Newman Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 SPC meso site showing pocket of MLCAPE ~ 1000 J/kg around the Chesapeake Bay area and SBCAPE between 1500-2000 J/kg for much of MD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Quote AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1034 AM EDT THU JUL 29 2021 .SYNOPSIS... A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR FRIDAY INTO THIS WEEKEND, BRINGING DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS. ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... MID-MORNING UPDATE: CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A DECAYING MCS OVER OHIO. CLOUD DEBRIS IS STARTING TO STREAM INTO THE AREA DOWNSTREAM OF THIS DECAYING MCS, WITH THE HIGHEST COVERAGE OF CLOUDS CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. LOW CLOUDS DEVELOPED FOR A SHORT TIME EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR, BUT ARE NOW IN THE PROCESS OF BURNING OFF. CONSIDERABLE QUESTIONS STILL REMAIN REGARDING THE AREAL COVERAGE OF STORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON, BUT GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE, STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL, AND POTENTIALLY EVEN A TORNADO OR TWO. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR INCOMING MODEL GUIDANCE/TRENDS IN OBSERVATIONAL DATA OVER THE COMING HOURS AND WILL UPDATE OUR FORECAST ACCORDINGLY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Last night I had thought the BWI environs would be better for storms today, but I think Harrisburg SE right past the MD line is the center area for the bow structures. Conditions are primed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Lotta cloud cover here. Will be interesting to see when it abates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Sun is trying to come out in Hunt Valley, still pretty cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Sunny out here and clouds broke up right as swim practice started at 9 30 so glad I put on sunscreen using my knowledge of the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Sun has been in and out of the clouds in Arlington since 9:00 or so. As soon as it pops out it the atmosphere just feels primed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Anyone's lights flickering yet? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Sun out here. But it’s only 11 so I’m watering the cars and washing the lawn to jinx any severe fail 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Filtered sun here in Jessup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 What was a sunny morning has give way to pretty overcast here in N fauquier county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Sun out here. 81/74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 21 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Anyone's lights flickering yet? Yes but it's not from the weather! Sun is breaking out, temps starting to move up. We can do this. The ENH has moved north but we're still firmly in its grip as compared to being in the bullseye earlier. Never liked bullseyes anyways, staring into those could mean an ass full of horns, not fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 If we could get this junk over western MD and the WV panhandle to die off, we might do okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Something approximating sunlight starting to appear on Capitol Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Hazy sunshine filtering through at the inner harbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Overcast at the beach, which I don’t mind. Did Columbia get wiped out yet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 LWX will be launching a special 18z sounding. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 15 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Overcast at the beach, which I don’t mind. Did Columbia get wiped out yet? not yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Latest HRRR must have our climatology coded in 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 For our WV folks: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 I take it back. The sun lost it's battle at the harbor. Back to full clouds. it feels like the last time we had actual clearing and sun/excellent heat up my way ahead of potential storms was the Derecho. I mean, i know it hasn't been that long, but....feels like it. We sock in clouds almost 100% of the time on days like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 In Oakton the clouds have won out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Cloud cover up here but it is starting to get brighter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 MD issued for our northern and western areas: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1388.html Not all that enthusiastic and only a 40% probability, so we'll see what happens but evidently they are not all sure the current cloud cover will break up enough to let the more aggressive scenarios for later this afternoon occur? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Ian and HM on twitter in a back and forth say cloud cover not an issue with this kind of set-up, fwiw. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 80s humid snd no breeze is more than enough to do it sun or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Definitely a little windy out here in Towson. But it just doesn’t have that severe, instant sweat when you walk outside feel to it. We’ll see… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 So, is the development supposed to occur after the passage of the remnant line of the MCS now just to the west? Because that line looks like a weak POS. As usual, the thinnest, weakest, and most disjointed part of the line is aimed right at me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 I turned my pajamas inside out. Will that help us get TORs? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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