PantherJustin Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: For what it's worth the HRRR is heavy sleet for many As Hickory said earlier it makes more sense with The LP Track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: If only There is a max of 8.2 inches of SLEET somewhere! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, PantherJustin said: As Hickory said earlier it makes more sense with The LP Track Even a little Triad and SoVA snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSNC Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: For what it's worth the HRRR is heavy sleet for many Not sure about other areas, but the HRRR has been pretty good in my area for ptype this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: There is a max of 8.2 inches of SLEET somewhere! That looks awesome, sleet is way better than zr 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: That looks awesome, sleet is way better than zr That would save many folks from widespread damage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, WSNC said: Not sure about other areas, but the HRRR has been pretty good in my area for ptype this year. Same, HRRR nailed the event 2 weeks ago so time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSNC Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 That said, way outside of HRRR range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Sitting in Pardee in H’ville NC waiting on my gallbladder surgery to start at 5.... really worried about this one, Saluda NC hasn’t seen a bad ice storm since late January 2010 and I think we are due... wife is out stocking up on food, and had a friend prep my generator... I.m ready but post surgery limitation will prevent any heavy work for three weeks...Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, WSNC said: That said, way outside of HRRR range. You’re right, the equivalent of a 384 hour GFS map. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Hrr soundings support freezing rain, not sleet. The clown map is bogus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Actually for northern NC it’s close to a snow sounding through 7am. Hope it’s right with the Lack of a warm nose push for you guys. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 NAM out to 27hr 1032HP over Erie PA SN/Mix over NLA/Mississippi/Arkansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 HR33 1034 HP over N PA/SW NY Border LP over New Orleans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, msuwx said: Davidson should be added Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 NAM dew points are much Lower Thursday 03z than the 12z run. Teens and low 20’s to the border. That’s going to lock in a wedge with wet bulbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 You’re right, the equivalent of a 384 hour GFS map.Agreed I honestly thought the 18z HRRR precipitation type depiction was pretty wonky at the end and I’m tossing that into my mental recycling bin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 HR 42 and pretty much the border north is sleet. Some sleet even down into the northern triad. Definitely positive trends for those areas. Freezing line looks to line up about with the current watch package Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Widespread 1/2-3/4” amounts verbatim N of Meck County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 12k NAM very similar to the last run overall. No significant changes imo. Maybe a hair colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3K NAM getting worse here instead of better. Does show a little more sleet along the Blue Ridge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Trends... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, HKY_WX said: Trends... I see why GSP issued the Watches as far south as they did, with these trends. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Trends... Pushing that wedge in better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 This is shaping up to be a devastating ice event for someone in the Triad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 13 minutes ago, wncsnow said: 3K NAM getting worse here instead of better. Does show a little more sleet along the Blue Ridge Bad time to be a tree at South Mtn state park 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, btownheel said: Pushing that wedge in better. Really starting to look more and more like RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hickory Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 If we were to compare this to past events what are we looking at? I know each event is different, but I’m curious. For example if you live in the Piedmont Triad could this be as bad as 2002? I consider 2002 to be the benchmark for ice storms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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