PantherJustin Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 hours ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: GSP back at the wheel this morning... I live in Iredell but this still looks awfully Conservative compared to even Brad P and anything else I’ve seen. If I’m missing something someone tell me.... but How do they Have Charlotte/Concord at Nothing Zero absolutely nothing? While Others have that area 1/10-1/4” , That doesn’t make sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, wake4est said: Isn’t ISW criteria .5”+? For here in Burke county just west of Hickory it’s for 0.25 or more. Right now there calling for 0.25 to 0.40 for my area with some locations getting 0.50 or more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, PantherJustin said: I live in Iredell but this still looks awfully Conservative compared to even Brad P and anything else I’ve seen. If I’m missing something someone tell me.... but How do they Have Charlotte/Concord at Nothing Zero absolutely nothing? While Others have that area 1/10-1/4” , That doesn’t make sense Go look at the one they just put out it’s way up and will likely go higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 10 minutes ago, wake4est said: Isn’t ISW criteria .5”+? .25"+ at some... .5"+ at others 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 14 minutes ago, wxduncan said: Go look at the one they just put out it’s way up and will likely go higher. Still looks a bit soft. But I guess no need to predict An apocalypse just yet as we still have 18hrs to flip flop. (Maybe they’re expecting a correction back NW trend wise slightly) I don’t see any reason ALL areas Along/ NW of I-85 even in Meck/Cabarrus shouldn’t be 1/4” +. Honestly I’d just put a blanket 1/4 -1/2” Swath over the entire Forecast area in NC (Minus Monroe) no need for specific amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Still looks a bit soft. But I guess no need to predict An apocalypse just yet as we still have 18hrs to flip flop. I don’t see any reason ALL areas Along/ NW of I-85 even in Meck/Cabarrus shouldn’t be 1/4” +. Honestly I’d just put a blanket 1/4 -1/2” Swath over the entire Forecast area in NC (Minus Monroe) no need for specific amounts I agree was reading there discussion the day shift is going to decide who to change over to Ice storm warnings later today. Would not be shocked if the advisory's get upgraded also. Based on the latest guidance from this am the trends continue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 10 minutes ago, wxduncan said: Meanwhile over off Morehead and Freedom Drive at the other Charlotte station .... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Meanwhile over off Morehead and Freedom Drive at the other Charlotte station .... Well I would go with WCNC at least there forecast is going with what GSP is saying and the latest guidance. Also that map there showing is there in house model not actual forecast map like WCNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Most of the 6z suite came in slightly warmer for Charlotte proper and the immediate metro. Or at least the colder/ southward trend seemed to stop. We shall see. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSchew Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Yup. 3k NAM definitely looks a touch warmer at 06z compared to 00z. Retreats the 32 deg line up to NC/VA line during the day Thursday and keeps it there thru Friday... Initialized cold and dry air pretty well here in the Triad depicting about 27/19, I’m sitting at 26.4/18.5 currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 ROUND 2 FRIDAY KEEPS POPPING UP: Keep an eye out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, wxduncan said: Well I would go with WCNC at least there forecast is going with what GSP is saying and the latest guidance. Also that map there showing is there in house model not actual forecast map like WCNC. Nah ik. But that’s all I could find for other channels. I wasn’t trying to bash ect. Al is actually pretty cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Most of the Ice is Friday Deal east of Raleigh area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 35 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Nah ik. But that’s all I could find for other channels. I wasn’t trying to bash ect. Al is actually pretty cool Oh your fine and yeah he is. About to see what WSOCTV said and I will post back. Update: About the same as WCNC there calling for 0.25 to 0.50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Did anyone else see on 3K NAM the 1035HP sitting PA/NY border then at HR21 then By HR24 it’s Bullied all the way NW of Niagra Falls? Doesn’t that seem a bit excessive? Or am I just missing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSchew Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3K NAM 2m temp trend loop at 10am Thursday. Hoping that last frame is the start of a new trend 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Does anyone have ice maps from either/both the 00z and 06z Euro? I’m wondering if it has backed off any. The Icon had quite a precip min over the foothills and western Piedmont. TW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 30 minutes ago, WSchew said: 3K NAM 2m temp trend loop at 10am Thursday. Hoping that last frame is the start of a new trend I mean I know some don't want an ICE storm but this winter has sucked and tbh this might be the last winter type storm we get. At least for my area I hope to get close to 0.50 even if that's mean power being out for a bit. And yes I know that might sound crazy but I stand by it! 3 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ozmaea Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 NooooSent from my SM-N986U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 hour ago, PantherJustin said: Nah ik. But that’s all I could find for other channels. I wasn’t trying to bash ect. Al is actually pretty cool Is Eric Thomas still at WBTV? How are things at WSOC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 At this point, it's equally important to track dewpoints and cloud cover throughout the day as it is to look at the models. Right now dewpoints are running a degree or two higher than the NWS forecast and some high clouds are moving towards the piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 13 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: At this point, it's equally important to track dewpoints and cloud cover throughout the day as it is to look at the models. Right now dewpoints are running a degree or two higher than the NWS forecast and some high clouds are moving towards the piedmont. Not sure a degree or two matters that much at this point in the piedmont but for fringe areas for sure. Still a lot of dry air draining down from VA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 20 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Is Eric Thomas still at WBTV? How are things at WSOC? Yea. But he’s the Brad P of WBTV. He’s been there my Entire life so he’s Eve/Night guy. Like Udelson I believe at WSOC. Both have been there pretty much my entire life 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 There may be minor tweaks here and there to amounts and area coverage, but at this point it doesn't matter a whole lot. Everyone in the watch/advisory area should make preparations and just hope for the best. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Dewpoints Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: 29/20 Here in Mooresville and Cloudy. Would be nice to see DP dip some more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 10 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Ummm... Any context you can provide with this post? What are you showing me here? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWeenie87 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Current wetbulb temperature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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