wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Nam is a bit colder so far in WNC... gulp 6 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Charlotte getting ice this run 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Sleet line pushing south a bit on NAM compared to previous runs Honestly if this is going to be our last storm of the winter(time running out) bring the ICE might as well hope to get close to 0.50 here in Burke county. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 25 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: No shortage of precip on the HRRR Woof better hope that’s Sleet or this thing is gonna blow 2002 out of the water in CLT Metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 NAM has heaviest precip west of Apps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 More ice for southern piedmont and upstate, more sleet in VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3k NAM bringing it too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: NAM has heaviest precip west of Apps If you look at the soundings though , it's more ZR than it is IP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, BornAgain13 said: If you look at the soundings though , it's more ZR than it is IP So the algorithm is messed on the NAM and HRRR? I don't have the plus version so can't look at soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, BornAgain13 said: If you look at the soundings though , it's more ZR than it is IP 700 and 925 continue to cool however, which is a good sign and toward the right direction anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: So the algorithm is messed on the NAM and HRRR? I don't have the plus version so can't look at soundings. From what I can tell , it's showing ZR up this way on the sounding , while the radar is showing us getting IP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 When ever the 3k nam is done would love to see the final totals for ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, wxduncan said: When ever the 3k nam is done would love to see the final totals for ZR. You don't want to see it trust me.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 One thing I really love to see, unlike other storms where we’ve been completely borderline going into, is temp has dropped to 27 and dew is down to 16 here. Great indicator for the upcoming system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: You don't want to see it trust me.. Please I need to know if I need to go get a generator for my area in Burke(Valdese). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, wxduncan said: Please I need to know if I need to go get a generator for my area in Burke(Valdese). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtgus Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Felt pretty good here this afternoon. Just stepped out take the trash to the curb and now there is a cold breeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: I have also thought about getting a generator if I can find one tomorrow. Our area looks like close to the bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 15 minutes ago, WeatherWeenie87 said: Can you post this in the banter thread, it doesnt do any good in here Horrible news coming from Texas. I have a feeling this is a foreshadowing of what's to come here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: I have also thought about getting a generator if I can find one tomorrow. Our area looks like close to the bullseye GSP has some major, um, tweaking to do to their expected ice amounts. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Goodness even the 3K Puts 3/4+ on Iredell/Rowan/Catawba Counties 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: I have also thought about getting a generator if I can find one tomorrow. Our area looks like close to the bullseye Yes I think Marion East towards Morganton/Valdese and towards Hickory are going to be in some deep trouble. The trends continues for our areas I just mentioned now I know why Brad P. and GSP/other were saying these areas need be ready for power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, PantherJustin said: Goodness even the 3K Puts 3/4+ on Iredell/Rowan/Catawba Counties Yep and even if it's overdone by 1/2 we are still in serious trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 A lot of that falls with temps around 32 in many areas. I can’t imagine it accumulates at the rate depicted by the 3K if temps aren’t at least in the 30-31 range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Everybody laughed at the RGEM yesterday but all modeling has moved that way today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, wxduncan said: Yes I think Marion East towards Morganton/Valdese and towards Hickory are going to be in some deep trouble. The trends continues for our areas I just mentioned now I know why Brad P. and GSP/other were saying these areas need be ready for power outages. Totally agree. Honestly think sleet is the only thing that can save us from serious power issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, PantherJustin said: Goodness even the 3K Puts 3/4+ on Iredell/Rowan/Catawba Counties Just now, wncsnow said: Yep and even if it's overdone by 1/2 we are still in serious trouble. Yeah Marion/Morganton/Lenoir/Valdese/Hickory and out towards Statesville if these trends keep holding like they been and going up also we all are in some trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheVille Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Yep and even if it's overdone by 1/2 we are still in serious trouble. weather channel has winds at 10-15 mph during the thick of it too in statesville. that has disaster all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I thought I was out of the woods, but the trend is putting me in the cross hairs now. Going to get some fuel for the generator, just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Will not be shocked if all the above places I said will be under ICE storm Warning by Tom AM package from GSP. Brad was saying about upping totals for the areas I talked about from 0.25-0.35 to more near 0.40-0.55 if the trends continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, JoshM said: I thought I was out of the woods, but the trend is putting me in the cross hairs now. Going to get some fuel for the generator, just in case. Yeah this run would be bad north of the interstate back home. You could go from basically nothing at the state line on New Hope Road to half an inch or more in Cherryville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I always like keeping up with the other NAM suite models in these setups and they are all cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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