yoda Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Maybe a few isolated severe storms this afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Slight risk for me down in Salisbury. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 12 minutes ago, mappy said: Slight risk for me down in Salisbury. I see they expanded the slight risk back west of the bay into my county as well. It's been pretty boring around here lately. I could use some interesting weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 From SPC- Effective bulk shear of 30-35 kt with straight hodographs, MLCAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg, and steep low-level lapse rates will favor a mix of clusters and splitting cells capable of producing damaging gusts and isolated large hail until the storms shift offshore by this evening. I'm down for that. My yard is probably due for a miss though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 2 hours ago, yoda said: Maybe a few isolated severe storms this afternoon? Definite competing factors today. As noted above, the instability, deep layer shear, and low-level lapse rates are really good. On the downside, low-level westerly flow here (which occurs when the surface low is well to our northeast) tends to dry out the lower levels and limit convergence along the cold front. The threat is certainly better the further east and northeast one goes, but the overall trend in the CAMs for the local area is positive, especially with the HRRR seeming to come on board this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21, 2021 Author Share Posted July 21, 2021 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2021/md1323.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Looks like a watch coming soon for DC and to the northeast along i95 corridor into Delmarva 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Ooohhhh…meso’d already. Watch chance 80%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 49 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Ooohhhh…meso’d already. Watch chance 80%. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2021/md1323.html I'm kinda of interested about the potential today. EDIT: This has Delmarva jackpot written all over it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 51 minutes ago, yoda said: Looks like a watch coming soon for DC and to the northeast along i95 corridor into Delmarva I don't like being on the southern/southwestern edge of the mesos. Never seems to work out. Could use some rain, if I say so myself. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Came here to confirm. This totally caught me by surprise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Watch up until 8pm for DC and Arlington/Loudoun/Fairfax/Prince William counties in VA Pretty good chunk of MD in the watch too... as far west as Washington County in the watch... includes all of S MD into the Delmarva 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 385 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1155 AM EDT Wed Jul 21 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut District Of Columbia Delaware Southeast Massachusetts Central and Eastern Maryland New Jersey Southeast New York Southeast Pennsylvania Rhode Island Northeast Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1155 AM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop this afternoon along a weak cold front extending from northern Virginia into eastern Massachusetts. The strongest cells will pose a risk of damaging wind gusts and hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 35 minutes ago, mattie g said: I don't like being on the southern/southwestern edge of the mesos. Never seems to work out. Could use some rain, if I say so myself. Drought watch in Burke 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Looks like a decent cell in central Loudoun already Intiation also NW of i81 corridor (Cumberland to MRB area) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Drought watch in Burke Just a Dry Watch. Drought Watch will come if we don't get rain in the next few weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 3 hours ago, dailylurker said: I see they expanded the slight risk back west of the bay into my county as well. It's been pretty boring around here lately. I could use some interesting weather. Got an alert about the watch for home. Would be our luck to miss storms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2021/md1323.html I'm kinda of interested about the potential today. EDIT: This has Delmarva jackpot written all over it. Oh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 15 minutes ago, mappy said: Oh? We have solid lapse rates, shear and instability. Even the mid level lapse rates aren't terrible and that's a chronic thing we have going against us in these parts. Don't think it's going to be a lot of aerial coverage, but those who get a storm could get clocked pretty well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Maybe a complex is trying to form? Would hit the area if it does I guess something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 @mappy here comes your storm from Adams County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: @mappy here comes your storm from Adams County. I think @mappy is on the eastern shore today. She should be prime though for storms down in Salisbury though......:-) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 I put the catio out. Anyone who gets rain today can thank Wesley for meowing to go out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Had the cutest little downpour with one rumble of thunder. Sun now back out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Jackpot of 'meh' wins again... Remember a gameshow in the 70s called Joker's Wild? When you'd play against the devil, if you did not get a devil and got up to $1000 you'd win the jackpot? I feel like luck being with these systems I'd pull the lever and THREE DEVILS would come up across the board! LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21, 2021 Author Share Posted July 21, 2021 Radar looks pretty lame at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Let’s goooooo rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 21, 2021 Author Share Posted July 21, 2021 I like how SPC issued a mesoscale discussion that is almost entirely offshore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Missed the first ones. Those have the slower lower lined up. Hoping a couple more will come later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 big-time outflow boundary passage here in southern Howard County. Gusts definitely exceeding 30 mph. Not sure if I'm going to cash in on some rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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