Ji Posted February 24, 2021 Share Posted February 24, 2021 im out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 24, 2021 Author Share Posted February 24, 2021 Just now, Ji said: im out If you get enough hail - you can count it as a blizzard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 25, 2021 Share Posted February 25, 2021 Interesting USA Today article on La Nina and this year's severe season: The temperature of the water in the central and eastern tropical Pacific during February 2021 is similar to the La Niña pattern in February 2011," AccuWeather meteorologist Paul Pastelok said. Pastelok said the mid- to lower-Mississippi Valley and the mid-Atlantic regions will have the highest risk for severe weather this spring. Link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 25, 2021 Share Posted February 25, 2021 18 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: I slept through the derecho. Meh. Man.. blower. You missed the only real widespread severe I've witnessed in my 42 year long life in the Mid Atlantic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 25, 2021 Share Posted February 25, 2021 18 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: I slept through the derecho. Meh. That surprises the hell out of me...you of all wx fans on here would've LOVED seeing/hearing it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 25, 2021 Share Posted February 25, 2021 18 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: I slept through the derecho. Meh. Considering you were about 3 years old, it makes sense. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 25, 2021 Share Posted February 25, 2021 can it snow during a severe outbreak? I'm hopeful we get one of those snowrecho thingies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 25, 2021 Share Posted February 25, 2021 On 2/24/2021 at 2:44 PM, NorthArlington101 said: I slept through the derecho. Meh. I remember trying to sleep through the derecho, without much success. I had already gotten a lot out of the winter weather side of things at that age, but losing power for 7 days didn't give my young weather weenie self the same connection to severe season. However, I'd love to get into that side of things, but I'll probably just be around lurking. Would be nice to track without the cutthroat nature of the winter threads, that's for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 25, 2021 Share Posted February 25, 2021 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: can it snow during a severe outbreak? I'm hopeful we get one of those snowrecho thingies. I've been trying to weenie it up for a while now. Years actually. It'd be fun to have a day with temps/dews in the lower 40's/upper 20's-30F respectively along with extremely steep low-mid level lapse rates leading to MLCAPE of ~500 J/kg and a powerful NS shortwave swinging through during the afternoon at 60-70+ mph. This would form a line of severe thunderstorms with snow as the main precip-type along with widespread severe wind gusts. Were you around for the December 19th super snowrecho just over two months ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 25, 2021 Share Posted February 25, 2021 The derecho here was a meh event. No severe, power went out for 5 seconds due to lightning strike on highway. Was an average storm for us. A few miles south it was another story. And of course NOVA. Even so, it was nothing like the one that hit last year in Iowa. This area just is a (natural) disaster free zone. Which is a good thing. Only a total psycho would feel good coming home from work to their home being destroyed, pets killed, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 25, 2021 Share Posted February 25, 2021 Man, we got absolutely nuked by the derecho in 2011. I was living in Falls Church near I-495 at the time and my neighborhood was lit up by that beast. I will never forget the sky looking like that - purple, black, swirling, words do not do it justice. There were transformers blowing everywhere and constant lightning and it looked like the fourth of July. Folks in my office at the time, particularly those in the Bethesda area, were out of power for up to two weeks. At the time I bailed out and drove to PA for the weekend to stay with family. It was on a Friday night, right? Came back when the power was back on in the nhood. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 4 hours ago, Paleocene said: Man, we got absolutely nuked by the derecho in 2011. I was living in Falls Church near I-495 at the time and my neighborhood was lit up by that beast. I will never forget the sky looking like that - purple, black, swirling, words do not do it justice. There were transformers blowing everywhere and constant lightning and it looked like the fourth of July. Folks in my office at the time, particularly those in the Bethesda area, were out of power for up to two weeks. At the time I bailed out and drove to PA for the weekend to stay with family. It was on a Friday night, right? Came back when the power was back on in the nhood. I am always going to hold a tiny bit of resentment towards my brother for getting married that weekend in Minneapolis. I watched it all happen via my phone from Target Field 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 26, 2021 Share Posted February 26, 2021 4 hours ago, Paleocene said: Man, we got absolutely nuked by the derecho in 2011. I was living in Falls Church near I-495 at the time and my neighborhood was lit up