frd Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: SPC bumped us to slight risk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 50 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: SPC bumped us to slight risk? 12z 3km NAM has a hail producing supercell over your yard around dinner time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: 12z 3km NAM has a hail producing supercell over your yard around dinner time. Baseball sized hail breaks all my windows or this is the biggest bust ever!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Had a bit of sun early, but its been cloudy here since around 8am. Looks like it should start to clear up soonish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 12 minutes ago, CAPE said: Had a bit of sun early, but its been cloudy here since around 8am. Looks like it should start to clear up soonish. Sun breaking through here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Baseball sized hail breaks all my windows or this is the biggest bust ever!!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Eastern IN had 3.5" - softball sized stones yesterday. Biggest I've dealt with personally is tennis ball sized (~2.6") and those are capable of serious to catastrophic destruction! Last time we had severe category hail (0.75") here was May 15, 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 I can feel the juice in the air compared to early this morning. It was quite comfortable then with a temp of 71. Currently 79/70 with thinning clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 No sun yet. 81/70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 SPC has adjusted/expanded the slight risk area further south.. OH to Mid Atlantic Region... Overnight convection has resulted in a large canopy of mid/high clouds across portions of eastern OH and western/central PA. This will significantly limit daytime heating and destabilization later today. Therefore, have adjusted the SLGT risk area farther south into parts of OH/WV/MD where stronger heating is expected, and where CAM guidance in is better agreement regarding thunderstorm development. A shortwave trough currently over Lower MI will help to initiate storms across northern OH by mid-afternoon, with storms tracking southeastward through the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 80/71 Still a thin cloud layer here. Much brighter and sun finally breaking out. See if temps get a boost into the mid 80s now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 19, 2021 Author Share Posted June 19, 2021 Pretty gloomy here at the moment... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 CI appears likely soon W and SW of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 19, 2021 Author Share Posted June 19, 2021 Getting some limited sunshine here now. Could help uncap things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Seems like a dud to me…isolated cell in northern VA but outside of that nothing. Looks like this won’t be very widespread either way 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 In northern AA county and the sky is fairly ominous to the west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 16 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: In northern AA county and the sky is fairly ominous to the west. Just stratus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 19, 2021 Author Share Posted June 19, 2021 Suspect there will be a rogue cell or two. But my hopes are pretty low. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Suspect there will be a rogue cell or two. But my hopes are pretty low. Apparently I’m a weenie for saying so lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Some high-based shallow convection (just showers for now) SW of DC on the lee side. It's possible this activity could become surface based as it gets further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Latest mesos get most of the action going right along the fall line and forming more of a line moving southeastward. 18z NAM nest suggestive of a few discrete cells followed by a multicellular line towards the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 I think it’s safe to say this threat is over… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Bust o Rama 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Beautiful out now. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Finally the sun is out. A tad late. High temp only busted by 7 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 42 minutes ago, snowfan said: Beautiful out now. Lol Yup lol. First blue sky I've seen all day. Cucumber plants enjoyed the cloudy warm day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 Time to move discussion to the other thread. Maybe a few garden variety storms later as the front drops in. A quarter inch or so of rain would be nice. On to Tuesday I guess. As it looks now, timing might not be ideal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted June 19, 2021 Share Posted June 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Time to move discussion to the other thread. Maybe a few garden variety storms later as the front drops in. A quarter inch or so of rain would be nice. On to Tuesday I guess. As it looks now, timing might not be ideal. I'm actually lowkey watching Monday. Some CAMs are hinting that MLLRs may steepen during the day with moisture from Claudette in the lower levels leading to higher CAPE. At the same time shear looks to strengthen to modest/moderate levels. If storms can form along the surface trough near the mountains on Monday and/or organized storm activity from further west can propagate eastward into the region, the ingredients may be there for a few decent storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 I got 0.04 on the edge of a shower, I guess that counts as a boom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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