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Feb 18/19 Disco/Obs


nj2va
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  On 2/18/2021 at 11:50 AM, EHoffman said:

Well at least some people are having fun with this

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I woke up hoping for the 1-2 hours of snow but saw the radar that we missed the initial thump of precip that went way north of us.  Ill be interested if we make it to the 0.8 QPF that basically all models had us at but I won't hold my breath.

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  On 2/18/2021 at 11:49 AM, mappy said:

its back to all snow now. 

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Imagine your rates , darker blues, banding, etc., and location is helping too , here is it meh. Many corporations  in northern Delaware closed due to the winter storm warning. I doubt we see 4 to 6 inches of snowfall here. But,  I will wait before declaring complete failure for 3 out of the 4 storms this season Oh, I shouldn't even use the word storms, implies something major, not.  

 

Static map

 

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  On 2/18/2021 at 11:53 AM, frd said:

Imagine your rates , darker blues, banding, etc., and location is helping too , here is it meh. Many corporations  in northern Delaware closed due to the winter storm warning. I doubt we see 4 to 6 inches of snowfall here. But,  I will wait before declaring complete failure for 3 out of the 4 storms this season Oh, I shouldn't even use the word storms, implies something major, not.  

 

Static map

 

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for sure. not the best snow growth, but its pretty!

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  On 2/18/2021 at 11:47 AM, NovaWahoo said:

Can someone post most recent DCA/IAD soundings (or show me where to get them)? Thx.

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They will be launching the balloon from Dulles in a few minutes.  We’ll get the results in 45-60 min.  The SPC mesoanalysis page has a model-derived estimate of the upper air structure right now.  850s are a problem (more than 700 or 925).  I’m guessing there is even a worse layer in there above 850.

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  On 2/18/2021 at 11:52 AM, LP08 said:

I woke up hoping for the 1-2 hours of snow but saw the radar that we missed the initial thump of precip that went way north of us.  Ill be interested if we make it to the 0.8 QPF that basically all models had us at but I won't hold my breath.

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Radar is looking awfully mediocre at best; I'd like to say I'm surprised but I expected this.  That LWX AFD about the warm nose last night was the nail in the coffin for this one. 

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  On 2/18/2021 at 11:57 AM, MN Transplant said:

They will be launching the balloon from Dulles in a few minutes.  We’ll get the results in 45-60 min.  The SPC mesoanalysis page has a model-derived estimate of the upper air structure right now.  850s are a problem (more than 700 or 925).  I’m guessing there is even a worse layer in there above 850.

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I’m guessing either that 850 layer is pretty warm or extends down to like 875 or 900 given the FZRA.

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