CentralVaNATS Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Anyone have freezing rain/sleet maps that includes all of Va from 12z gfs? PleaseHeres what I've got for ice per 12z GFS Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 The UK would have something frozen for Monday as well. All levels are cold heading into the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Northwest crew...if we get the further south solution it’s ok. We get higher ratios and stay snow more of the event (maybe even all of it in terms of when there is meaningful heavy precip). And it gives more cushion for the inevitable north trend at the end. Nothing is showing us fringed up here. Worrying about the exact placement of a meso band within the precip shield on globals at 48 hours is useless. Plus they never pick up on the oragraphics enhances banding that sets up in the typical places. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Would of thought UK was a disaster for Baltimore, but 6-8" is nothing to sneeze at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 25 mile north shift and that dark purple blob will be directly over PWC. I am setting the bar at 3 inches and then a glacier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Northwest crew...if we get the further south solution it’s ok. We get higher ratios and stay snow more of the event (maybe even all of it in terms of when there is meaningful heavy precip). And it gives more cushion for the inevitable north trend at the end. Nothing is showing us fringed up here. Worrying about the exact placement of a meso band within the next recipe shield on globals at 48 hours is useless. Plus they never pick up on the oragraphics enhances banding that sets up in the typical places. It was always going to be okay for us. Most of us up north have 20+ on the year, we don't NEED a 6+ snowstorm for us to be okay. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Northwest crew...if we get the further south solution it’s ok. We get higher ratios and stay snow more of the event (maybe even all of it in terms of when there is meaningful heavy precip). And it gives more cushion for the inevitable north trend at the end. Nothing is showing us fringed up here. Worrying about the exact placement of a meso band within the next recipe shield on globals at 48 hours is useless. Plus they never pick up on the oragraphics enhances banding that sets up in the typical places. Bottom line is every model regardless of the finer details has most everyone getting a high impact event. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 57 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: The CMC aims that early snow tongue straight at the Winchester area and hammers us. Please let it be right for once. I dont have the qpf numbers off of that crazy site. But it is a beautiful site to see. Just saw it..Even here we hang on during 18z Thursday...just barely. I imagine we switch shortly after that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 17 minutes ago, Anyweather said: I’d much rather clear it first and then put down ice melt. we had a sleet storm near short Pump PD 2007 I think. Maybe 5 “. You couldn’t walk or drive in it. I used my 4wd tractor to plow a buddies neighbors driveway. She had to park in the culdesac and shlep her groceries 200 yards. Buddy told me she cried when she got home to a cleared driveway. Buy a jeep with some monster tires like i have and you dont have to worry about shoveling...let the mailman out front on the sidewalks fend for him/herself 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, mappy said: It was always going to be okay for us. Most of us up north have 20+ on the year, we don't NEED a 6+ snowstorm for us to be okay. Please...this has nothing to do with NEED... this is WANT!!! I WANT snow. All the snow all the time. SNOW SNOW SNOW. Give me snow. Then I want more snow. And top it off with a side of snow. Then I’ll have a little snow for desert. I want flakes the size of cars that leave craters! I want to need tunnels to get to my door. I try to be selfless and empathetic as much as I can in my life. I try to do things to give back. But with snow I am a selfish SOB. I want all the snow and I want it now! 5 9 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 20 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You aren’t included in my “we”. Sorry On that run it’s “we” because the trajectory of the banding places us in the same zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Please...this has nothing to do with NEED... this is WANT!!! I WANT snow. All the snow all the time. SNOW SNOW SNOW. Give me snow. Then I want more snow. And top it off with a side of snow. Then I’ll have a little snow for desert. I want flakes the size of cars that leave craters! I want to need tunnels to get to my door. I try to be selfless and empathetic as much as I can in my life. I try to do things to give back. But with snow I am a selfish SOB. I want all the snow and I want it now! Appreciate you finally being honest about it. You are worried it shifts south and YOU miss the goods. Don't try and group everyone into your projections. 4 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Someone please tag me in a post that captures euro 12z output and comparison to 6z. No play by play. Just the skinny. Not IMBY. I'm patient. No time to do it myself. Thanks! