jaydreb Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:00 AM, SnowDreamer said: With the exception of the PARA, every single model of the 00Z suite so far has moved closer to consensus. Expand Do you use Kuchera or 10:1 for these? This might be a tough storm to assess because of all the sleet built into the snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:04 AM, jaydreb said: Do you use Kuchera or 10:1 for these? This might be a tough storm to assess because of all the sleet built into the snow totals. Expand It is tough for some, yeah. These are all Kuchera (WxBell) when available, 10:1 when not. Sleet is not included, and if it were, the NAMs would be considerably higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 0z ARPEGE is a solid front thump. France secretly likes the US. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/arpege_amer_00/P1_GZ_D5_PN_039_0000.gif 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillbilly Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 You can delete my post or ridicule me. But we have seen this before. This set up is ready to let us down. I hope not, but the models do not favor us. 2 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:02 AM, EHoffman said: No but it has 6 hour QPF maps Expand Yeah just hard to piece together what's going on. Still learning to read soundings...at least it's all frozen lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 How come africa dosent have a model? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillbilly Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I hate to say it, but the data at my office is not favorable for us...especially the NOVA or DC area. Montgomery county still has a chance. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:08 AM, Ji said: How come africa dosent have a model? Expand The JMA subsumed it once Jumia (ticker $JMIA) began operations there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:11 AM, ForestHillbilly said: I hate to say it, but the data at my office is not favorable for us...especially the NOVA or DC area. Montgomery county still has a chance. Expand You are trying too hard. Dial it back a bit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:06 AM, ForestHillbilly said: You can delete my post or ridicule me. But we have seen this before. This set up is ready to let us down. I hope not, but the models do not favor us. Expand But the situation does favor us. High in the right place, western low some problem but not strong nor too far north, then coastal and by now it’s a drawn out event thru Friday. Highs 25-30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:08 AM, Ji said: How come africa dosent have a model? Expand Africa is a continent. You tell us why tho. We're listening. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:11 AM, ForestHillbilly said: I hate to say it, but the data at my office is not favorable for us...especially the NOVA or DC area. Montgomery county still has a chance. Expand Your post history is not favorable to you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:13 AM, WEATHER53 said: But the situation does favor us. High in the right place, western low some problem but not strong nor too far north, then coastal and by now it’s a drawn out event thru Friday. Highs 25-30 Expand H***wd. He's a troll. Don't waste your time buddy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:08 AM, Ji said: How come africa dosent have a model? Expand I think Bowie’s wife was. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 This is my first hypothesis at a theory that might evolve into a guess of a future forecast. Any resemblance to other forecasts, living or dead, is completely coincidental. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:08 AM, Ji said: How come africa dosent have a model? Expand It's a big hot desert, water bottle and sunscreen all you need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:14 AM, stormtracker said: H***wd. He's a troll. Don't waste your time buddy. Expand Ok thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:15 AM, psuhoffman said: This is my first hypothesis at a theory that might evolve into a guess of a future forecast. Any resemblance to other forecasts, living or dead, is completely coincidental. Expand How’s the confidence meter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:17 AM, WEATHER53 said: How’s the confidence meter? Expand 69%. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:16 AM, RedSky said: It's a big hot desert, water bottle and sunscreen all you needThey get all kinds of weird weather. I watch alot of amazing planet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:17 AM, WEATHER53 said: How’s the confidence meter?Depends on Pittsburgh and Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILIKERAKE Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:15 AM, psuhoffman said: This is my first hypothesis at a theory that might evolve into a guess of a future forecast. Any resemblance to other forecasts, living or dead, is completely coincidental. Expand What is your forecast in regards to ice? I'm just under your 4-8" area in Baltimore County by the bay.. I have a feeling a good amount of freezing rain will show itself around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:15 AM, psuhoffman said: This is my first hypothesis at a theory that might evolve into a guess of a future forecast. Any resemblance to other forecasts, living or dead, is completely coincidental. Expand Postmodern weather at its finest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillbilly Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:14 AM, Wetbulbs88 said: Your post history is not favorable to you. Expand Tis fine. Let me know if you hit your benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:19 AM, Ji said: On 2/17/2021 at 5:17 AM, WEATHER53 said: How’s the confidence meter? Expand Depends on Pittsburgh and Boston Expand It’s better this time. 30 in Pittsburgh and 19 in Boston is shit for DC. Other way around just fine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:17 AM, WEATHER53 said: How’s the confidence meter? Expand I am 100% confident that map will be wrong. The question is HOW wrong. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:01 AM, baltosquid said: That was the RGEM, had 30 plus inches for baltimore 2 or 3 runs in a row lol. Expand GGEM and RGEM are doing some strange shit with the 2nd wave. Highly doubt we get two rounds of snow with a 30hr break in the middle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:20 AM, ILIKERAKE said: What is your forecast in regards to ice? I'm just under your 4-8" area in Baltimore County by the bay.. I have a feeling a good amount of freezing rain will show itself around here Expand There will be significant ice in the 1-3 and 3-6" zones. I think freezing rain will be a major problem just to the south of the 1-3" zone and through the 1-3" zone after it flips. I think it will be mostly sleet in the 3-6" zone with some freezing rain mostly during periods of light precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 ECHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 On 2/17/2021 at 5:54 AM, psuhoffman said: ECHO Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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