February 18th ?19th?

[NeonPeon]

My final guess for mby is 2 inches. Better banding north, better banding south, intensification east of here and a lot of poor growth. If i can do a little x country today or tomorrow I'll consider it a big victory.

[George001]

7 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

DC always busts. It doesn't mean anything beyond that.

Idk it seems like whenever dc does well we get screwed and vice versa. There’s a reason why they root for the opposite patterns that we do, they root for strong ninos and we root for strong ninas. If they get hammered usually the storm track is too far south for us, and if we get hammered usually it’s a Miller b so they get screwed because the storm transfers too late. 

[PhineasC]

Just now, George001 said:

Idk it seems like whenever dc does well we get screwed and vice versa. There’s a reason why they root for the opposite patterns that we do, they root for strong ninos and we root for strong ninas. 

DC hasn't "done well" with any event since 2016.

[MJO812]

4 minutes ago, George001 said:

Idk it seems like whenever dc does well we get screwed and vice versa. There’s a reason why they root for the opposite patterns that we do, they root for strong ninos and we root for strong ninas. If they get hammered usually the storm track is too far south for us, and if we get hammered usually it’s a Miller b so they get screwed because the storm transfers too late. 

DC hasn't done well in years

[Hoth]

I smell the snow. Think we sneak in another good event here. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ensembles are quite amped on the 2/26 threat. I'm not buying a mid-atlantic snowstorm yet on that look. 

Ensembles don't look that impressive to me.

[tamarack]

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

We've had a number of Houdini events this year.

At this location the "snow season" is 12/1 thru 3/31.  The last month in that timeframe with AN snow was Feb. 2019.  We're 7" shy of the norm this month and I don't see where that might be coming from, which would make 8 straight BN snow-season months.  And after the Mon-Tues event/whatever the pattern appears to switch from frustrating back to boring.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, tamarack said:

At this location the "snow season" is 12/1 thru 3/31.  The last month in that timeframe with AN snow was Feb. 2019.  We're 7" shy of the norm this month and I don't see where that might be coming from, which would make 8 straight BN snow-season months.  And after the Mon-Tues event/whatever the pattern appears to switch from frustrating back to boring.

With the analogs that were being thrown around this fall, It was a 50/50 shot of this winter being good or a dud, Guess we know what side of the line this will end up on.

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Ensembles don't look that impressive to me.

[IowaStorm05]

Some model disagreement for this; new screw zone at least early on v16. 
 

weird storm. 

[IowaStorm05]

1 hour ago, PhineasC said:

DC hasn't "done well" with any event since 2016.

DC is one of those places that is really on the border of not getting snow with any regularity.

In today’s climate DC is like the Seattle area, though not quite as bad. It has snowfall microclimates around the area, and many years see little or no snow at all, but when it does occasionally snow it can be substantial yet the amounts vary depending on what part of the metro area you are in.

[TalcottWx]

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

DC hasn't done well in years

No one cares here 

[nianticct]

2 inches plus with heavy snow in Waterford 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Bit late to the party south, but Final Call:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/02/protracted-light-to-moderate-snows.html

 

[Clavinet]

Euro's snow reflectivity for 5-6pm is in the wrong spots? Is this storm still happening? Feels like it's just barely making it across for CT. 

 

[dryslot]

Looks like a jigsaw puzzle...........