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 11 minutes ago, mappy said: Appreciate you finally being honest about it. You are worried it shifts south and YOU miss the goods. Don't try and group everyone into your projections. My post was to the NW crew. But my joke post aside I’m NOT worried about south with this one. I don’t see enough of a suppressive flow to crush this. Maybe we don’t Jack but whatever...our bigger risk even up here is a mid level warm layer sneaking north imo. ETA: the initial wave likely does focus the heaviest just south of us...but we would get good snow later in the day assuming the warm layer doesn’t blast north too fast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Please...this has nothing to do with NEED... this is WANT!!! I WANT snow. All the snow all the time. SNOW SNOW SNOW. Give me snow. Then I want more snow. And top it off with a side of snow. Then I’ll have a little snow for desert. I want flakes the size of cars that leave craters! I want to need tunnels to get to my door. I try to be selfless and empathetic as much as I can in my life. I try to do things to give back. But with snow I am a selfish SOB. I want all the snow and I want it now! Whoa! I think I’m slowly becoming more a fan of your evil twin EHoffman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: My post was to the NW crew. But my joke post aside I’m NOT worried about south with this one. I don’t see enough of a suppressive flow to crush this. Maybe we don’t Jack but whatever...our bigger risk even up here is a mid level warm layer sneaking north imo. Your post was about you and your backyard. You're very good at including everyone in your thoughts, when we all know you only care about your backyard. You said it yourself, you're a selfish SOB when it comes to snow. And it's okay to be that way. But not all of us give a shit like you do if we miss out on the good stuff. Hope you get the goods, friend. Sounds like you really want it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Imagine that, someone cares enough to post on a weather message board about snowstorms and actually wants as much as snow they can get in their own yard. The horror. 2 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, osfan24 said: Imagine that, someone cares enough to post on a weather message board about snowstorms and actually wants as much as snow they can get in their own yard. The horror. imagine being so dense you're missing the point of my posts. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Your post was about you and your backyard. You're very good at including everyone in your thoughts, when we all know you only care about your backyard. You said it yourself, you're a selfish SOB when it comes to snow. And it's okay to be that way. But not all of us give a shit like you do if we miss out on the good stuff. Hope you get the goods, friend. Sounds like you really want it. That was supposed to be funny. Ugh. Of course I want as much snow as I can get in my yard. Who here doesn’t? But since I have no control over it I don’t feel selfish about that. Honestly if I did have control I would draw up ridiculous storms with 300 mile wide Jack zones that give everyone in here 20”. Or of I had to give up a storm once in a while in order for others to get snow I would. Yes I want snow but I also want others to get snow too! If I had a preference from 12z I would like the Para. Gets DC area with the initial thump in the morning then we attrition our way to good snow up here from a combo of multiple waves. It’s a win for everyone. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: imagine being so dense you're missing the point of my posts. Nah, I think I got it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Precip a little more expansive at hr 39, other than that i dont see much different in euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Euro way juicier than 6z at 54. Ji walloped, most importantly 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: That was supposed to be funny. Ugh. Of course I want as much snow as I can get in my yard. Who here doesn’t? But since I have no control over it I don’t feel selfish about that. Honestly if I did have control I would draw up ridiculous storms with 300 mile wide Jack zones that give everyone in here 20”. Or of I had to give up a storm once in a while in order for others to get snow I would. Yes I want snow but I also want others to get snow too! If I had a preference from 12z I would like the Para. Gets DC area with the initial thump in the morning then we attrition our way to good snow up here from a combo of multiple waves. It’s a win for everyone. Me. I do not care if I don't get the most snow. It's just snow. I appreciate your honesty and there is no doubt you have incredible knowledge about these things, that is greatly appreciated by all of us. I just have to laugh at you worrying about snow missing, when we all know you're just worried about it missing you 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Bazinga 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Anyway, Euro is running. Good luck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 This should be a good euro run based on the starting frame of the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Euro has a better CAD signature. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Dramatic QPF cutoff NW of DC at 60 vs 6z. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Yeah defintely a healthier preciptation shield at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Solid snow for everyone at 51 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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