer to 95 never quite got the jump start they needed to overcome that stubborn warm layer . Over 3” fell in roughly 90 mins to kick off the storm up our way (sorry you were asleep for that man, I was hoping to see your and @clskinsfan ‘s names pop up in the thread as that crazy band was parked over the area from Winchester to Manchester) This, of course, was a huge help in terms of verifying the warning. We had 6.25” of fluff when I cleared the board as sleet began mixing in more prevalently , then I measured 2.25” of snow / crust when precip finally shut off for a total of 8.5” of frozen. Roughly 7” remain due to compaction. Such a shame for folks closer to 95. It’s just been that type of winter. Yet another storm where a 1 degree bust at the mid levels takes away a 6+” opportunity from the metros and immediate suburbs. It’s never anything big… but there’s seemingly always that ONE thing that hinders that area. Really hope the craziness that is March in terms of dualing air masses brings that area their biggie. They deserve a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Checking out my obs on the home weather station online, winds flipped to NE and temp dropped to 26. Looks like something trying to blossom on radar to our west? Round deuce? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm about to start moving a bunch of stuff to banter. I'm asking yall to try to get just into the obs from here on out. Unfortunately from here on out I don’t think there will be anymore OBS, looks like the only possibility is IBS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, jayyy said: Round deuce? I suspect the stuff in Tennessee and Kentucky will be our drizzle later 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Measured around 1.5" of sleet at multiple points on my sidewalk. The most sleet I've had since 1994. 18 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 The western band is setting up. Just a little too far nw right now. Come to papa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BFZ Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just finished shoveling. About 6” of...stuff...We went from snow to sleet, back to snow and fished with sleet/zr. I would’ve preferred all snow simply because it was about as heavy as 12” with the sleet mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Time sensitive, but check out the Base Velocity on LWX radar. Near the radar site, you have inbound returns to the north of the site, indicating N/NE flow. But if you look at the returns over Hagerstown, it's outbound, indicating southerly flow aloft. Not something you see every day in these parts. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Temp down from 29 to 27 in the last hour. Have not ventured out to measure the sleet, but I would guesstimate around 1.5" of sleet. I always set the mower down to 2" for the last mow in early December to help me measure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 The precip down in TN just seems to want to stay together. It might make it up to us tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 We always over-achieve at under-achieving! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, attml said: We always over-achieve at under-achieving! Hoping for some heavy FZDZ later. Kinda wanted the iced trees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Watch the activity on the back end turn everything into an ice palace tonight and we somehow trip into an ice storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Went for not exactly a Jebwalk since it's sleet... but a lot of the secondary and tertiary roads in downtown CHO remain messy. Not anything someone with experience couldn't handle easily, but compacted sleet with a frozen ground makes for something that's really stubborn to get rid of. It's a ghost town here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Seems like temps came in under forecast for today. Not sure it means anything other than the fact that it ended up colder than thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Watch the activity on the back end turn everything into an ice palace tonight and we somehow trip into an ice storm. To be honest - seeing the ice up in the trees is always a cool sight. I know nobody wants the power outages and such and accidents...but that would be a cool "end" to the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Seems like temps came in under forecast for today. Not sure it means anything other than the fact that it ended up colder than thought 30 here. I was expecting to at least see 32. Could always rise a bit overnight I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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