by that beast. I will never forget the sky looking like that - purple, black, swirling, words do not do it justice. There were transformers blowing everywhere and constant lightning and it looked like the fourth of July. Folks in my office at the time, particularly those in the Bethesda area, were out of power for up to two weeks. At the time I bailed out and drove to PA for the weekend to stay with family. It was on a Friday night, right? Came back when the power was back on in the nhood. Yeah it was bad that way. I was in Vienna the week after and the brush piles at the curb were ridiculous! Power still out in those places. A few videos are on youtube from the baltimore area, it was breezy and at times it looked like the winds gusted over 50-60mph picking up dirt and trash cans. Lots of green flashes from arcing wires too. And of course nearly continuous lightning. Up our way the most significant thing was lightning and it rained hard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A777 Posted March 6, 2021 Share Posted March 6, 2021 Way out in fantasyland, but spring is coming... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted March 6, 2021 Share Posted March 6, 2021 On 2/25/2021 at 10:56 AM, Cobalt said: I remember trying to sleep through the derecho, without much success. I had already gotten a lot out of the winter weather side of things at that age, but losing power for 7 days didn't give my young weather weenie self the same connection to severe season. However, I'd love to get into that side of things, but I'll probably just be around lurking. Would be nice to track without the cutthroat nature of the wintenaturer threads, that's for sure. That last sentence made me chuckle. New here I take it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 11, 2021 Share Posted March 11, 2021 Whats up with the mass of storms out in West Virginia? I'm assuming they will be shredded my the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 Just a bit of happy hour digital CAPE to enjoy with your liquor on this Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 12, 2021 Author Share Posted March 12, 2021 That doesn't look terrible for a VERY early season thunderstorm threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 MRGL risk gets into C VA and S MD for Thursday per SPC Day 3 OTLK From morning LWX AFD: The warm front associated with this system is expected to be right along the southern boundary of our CWA. Better near- surface-based instability coupled with deep shear may result in a severe weather threat. Though the greatest risk appears to be focused to our south, a few damaging wind gusts or even a low tornado risk can`t be ruled out as far north as central VA to southern MD Thursday afternoon/evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Just now, yoda said: MRGL risk gets into C VA and S MD for Thursday With the SLGT getting north of Richmond... though March climatology... Caddy Waddy... I'm low-key watching far southern zones for now, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 Hopefully April will start to bring opportunities for us. But often we end up waiting until May/June for the meaty stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Wish we could get into some of the stuff the south will be getting tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Kmlwx said: Hopefully April will start to bring opportunities for us. But often we end up waiting until May/June for the meaty stuff. April of 2019 was better than usual as a whole for these parts. The April 14-15th event could've been something memorable if timing was + or - 12 hours. A lot of moonlit skies between the storms that night once the mid-level dryslot moved overhead. Make that sunshine and add 5-10F then... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 39 minutes ago, H2O said: Wish we could get into some of the stuff the south will be getting tomorrow. Could be the first HIGH risk of the year tomorrow down in AL/MS per new DAY 2 OTLK from SPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 51 minutes ago, George BM said: April of 2019 was better than usual as a whole for these parts. The April 14-15th event could've been something memorable if timing was + or - 12 hours. A lot of moonlit skies between the storms that night once the mid-level dryslot moved overhead. Make that sunshine and add 5-10F then... So many of our events are razor thin margins with timing or other factor. And 12 hours is often on the higher end of how we bust. Often it's the difference of just like 5-8 hours that kills us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 @yoda Ay, where're you at? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 52 minutes ago, George BM said: @yoda Ay, where're you at? Moderate risk for most of the Carolinas on Thursday as well. Shades of April 14-16 2011, an outbreak that's been kind of forgotten, given what happened later that April and May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 17, 2021 Author Share Posted March 17, 2021 This is the time of year when I start giving CIPS analogs some general glances to see what kinds of threats may be coming down the pike. It's still VERY early for our region. Patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A777 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 We might get our first rumbles of thunder and lightning tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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