jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Can somebody who pays far more attention to detail than I do let me know how temps look currently versus what models were predicting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 23 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=prateptype_cat&rh=2021021800&fh=6&r=conus&dpdt=&mc= Thanks man! Can’t wait to see your deck pic 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, jayyy said: Thanks man! Can’t wait to see your deck pic He doesn’t have a wide enough lens for that. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 18/13 at Deep Creek with returns overhead. Nothing on the Ring cameras yet, though. 29/15 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 24/15 in Germantown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Temps have come up 2 degrees! 26/15 in Purcellville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 33 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: 31/15 downtown - at least we're below freezing this time. And this afternoon was not 52 for a high with a preceding 35 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 hour ago, pazzo83 said: NE wind rn is pretty damn cold tho How much for Philly And Sleet is like having a hot sister Both got rolled out in last 24 hours! Good times ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 24 minutes ago, Ji said: 25 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: UKMET has round 2 tomorrow night also...generally .2-.3 QPF across the area with that. Just about all guidance has that now. Does it have round 1? yes...actually focuses that further NW. Bullseye of precip is Winchester northeast to Carroll County. Would be mostly snow NW of a line from about Sterling to Owings Mills. Mostly ice SE of there and looks like about 4-6" of snow with wave 1 NW of there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 51 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Since we're in the really short range so the hrrr should get the majority if not all the weight from here in. Unless it gets worse at 4z. How about if it gets better? I don't see any other meso doing this, but the HRRR is insistent on the best dynamics/rates being at the tail end of the thump. This would probably be a rather fun sounding.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Hours 12-17 on the 3Z HRRR were fuuuuego Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: It's like the models know EXACTLY where Western avenue is. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 hour ago, Ji said: Its easy to choose the warmest/least snowiest model so if they go with the NAM...so be it. Dosent mean its going to be an all sleet because the pro guys are favoring that model Right...yet all I said is that it was probably not the best sign that they were... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: It's like the models know EXACTLY where Western avenue is. Well that would certanly be distressing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's like the models know EXACTLY where Western avenue is. I used to live on Western Avenue! My profile pic was taken there. Unfortunately, we tended to have DC weather and not MoCo weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 HRRR trends are definitely encouraging for @WxUSAF @Scraff @MDweatherman and co 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Hugging the model with the furthest south snow sleet line always works out so well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, jayyy said: HRRR trends are definitely encouraging for @WxUSAF @Scraff @MDweatherman and co I'll take my 5 to 6 in Fairfax City lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Ellinwood's map is probably mostly right as usual 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 Not in the grey zone! Woot woot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEblizzard88 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 14 minutes ago, jayyy said: HRRR trends are definitely encouraging for @WxUSAF @Scraff @MDweatherman and co Hell yea! I’m def glad I don’t live south anymore. The last 4 years in McLean were rough - minus 2016. Always way better up in these parts! Just excited to play with my pup in the snow tomorrow whether its 2” or 6.5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Radar shows a band headed for the WV panhandle and Hagerstown area. It extends most of the way through WV now so it might have some staying power. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 18 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Ellinwood's map is probably mostly right as usual Looks like 3-6 for Baltimore? Right about where 2-4 and 4-8 meet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Looks like 3-6 for Baltimore? Right about where 2-4 and 4-8 meet That's why these maps drive me crazy, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Euro very juicy thump, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Euro going with the break after major thump... no precip around at 00z or 06z FRI for most part 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Closer wth the coastal at 36, it's trying damnit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, EHoffman said: Closer wth the coastal at 36, it's trying damnit Close but no cigar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Pretty much done with precip after 00z... coastal close but no cigar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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