magpiemaniac Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 RAH cut back a little from their early morning ice forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 Clouds have moved into the Raleigh area. Any potential for radiational cooling is gone. Temp 44, DP 25. Not looking like the immediate Raleigh area is at risk for exceeding ice expectations. Usually need that DP in the teens to around 20 to get it done here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 42 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: The Weather Channel App has my area reaching 37 degrees tomorrow afternoon... nothing that I have seen in the guidance shows that... Are you certain that isnt a midnight high temp? Would make more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hickory Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Raleigh’s latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 I know it’s noise at this point, but the 18z gfs was fairly significantly warmer than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 44/28 here with OVC skies Im hoping this good enough to restrict any ZR here. Lets the rains begin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Or our dewpoint stuck at where they are? Or will they continue to drop once the sunsets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Avdave said: If we had a stronger HP this would include a lot more of us tomorrow. Those single digit readings in Pennsylvania... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, weatherlover said: Or our dewpoint stuck at where they are? Or will they continue to drop once the sunsets? Sunset has nothing to do with the dew points. They will lower sun or not by cold dry air from the NE. Temps and dew points will lower cloud cover or not as well. Use the link below and choose the observations tab to see current temp and dew point. That dry air to the NE is what will continue to be blown in and just how that plays out determines who gets more ice and who gets less. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17# What you will see tomorrow is that even though precip moves in the dew point will barely move because dry air is being pumped in. Even if you are 44/25 or whatever now that will change a lot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I'm 1-2 degrees cooler than what the HRRR is initializing at.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, GunBlade said: Sunset has nothing to do with the dew points. They will lower sun or not by cold dry air from the NE. Temps and dew points will lower cloud cover or not as well. Use the link below and choose the observations tab to see current temp and dew point. That dry air to the NE is what will continue to be blown in and just how that plays out determines who gets more ice and who gets less. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17# What you will see tomorrow is that even though precip moves in the dew point will barely move because dry air is being pumped in. Even if you are 44/25 or whatever now that will change a lot. Thank you! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 We thinking max impacts in the 2-9am range for most of northern NC and southern VA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Man that US 58 corridor in the southside will just be unreal by tomorrow evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 13 minutes ago, Avdave said: Man that US 58 corridor in the southside will just be unreal by tomorrow evening. I have a buddy in South Boston who got nailed last time, told him this one may be worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 34/27 clear skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 NE wind has really picked up. Stepped outside for dinner and it had that “storms a coming” feel to it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 35.2/24.6 here. Clear skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
norcarolinian Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 38/21 now ... clear skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kristospherein Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 44/32 here in South Charlotte. Dew points have been going up over the last couple of hours due to cloud cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 DP rising here also.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheVille Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 39/25 in statesville 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, TheVille said: 39/25 in statesville What’s up with the DP rising ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguysc Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 37/22 Near SC/NC state line north of Gaffney Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Newton 36/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 All the way up to 40/22. Southern Stokes County (Walnut Cove). We are a 3 miles from the Duke Power power plant and I swear the steam from the stacks makes it warmer here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Got the camper pulled up to the house. Our house is on a well so when we lose power we lose water. Got the water and propane tanks to the camper all filled up so we can have it as backup. It also has solar power. Hoping we don't have to use it but thankful we have it if we do. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Made it down to about 41, clouds came in, back up to 42.5 quickly, DP 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 40/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omen Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 My power just went out in Rustburg. Not a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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