BornAgain13 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I do believe it's possible this could be a 12-18 hr ICE event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 hours ago, magpiemaniac said: Looking at your house on the latest model run map and saying this isn’t going to be a serious event does everyone else a disservice. This thread covers a lot of territory. Some will get a cold rain. Others could be without power for two or three days. We have people reading this thread who don’t post, but would like get a sense of what might be coming. Then there are those of us who just have to walk a few feet to escape winter’s wrath. Since the county line runs right through my house I have a Winter Storm Watch in my garage, dining room and den but the rest of the house is in the non-event zone. I guess I should be thankful that I will only have to worry about the trees on the northern part of my property. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 FWIW, the UK just got WORSE. Big ICE northern NC/southern VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: FWIW, the UK just got WORSE. Big ICE northern NC/southern VA Significantly colder than 00z for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: Significantly colder than 00z for sure I am still holding out (some) hope that sleet will save me at my location at least to some degree. But little doubt there will be a sizable chunk of real estate with ZR issues. Seeing models trend colder does not hurt my feelings one bit! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Brad Panovichs thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 CMC is a major ice storm. Maybe a degree or two cooler than previous run for CAD areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, CentralNC said: I am still holding out (some) hope that sleet will save me at my location at least to some degree. But little doubt there will be a sizable chunk of real estate with ZR issues. Seeing models trend colder does not hurt my feelings one bit! Be careful what you wish for. The coldest freezing rain event I have ever been in was 19º at its peak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, jburns said: Be careful what you wish for. The coldest freezing rain event I have ever been in was 19º at its peak. Yeah should have said "only if it cools aloft too" !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, jburns said: Be careful what you wish for. The coldest freezing rain event I have ever been in was 19º at its peak. Friend in Columbus Ohio just had freezing rain and 17 degrees while just a day earlier they’d expected all snow. Thankfully it switched over to mostly sleet but it did rain well into the teens... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 26 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: I live near the RDU airport, so I'm on the edge. I'm planning on relocating North towards creedmoor or NW of wake forest sometime this summer. If the plague leaves. Letters from the year 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, jburns said: Be careful what you wish for. The coldest freezing rain event I have ever been in was 19º at its peak. I’ve had it at 12 in Connecticut. It was unbelievable what happened. Like a nuclear bomb exploded in the back woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, CentralNC said: I am still holding out (some) hope that sleet will save me at my location at least to some degree. But little doubt there will be a sizable chunk of real estate with ZR issues. Seeing models trend colder does not hurt my feelings one bit! Outside the 1st hour, I hate to say it, but you , alot of us can forget sleet. Unless the warm nose shrinks. right now on soundings its slam dunk frzng rn. This is as close as I can find, off anadian close to your area: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 RDPS put 1-1.5” FRZN in a Box Roughly Iredell-Wake and up to VA .... My goodness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 26 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Outside the 1st hour, I hate to say it, but you , alot of us can forget sleet. Unless the warm nose shrinks. right now on soundings its slam dunk frzng rn. This is as close as I can find, off anadian close to your area: Totally agree. Unless we correct by 7-8 degrees most places, any sleet at all is totally off the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Totally agree. Unless we correct by 7-8 degrees most places, any sleet at all is totally off the table. Looking hard to avoid a damaging ice storm for the triad and SW Va at this juncture. Potentially a devastating ice storm for some areas. For points S and E it looks to be nuisance to moderate but as always it will be an extremely tight gradient between damaging and nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastatl Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 What are the chances of this moving further south into Atlanta? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 EURO Running, Out to 24 1033HP over SE Ohio by Hr 36 on Hi-Res EURO HP shoots from SE Ohio- NE NY ....seems a bit odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 From the Canadian and my back yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, Eastatl said: What are the chances of this moving further south into Atlanta? 5-10% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 This run of the euro pushes the ice down into the western suburbs of charlotte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Euro still warmer than most other models, was slightly colder than last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Euro drops the least amount of ice here and it's still basically double warning criteria. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Lord, have mercy upon us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: Euro drops the least amount of ice here and it's still basically double warning criteria. How does it look for Wake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mstr4j Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 14 minutes ago, Eastatl said: What are the chances of this moving further south into Atlanta? Better chance in the upstate of Sc but that’s looking slim too - thankfully! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: How does it look for Wake? .17 at the airport, probably warning criteria for 540N. Nothing more than a trace south and east of 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
srobby76 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Long time follower of these events and most have fallen apart on us, with that being said would yall cancel a training for people driving to Durham from the triad and Triangle for thursday and Friday. I have to decide today to prevent any charges for cancellations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 EURO was definitely cooler for almost all areas from 0z. One thing to note is timing of precip on Thursday means much will fall in daylight. EURO seems to notice that and nips the 32 line but brings it right back after 18z. Daylight and sun angle may help some of the marginal areas during this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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