CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Would like to see euro and son of gfs on board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Part2 looks good on gfs for the sema whiners. Ironically Grandpa Bob gets jacked on the Goofus with a ten spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Enjoy the storm down there. Another nothing burger here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 This will be another good test of old vs. v16 GFS... both have been really consistent yet different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Enjoy the storm down there. Another nothing burger here. O come on. <1/2" is more than "nothing". (probably) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Would like to see euro and son of gfs on board. Just a slight tick back by the euro would be nice to see. SGFS to a lesser extent. Thing runs so cold it probably washes all the qpf too far se with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ironically Grandpa Bob gets jacked on the Goofus with a ten spot Grandpee can’t fake it. He loves it...otherwise, he wouldn’t care to measure or post pics of his pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Enjoy the storm down there. Another nothing burger here. Do you want fries with that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Grandpee can’t fake it. He loves it...otherwise, he wouldn’t care to measure or post pics of his pack. Sometimes I secretly hope for him to get Jackpoted by anomalous April snows just to keep him from starting the yardwork. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Yeah GFS16 is very paltry compared to the GFS. As far as qpf goes the GFS took a big slice off and GFS16 nudged up slightly. Ill be very intteresed to see how it does overall with this system as well compared to the GFS. IMO GFS16 has been great this season and ive been using it heavily in fxing...when its available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 This isn’t wholly representative of what we got. Many open fields have about 4 inches still. The line between haves and have nots going into this, at this longitude appears to be Franklin. I took a trip to Westerly today and near the coast the only remaining snow is piles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: I’m this close to filling in part of that sucker hole. Love your maps man, that stuff is a lot of work. Thank you i appreciate it. Sometimes i wonder if anyone really cares about those kind of maps...like STD snowfall totals for the current year, or all the seasonal maps ive done for the past 5-6 years so any feedback or hearing that people like it makes me want to keep doing it. We're always going to snowfall/ice fx for the business/website etc but the other ones like the STD snowfall map are just for fun. And yeah its very time consuming especially gathering the data and drawing the gradient colors. The snowfall verification maps, the ones i do after a snowfall ususally take 3-4 hours each, sometimes more when its a big double digit storm and theres 100s of reports. And dont worry you will fill in that sucker hole...while we move on to the 50-60 range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Snow depth going into the event... We still have a 4-6" depth around these parts in death valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: Thank you i appreciate it. Sometimes i wonder if anyone really cares about those kind of maps...like STD snowfall totals for the current year, or all the seasonal maps ive done for the past 5-6 years so any feedback or hearing that people like it makes me want to keep doing it. We're always going to snowfall/ice fx for the business/website etc but the other ones like the STD snowfall map are just for fun. And yeah its very time consuming especially gathering the data and drawing the gradient colors. The snowfall verification maps, the ones i do after a snowfall ususally take 3-4 hours each, sometimes more when its a big double digit storm and theres 100s of reports. And dont worry you will fill in that sucker hole...while we move on to the 50-60 range We do care. Keep em coming. Great work guys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Wiz went very conservative...1-3 north of Danbury/New London line (approx.), and 3-6 on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 22 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I think the ORH hills get 100' higher every year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Snow depth going into the event... We still have a 4-6" depth around these parts in death valley The one on the top is usually fairly close. The one on the bottom rarely ever is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Wiz went very conservative...1-3 north of Danbury/New London line (approx.), and 3-6 on the coast. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 It looks like my forecast has the gfs on its side but not the euro Canadian and navy. Not a good sign when the model that is agreeing with your forecast is the worst model there is. Probably going to take em down tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The one on the top is usually fairly close. The one on the bottom rarely ever is. yea thats what ive been told overall the one on top is great. The one on the bottom is just easier on the eyes to read and get an overall idea of whats going on. Actually that one, just speaking for my location exactly is spot on and it usually is for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 12 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Snow depth going into the event... We still have a 4-6" depth around these parts in death valley Looks about right here. 2-5” generally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 This one definitely has higher bust potential than your average storm. We're going to trim back a bit but not that much.. Radar.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 29 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Yeah GFS16 is very paltry compared to the GFS. As far as qpf goes the GFS took a big slice off and GFS16 nudged up slightly. Ill be very intteresed to see how it does overall with this system as well compared to the GFS. IMO GFS16 has been great this season and ive been using it heavily in fxing...when its available. It looked like the old GFS cut back the qpf mostly in the NYC, LI and CT area. Around these parts it was mostly just noise. IMBY it was .01 less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 26 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Snow depth going into the event... We still have a 4-6" depth around these parts in death valley Pathetic for here in mid Feb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 V16 with some Essex County loving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: This one definitely has higher bust potential than your average storm. We're going to trim back a bit but not that much.. Radar.. From the reports I have seen, it looks like this system has been overproducing down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This one definitely has higher bust potential than your average storm. We're going to trim back a bit but not that much.. Radar.. Bust potential is on the higher side not lower . I’d be careful about knee jerking . JMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I dont hate that look on the 21Z rap, bumped up a bit from 15Z actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Bust potential is on the higher side not lower . I’d be careful about knee jerking . JMO not knee jerking, adjusting. 5-10 is a bit too high at the moment for any guidance. And this could bust either way, especially if that WAA snows push farther north than current advertised, then add the 2nd part.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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