snywx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Sitting at 25f here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 12 minutes ago, snywx said: Sitting at 25f here.. 27/25 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 30/30 no noticeable precip unless you look for it in the light. It probably isn't enough to be bringing branches down but the damage is done, its a skating rink out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Nice glaze on my cars and driveway. Freezing drizzle/mist continues. 30 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 55 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Yea the main storm is now headed into western PA. I'd say if your temp is like 28 or lower now you probably are headed for a solid icestorm. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Wantage NJ 4 św 336AM. ZR- brief ZR. 30.6F all glazed, est thickness at least 0.1" Isolated power outages Sussex County NJ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Slezak Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Thanks Walt! It's Joe Slezak. Not sure if you remember me. Keep me updated on obs! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Joe Slezak said: Thanks Walt! It's Joe Slezak. Not sure if you remember me. Keep me updated on obs! I remember: WX works now? 431A: Still zr- 31.5. Just 54 meters out in our rural coop at 430A, power outages larger Warren County. everything solid ice here. Has to be delays in the County, especially north. Post event summary: SPC HREF exhibits the continuing cold bias and too robust FRAM output until within 12 hours of the event.There fore too far southeast. and too heavy not rewarding good verification but ice did occur e PA much of nw NJ and all I84 corridor. Still a few reports to come, I'm sure. I think the GFSv16 did a good job flagging 0.1-0.4" FRAM accretion where it occurred-forecast. 444A: 32.0F melting should begin shortly. Ice via ASOS radial at 4A looks like an estimated BDL .04, IJD 0.2, POU .07, FWN 0.11 which matches my estimate at 740'MSL, MPO near 1/4". High terrain accrete seems best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Wantage NJ 524aAM. Rain-melting at 33.6F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Up to 32, complete and total ice rink out there, guessing .2-.3 of ice, almost fell twice just trying to get some salt down, will try to measure officially in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Would definitely say the same as it looks like a solid .2 accreted here as well. Roads appeared to have remained wet overnight and now at either 33 or 34 depending on what source I look at. Melting already underway and should only accelerate after sunrise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 35/34/E3/RN It was pouring a little while ago, lighter now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 37/37/W-NW3/RN and Fog It poured again for a little while and now the fog is building quickly. As it gets light out I can see that there is a huge amount of standing water blocked in by snow and ice banks, all of my gutters are overflowing partially because of ice on the roof but also because the leaders are likely frozen under the snow and the water has no place to go and the storm drains in the street are blocked so the neighbors downhill are getting soaked. edit: All of the piles of salt on the roads are getting washed away. While it will be good for most of us and our cars it will be no good for those living downhill and downstream as it piles up in their yards and the environment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 An image of the Paper Birch in front of our Wantage NJ home at 715A, and the white pine in our backyard at 645AM.Eestimated .15" Radial Ice. Last 32F wa about 440AM. Melting now but plenty to go. Have no idea why these don't post without a download? F7883524-CAEA-47E0-B429-70EA6280F338.heicF7883524-CAEA-47E0-B429-70EA6280F338.heic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 The value of giving yourself wiggle room on perfect prognosis. Added the actual 1157Z obs that got into the verification for 12z/16. Note a touch colder in some of sheltered interior very difficult to handle the gradient. Then the EC op from 00z/16 and GFS/NAM ops from 06z/16 (their 00z versions were similar). A degree or two can make a large difference and EC was just too warm at 12z in the strong temp gradient except southern Manhattan heliport (elevated) and JFK eastward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 48 here, foggy, drizzly. Snowpack is eroding *fast.* Lesson officially learned - no matter how dense, ice encrusted, glacial, etc. the snowpack looks, a few hours of foggy, drizzly upper 40s/low 50s will wipe most of it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 up now to either 35 or 36, once again dependent on where I look for obs. Ice melting is taking on an accelerated rate. White Lake, approximately ~10-20 minutes from me, saw .5 of flat ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, wdrag said: The value of giving yourself wiggle room on perfect prognosis. Added the actual 1157Z obs that got into the verification for 12z/16. Note a touch colder in some of sheltered interior very difficult to handle the gradient. Then the EC op from 00z/16 and GFS/NAM ops from 06z/16 (their 00z versions were similar). A degree or two can make a large difference and EC was just too warm at 12z in the strong temp gradient except southern Manhattan heliport (elevated) and JFK eastward. Nice maps, ECM was way too warm NW of the city. GFS/NAM seemed like they did a pretty good job with the coastal front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, HVSnowLover said: Nice maps, ECM was way too warm NW of the city. GFS/NAM seemed like they did a pretty good job with the coastal front Yes I agree... shows just how close we came to having a bigger - more extensive problem. I see some decent power outages ne PA, se NYS, just on outside the edge of subforum. I think also, in the tend, the RGEM was best at indicating icing holding to 12z Pocs/se NYS High Point NJ. Took awhile for the RGEM to come to that conclusion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, wdrag said: Yes I agree... shows just how close we came to having a bigger - more extensive problem. I see some decent power outages ne PA, se NYS, just on outside the edge of subforum. I think also, in the tend, the RGEM was best at indicating icing holding to 12z Pocs/se NYS High Point NJ. Took awhile for the RGEM to come to that conclusion. Yea if we had a strong well positioned high probably woulda been a way different outcome (although in this case probably better off this way) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Pretty big bust, though that was fortunate. I thought plain rain was obvious... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 And now the ice is falling off of the trees. What a wonderful sound it is. 36/35 although the Narrowsburg station is at 38. I'd believe that obs more than what I see on TWC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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