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February 18/19th Storm Potential


stormtracker
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3 hours ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

Lol in no way do I think I'd be on the right side of that fall line. But if that somehow happened to verify I might start believing in things I swear to only in vain. 

Do yourself a favor. Look up the definition of: fall line, the

YW 

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Just now, Ji said:
2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

"Part 1"
1613703600-fD7TA92Rybk.png&key=eab593cc5f4f7b41af2b372bbe672e947123d26622f8db23a50dfd94c8bdbe56
 

Yikes

hope you didn't promise the teachers too much snow.

Pretty similar run overall, as others said maybe a step towards the longer storm the CMC/RGEM show. I'd take it but my expectations are slightly higher, not gonna lie.

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hope you didn't promise the teachers too much snow.
Pretty similar run overall, as others said maybe a step towards the longer storm the CMC/RGEM show. I'd take it but my expectations are slightly higher, not gonna lie.
I said 5-8 but that Euro map is awful
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Just now, Ji said:
2 minutes ago, Ji said:
Yikes

Seems just really dry since not much sleet

It's about on par if not a tiny bit wetter than 18z. I think this illustrates where that precip is going a bit better. Kuchera is being pretty funky, and since it's likely not gonna be 10:1, it's a good compromise to just extrapolate the snow precip side of the panel to ratios slightly lower than 10:1.

ecmwf-deterministic-dc-total_precip_ptype_fourpanel-3718000.thumb.png.cec08a7c447a4b68b99cf8932d01b255.png

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Just now, Ji said:
1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:
hope you didn't promise the teachers too much snow.
Pretty similar run overall, as others said maybe a step towards the longer storm the CMC/RGEM show. I'd take it but my expectations are slightly higher, not gonna lie.

I said 5-8 but that Euro map is awful

Might get detention. 

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Just now, Deck Pic said:

probably should wait until the end of the storm before dissecting maps....That's at 51 hours...It precipitates for another 20

fair enough, but the extra 1" over 20 hours in DC doesn't make me jump with joy, especially since I'm down there in CHO. It does make the map look nicer though and gets JI closer to not having Loudoun County single moms and teachers burning a Ji effigy 

1613768400-dslhG3IPXp8.png

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