BullCityWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 18z Euro has a precip minimum in the foothills just like the 18z ICON. Something to watch for areas west of 77. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: 18z Euro has a precip minimum in the foothills just like the 18z ICON. Something to watch for areas west of 77. So less ICE then for Hickory and points west into Burke County? Because from what Brad P. Is saying 0.25 to 0.50 to GSP makes me wonder. Guess we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: 18z Euro has a precip minimum in the foothills just like the 18z ICON. Something to watch for areas west of 77. Can you elaborate more on the 18z Euro? Any change in temps? Does ice teach RDU or CLT? Triad or thereabouts still with a bullseye? Thanks in advance! TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 It does look like there will be two bands of higher totals and a minima area in between. Most models have the first band west of the mountains and the 2nd band east of the foothills. not sure how much that will matter though Bc it probably just means most of the 1/2 inch of liquid freezes instead of getting 2 inches of liquid where lots of it runs off in the downpours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: It does look like there will be two bands of higher totals and a minima area in between. Most models have the first band west of the mountains and the 2nd band east of the foothills. not sure how much that will matter though Bc it probably just means most of the 1/2 inch of liquid freezes instead of getting 2 inches of liquid where lots of it runs off in the downpours. That's what I was thinking which makes be believe areas like Hickory and Morganton could be more near the 0.50 then 0.25 GSP starting to hint at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: We need to remember that this high isnt nearly as transient as with recent storms. It’s much easier to lock in a long duration event when we have a feed of dry air from the north. I’m nervous about this one. That’s so interesting because 48 hours ago, it seemed it would be more transient and less potent 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 21 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: Can you elaborate more on the 18z Euro? Any change in temps? Does ice teach RDU or CLT? Triad or thereabouts still with a bullseye? Thanks in advance! TW Yeah, a little bit lighter toward Winston but it’s not temps, it’s just less precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 DT's fearless forecast! Good lord, this guy should stop making maps for anyone outside of VA. It’s downright pathetic 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 What does anybody think for the southern foothills Rutherford county on any ice accumulation or just cold rain. What could be the ballpark figures min and max on ice and any possible snow or sleet for this area at the onset. Thanks for the insight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 There shouldn't be a precip minima there if it continues to trend Miller A 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWeenie87 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 You know your "winter storm" is off to a good start when this is the forecast! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWeenie87 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 WPC Freezing rain accum map 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 HRRR keeps saying sleet fest 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 25 minutes ago, WeatherWeenie87 said: WPC Freezing rain accum map I like how their scale includes up to 10"+. It's like they're allowing for the possibility of a day after tomorrow thing 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 What does anybody think for the southern foothills Rutherford county on any ice accumulation or just cold rain. What could be the ballpark figures min and max on ice and any possible snow or sleet for this area at the onset. Thanks for the insight. Here is the thoughts of Scotty Powell with the foothills weather network They do a good job in our area. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: HRRR keeps saying sleet fest I’ve only seen significant sleet accumulation once before, around 4 inches. Was in Prince William Co. VA along I-95 in late 90s. Temps were mid 20s. Would vote this 10/10 instead of ZR. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 No shortage of precip on the HRRR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Soundings still scream ZR though. Would really love a sleet storm but just don't see it happening. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWeenie87 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 What a branch snapper! I'm out of puzzles to build 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 The HRRR isn't particularly cold. Generally 31 or 32. This is during the height of precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Can a met in here explain why we are seeing so much warmth aloft when the low is practically in the gulf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWeenie87 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Hard to imagine Louisiana will have any trees left after this. Two hurricanes and a Major Ice Storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 23 minutes ago, wncsnow said: HRRR keeps saying sleet fest Soundings and radar are different. The HRRR still gives my location almost 1 1/2" of ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Nam is a bit colder so far in WNC... gulp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Charlotte getting ice this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Sleet line pushing south a bit on NAM compared to previous runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 NAM has the SLP all the way down into the n-central GOM at hour 36 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWeenie87 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Horrible news coming from Texas. I have a feeling this is a foreshadowing of what's to come here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Sleet pushing south still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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