RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: WTF? Come on You did bring up jerking and extended showers before so what did you expect him to be...flacid? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 39 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It was more than Vernon but the median still had bare patches. It was def less than north of exit 71 in Union where it was fully covered in the median. But exit 68-69 is down around 500-600 feet on that stretch. I get off on 69 most every day when I go to my girlfriends house. Even from Manchester up to that point the difference is noticeable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 hour ago, 78Blizzard said: From the reports I have seen, it looks like this system has been overproducing down south. This gives me hope that we can have an outside shot at reaching the lower end of my forecast. Obs are arguably more valuable than model data at this point (both are useful though, it would still be foolish to outright ignore the models). A great example of this is the Superbowl sunday storm, the models had 2-4 inches over my area, and even with ratios only 5-6. However, the obs did not match the model data at all, the precip was more expansive and the low was stronger and more northwest than forecasted, which was a huge red flag that forecasts were too low. Some good signs when the models have the snow to the south are more precip than expected down south, the rain snow line being farther north than expected, and the mountains and interior areas overproducing while DC and the coastal mid atlantic gets screwed by a warm layer. One thing I learned from my time on the other mid Atlantic centered board is we are often rooting for the opposite things. DC weenies love strong El Niño’s like 2015-2016, where as my area loves strong la ninas like 2010-2011. DC weenies often wants a more de amplified and farther south low to avoid mixing where as eastern mass weenies want a more amplified solution that might rain there. The key is what does the storm do down south, if the DC posters on the other board are rejoicing, we are probably screwed and if the DC posters are screaming bust, we are likely in for a major storm. That said there are exceptions such as Jan 1996, but the setup for this storm is nothing like that one, and looks to be a more typical situation where it’s DC and the coastal mid Atlantic getting it or us getting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Cold Miser said: I get off on 69 most every day when I go to my girlfriends house. Even from Manchester up to that point the difference is noticeable. I get off on 69 too..... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I get off on 69 most every day when I go to my girlfriends house. Even from Manchester up to that point the difference is noticeable. I can’t tell you the number of times I’ve seen winter wonderland at top of that hill and as soon as you hit bottom on Vernon line it’s grass. Elevation events . Probably 75+ times over the years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 9 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I get off on 69 most every day when I go to my girlfriends house. Even from Manchester up to that point the difference is noticeable. I bet you do big boy, I bet you do. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You did bring up jerking and extended showers before so what did you expect him to be...flacid? I can’t believe he is kissing and telling here. Keep it to self Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 10 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I get off on 69 too..... hopefully not with my girlfriend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 19 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I get off on 69 most every day when I go to my girlfriends house. Even from Manchester up to that point the difference is noticeable. Lol omg I am damn sure you didn't realize what you posted 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Gronk just joined the board 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 18z Euro was still pretty meh. Looked a little better tomorrow afternoon though down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z Euro was still pretty meh. Looked a little better tomorrow afternoon though down south. I thought it was a little better but we’ll have to nowcast this hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I thought it was a little better but we’ll have to nowcast this hard. Nice typical Euro incremental bump north. Better than south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 21 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: hopefully not with my girlfriend. No. She wont answer my texts anymore 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Nice typical Euro incremental bump north. Better than south Notice an increase of easterly flow as well. Berks showing it best 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Every piece of guidance increased and bumped 18zee. Take note anyone thinking of kneee jerking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice typical Euro incremental bump north. Better than south Yea. WB was running slow with surface but mid levels looked better. Qpf is deff a big improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Notice an increase of easterly flow as well. Berks showing it best That’s a nice bump for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol omg I am damn sure you didn't realize what you posted I wouldn't be surprised to see that as someone's signature sometime. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: I wouldn't be surprised to see that as someone's signature sometime. lol If I ever log on my desktop, it’s mine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I'm feeling some last minute bumps north. Not on the scale of Tuesday, but I could slide the meat get another 30-50 miles north. Maybe all the way to 69? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If I ever log on my desktop, it’s mine. Does anyone here still post on a PC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 29 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol omg I am damn sure you didn't realize what you posted Hanging curveball over the middle of the plate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I’m pretty much locked in at 2-4”. Looks good S of the MA Pike for a few more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I think the Euro is going to play catch-up with some of the other models at 0z as far as qpf is concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Does anyone here still post on a PC? When I'm at home and at the desk I have a nice 17 inch laptop I prefer to use. Much more fun to look at Pivotal, TT, radar etc on a big screen. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Does anyone here still post on a PC? I only time was Feb1-3 while working but that was my first post from a desktop in years I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said: When one weenie walks back amounts, another weenie is there to fill the void. When one weenie pull back on the QPF another is there to fill the void... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: When I'm at home and at the desk I have a nice 17 inch laptop I prefer to use. Much more fun to look at Pivotal, TT, radar etc on a big screen. During big storms, yea...that’s the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 13 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: I think the Euro is going to play catch-up with some of the other models at 0z as far as qpf is concerned. Let’s see if others at 00z bump north first. I’ve had this feeling we’d see a bump north with this being a southern origin but obviously nothing is guaranteed. I have also thought the models would play a little catchup on the midlevel stuff. Hopefully that is the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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