cyclone77 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Chicago Storm said: 18z RGEM with 0.19" out your way as well. DVN still going with 1-2" for here/QC with no advisory, so they may need to make some adjustments this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: First flakes flying here. RAP has upped us to over 0.20" of precip now, and the HRRR and NAMs have bumped us into the high teens. Should hopefully be able to fluff 3-4" out of that, which is a HUGE win compared to how this looked a few days ago. Cyclone will never be defeated. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 To be clear, it's coming down, but I am waiting for the 1/4 to 1/2 mile visibilities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 20z HRRR has another 12-18" of snow across Northeast Cook Co, where ~8" is already down. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Dumping snow. Getting that foggy look. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Latest from ILN... AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 339 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 .SYNOPSIS... Significant winter storm to continue to impact the region overnight into early Tuesday as surface low pressure tracks into the Upper Ohio Valley. Surface high pressure will settle over the region bringing dry weather and cold temperatures Tuesday into Wednesday. Another system with a similar trajectory will create another round of winter weather for Wednesday night and Thursday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... Major winter storm to continue to impact the area tonight into early Tuesday. This storm will likely cause a range of impacts from very heavy snow up to a foot across portions of East Central Indiana and West Central Ohio to up to a half inch of ice over the Scioto River Valley/Southeast Ohio and portions of Northeast KY. Model solution consensus toward more amplified mid level trof. This leads to further west and deeper surface low. This allows more warm air aloft over the very cold surface temperatures. Precipitation beginning to re-develop and fill in from the southwest as favorable lift re-develops. This pcpn initially is falling as freezing rain/sleet along the I-71 corridor. 8H Frontogenesis intensifies this evening with a dual upper level jet band providing upper level divergence. Expect snowfall rates this evening to be 1 to 1.5 inches per hour in heavy snow over the northwest portion of ILN/s FA. Confidence in heavy snow over the northwest is high. With more warm air into the I-71 corridor this region will be in the transition zone of pcpn types. Sleet and freezing rain will diminish snow totals in this transition zone -- with 5 to 8 inches expected overnight. Over the lower Scioto River Valley and northeast KY the predominate precipitation type is freezing rain. Major ice accumulation up to a half inch is forecast overnight. This amount of ice will likely lead to power outages and tree limbs down. With sfc low tracking thru the Upper Ohio Valley overnight expect the pressure gradient to increase tonight -- especially over West Central Ohio. North-northeast winds gusting up to 35 mph will result in blowing and drifting snow overnight. Have continued winter storm warnings across the entire area. Cold temperatures to continue with lows from near 10 northwest to near 20 southeast. Cold wind chills in the single digits thru the daylight hours. Large surface to build into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley Tuesday night. Very cold temperatures with lows from the single digits below zero northwest to the single digits above zero southeast. Wind chill look to be single digits below zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: 20z HRRR has another 12-18" of snow across Northeast Cook Co, where ~8" is already down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 Thinking I should be good for at least another 8" here, maybe more... wild card is the lake band and how quickly it moves through. If it hangs up for any length of time tomorrow, then could easily push additional amounts into double digits. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cuteirishgirl25 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 If you want snow don’t live in Cincinnati! Eff sleet 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 How much does ORD need to hit 50" for the season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 But spring and svr wx season is coming... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 442 PM EST MON FEB 15 2021 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN DOUGHERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA... NORTHWESTERN BAKER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA... EASTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA... EAST CENTRAL EARLY COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA... * UNTIL 515 PM EST. * AT 442 PM EST, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ARLINGTON, OR 12 MILES NORTH OF COLQUITT, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES, BUSINESSES, AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... MORGAN AND LEARY AROUND 455 PM EST. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE COMMISSARY HILL, IVEYS MILL, MILFORD, CRESTVIEW, BERMUDA, DOUGLASVILLE, HOLT, PATMOS AND DAMASCUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Cuteirishgirl25 said: If you want snow don’t live in Cincinnati! Eff sleet Noted 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Thundersnow12 said: How much does ORD need to hit 50" for the season? 38.3" on the season as of noon... So 11.7" to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
featherwx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 20z HRRR has another 12-18" of snow across Northeast Cook Co, where ~8" is already down. How much for those of us in central Cook who’ve gotten less than an inch so far today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 My goal is 8". Anything over that is a bonus. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 How much for those of us in central Cook who’ve gotten less than an inch so far today?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigHoss Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Snownado said: My goal is 8". Anything over that is a bonus. Flake size still weak up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, BigHoss said: Flake size still weak up there? They are still small but I don't think quite as small as they were. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 7 minutes ago, Cuteirishgirl25 said: If you want snow don’t live in Cincinnati! Eff sleet Cincinnati had a surprise 10" snowstorm last week. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: Cincinnati had a surprise 10" snowstorm last week. Yeah i think Indy is the place you don't wanna live if you want snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
featherwx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: . Thanks! Not too shabby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Amazing rates right now. Visibility sub 1/4 mile. Not even the brunt of the LES band yet either 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I'm concerned about that dry slot in western Kentucky. I think that's going to nuke snow totals around here. I think I'm boned at this point if that dry slot doesn't fill in... Crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I just measured 3". Over 1/2" in the last 30 min. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: . **** 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Snownado said: I just measured 3". Over 1/2" in the last 30 min. New or including what we got last night/this morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, schoeppeya said: New or including what we got last night/this morning? total since last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 it's commenced. powder bomb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioWX Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, miamarsden8 said: I'm concerned about that dry slot in western Kentucky. I think that's going to nuke snow totals around here. I think I'm boned at this point if that dry slot doesn't fill in... Crap. I'm gonna end up with no snow before that dry slot arrives. Getting absolutely pelted with sleet though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Like this is a nasty dry slot. Why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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