RedSky Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 SREF's gone big 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: 6z NAM says hold my beer and ramps up the costal Wow, the early part is even warmer now on the NAM. Mostly sleet extreme SE PA hardly much snow at all until the coastal Friday. Who knows....now cast time sirs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: SREF's gone big Still snowing here Saturday morning on the CRAS. This model has not wavered one bit since Monday evening in the long duration look and 2-parter. I'll be damned if it doesn't have NAM and other support for a massive coup. Biggest since it nailed the Boxing Day storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 3k NAM is 1" snow before the flip here now. Cant say I'm not surprised at the trends under 30hrs. Eta: @RedSky 3k has Friday being the higher impact snow part of the storm now. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: 3k NAM is 1" snow before the flip here now. Cant say I'm not surprised at the trends under 30hrs. I'm not buying that... 25F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Birds~69 said: I'm not buying that... 25F Total for round one before the break Thursday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Snowing in Lancaster and the radar looks pretty good heading this way... Screw models at this point, nowcasting... 25F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 17 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 3k NAM is 1" snow before the flip here now. Cant say I'm not surprised at the trends under 30hrs. Eta: @RedSky 3k has Friday being the higher impact snow part of the storm now. Interesting. Models are so bad maybe move on to weatherbug and a weather rock 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Snowing in Reading....we should see something soon. 26F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Going to depend where that fronto band sets up. Right now based on radar I'd say a euro/nam compromise. Southern edge and beyond from that band will have mixing/precip intensity issues. Could be very similar to superbowl event. The differences in models is pretty impressive. Keep an eye on the radar, but right now I really like places just NW of the city. Tough call for Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 FYI IMO this is why the 3km NAM has like no snow for the city with part 1. It has this fronto band setting up farther N. Philly gets clipped with backedge but by then your mid levels are blown. Right now I think 3km NAM is slightly farther N than radar obs. We gotta get in that banding ASAP if we want a more 12km/EURO look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I personally really like the euro kuchera map as a good forecast. Probably factors in sleet/temps/intensity better based on it being farther NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Accu Weather just now....that's one big ass 3-6" coverage area. 26F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Fine flakes just started but Mont/Bucks folks appear to be in a good spot looking at radar.... 26F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 38 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Accu Weather just now....that's one big ass 3-6" coverage area. 26F What happened to 6-9"? Major downgrade there. Or was that glenn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Central/ N Montco is where id wanna be right now based on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: What happened to 6-9"? Major downgrade there. I'll call Cecily and see what that's all about... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: Central/ N Montco is where id wanna be right now based on radar. It's looking damn good per radar... 26F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: What happened to 6-9"? Major downgrade there. With sleet and banding being an issue it makes sense. There will probably be some 8-10" totals mixed in somewhere NW of the city by the end of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Birds~69 said: It's looking damn good per radar... 26F As always here in NE Philly living on the damn frigging edge. EVERY STORM it happens here lol..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I'll call Cecily and see what that's all about... You wish you had her number 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: It's looking damn good per radar... 26F Yes it does. We are in a very good spot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: You wish you had her number She usually stops by after the 11pm newscast....we talk weather. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Central/ N Montco is where id wanna be right now based on radar. Thats an easy road trip for u. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Thats an easy road trip for u. Oh yeah. Im gonna be gasing up shortly. My dad lives in Warminster might just head there. just dont wanna pay for a room or sit in my car so idk what ill do yet ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Oh yeah. Im gonna be gasing up shortly. My dad lives in Warminster might just head there. just dont wanna pay for a room or sit in my car so idk what ill do yet ha Then crash with your Dad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Birds~69 said: Then crash with your Dad... Haha, well....I just might Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Whats closest snow report near Philly right now? Birds which radar is that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: Whats closest snow report near Philly right now? Birds which radar is that? KDIX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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