aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 A little more sleet mixing in...but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Have about 3” inches of snow/sleet Snowshoe WV. It’s now heavy freezing rain coming down now. I’m expecting to lose power here soon. God speed everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Forecasts have definitely improved over the years. There were countless busts in the 90s due to similar setups or just flat out undermodeled downsloping, etc. If anything, it’s impressive that the nam was so intent and correct about the mix line. Globals have improved at 5 day leads but there’s clearly still some areas for improvement in these types of fringe setups. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Welcome aboard the winter 2020-2021 failure train, folks! Plenty of seats in the back! Glad to have you along for the ride! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, 87storms said: Forecasts have definitely improved over the years. There were countless busts in the 90s due to similar setups or just flat out undermodeled downsloping, etc. If anything, it’s impressive that the nam was so intent and correct about the mix line. Globals have improved at 5 day leads but there’s clearly still some areas for improvement in these types of fringe setups. Yeah the biggest bust that comes to mind was Jan 25, 2000. Of course that was great for snow lovers! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, mattie g said: Just woke up. I’m guessing people are upset? Should I post the CC radar for you? 26.7 and all sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, 87storms said: Forecasts have definitely improved over the years. There were countless busts in the 90s due to similar setups or just flat out undermodeled downsloping, etc. If anything, it’s impressive that the nam was so intent and correct about the mix line. Global have improved at 5 day leads but there’s clearly still some areas for improvement in these types of fringe setups. I think people just need to start putting more stock into seasonal trends. Every winter event this year, at least in DC, has featured a quicker flip to mix and less snow than models suggested. In other years, however, it seemed like every winter event went the other direction, where snow hung on longer and forecasts were always busting a bit low. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 The NAM was trash with this storm. The GEM was the only model that insisted this was purely an ice bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, MN Transplant said: Should I post the CC radar for you? 26.7 and all sleet I’m good. Just enjoying the meltdowns among the folks who haven’t had need to melt yet this year! 26 and sleet in Burke. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, 87storms said: Forecasts have definitely improved over the years. There were countless busts in the 90s due to similar setups or just flat out undermodeled downsloping, etc. If anything, it’s impressive that the nam was so intent and correct about the mix line. Globals have improved at 5 day leads but there’s clearly still some areas for improvement in these types of fringe setups. The column on the globals was super borderline. We just collectively chose to ignore the possibility that they might be a smidge too cold. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Should I post the CC radar for you? 26.7 and all sleet I’m trying to interpret it now and not having much luck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NovaWahoo Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 25/23 and a mix of sleet and freezing rain. And darkness. So much darkness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hsq Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 17 minutes ago, IronTy said: Lol all snow here right now. Had sleet for a few minutes around 5am but then back to light snow. Light coating on the ground. Glad I didn't get invested for this event. Flipped over to ZR for me already. Maybe a little sleet and some flakes sparsely mixed in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Same. Ugh. Are you still sleeting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: I’m trying to interpret it now and not having much luck. Doesn't feel like this wants to be anything but freezing rain with some sleet here...guess we hope for a fast mover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Im ready for spring! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I’m trying to interpret it now and not having much luck. No, it is a better tool when there is one distinct transition. This is a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Already in a precip hole lol. Light sleet and snizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
300 square feet Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 26.9 and moderate freezing rain in upper NW. A few sleet pellets here and there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I hope this just goes to freezing rain. Sleet is so annoying and boring. Another great forecast. Snow until 11am lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Even the Radar Lies... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just sleet. Started as and continues as sleet. Don’t care. It’s frozen 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Looks like maybe an inch of something in Darlington, MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: Already in a precip hole lol. Light sleet and snizzle. Radar doesn't even look that impressive. Lots of holes. Not that matters lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Still hope the precip comes to fruition. Would still be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, blueberryfaygo said: Are you still sleeting? Freezing rain sleet mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just sleet. Started as and continues as sleet. Don’t care. It’s frozenNo sleet is not frozen. Its like saying golf is a sport 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, dailylurker said: Radar doesn't even look that impressive. Lots of holes. Not that matters lol Another pathetic event , currently sleet and some freezing rain. No snow. All hail the NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, dailylurker said: Radar doesn't even look that impressive. Lots of holes. Not that matters lol NW has been getting banded with yellow and oranges all morning. Along and east of 95 not so much 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ka60 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 29 minutes ago, Ka60 said: Clarksburg - Switched from heavy rain to heavy sleet now 6:07am my radar is lying lol I can confirm that it is heavy sleet with few flakes. IT IS NOT SNOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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