CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Anyways, hope this comes together more. It's one of those things where you know winter is ending, so you hope for a fun event. These small deals at the end of the season are like poking needles into your body after a long season. I do get Ray on that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Yeah I wasn't kidding when I said I've enjoyed this winter. I got my big dog, torched it away in a week, avoided big cold, and other than yesterday we've pretty much avoided the glop events. Winter is long here and it's nice to have one that feels a little shorter. Hopefully we can start warming it up a bit in March. Yeah I'm over it too. If winter could be one biggie and 55F and dry the rest of the time I'd be ecstatic. 30F and dry with 1-3'' every 5 days is getting old fast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Please do not post on this storm at all since you don’t care. No Obs , no snow amounts..nothing. Ok? How can I avoid posting when double digits are coming!!!!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, George001 said: I did, I looked at the upper levels on the models instead of just using surface temps and they seem to support my idea of higher ratio snow like the Superbowl Sunday storm. Here's the problem...the initial WAA pushes the DGZ pretty high up in the troposphere...around 500mb. So most of the lift in S SNE is below the DGZ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Kitzbuhel Craver said: I mean cmon guys, I can’t speak for everyone but MBY pack survived the warm up with a solid 6” of glacier left. We have a nice refresher coming, advisory north(or more) and most likely low end warning criteria south and a nice long duration, which I view as a positive for winter vibes. This event keeps the deep winter feel going. SNAP OUT OF IT WEENIES. LFG! Winter has been better down there. Agreed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 28 minutes ago, MJO812 said: He hugs the Navy and is worse than me. the NAVGEM doesn't show anything remotely close to a blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, JC-CT said: the NAVGEM doesn't show anything remotely close to a blizzard Did you quadruple the output though? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, JC-CT said: the NAVGEM doesn't show anything remotely close to a blizzard 18-24'' on the NOGAPS though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: lol. Those were awesome. Kevin and George went out and measured each with 6" Kevin came back with 12" ohhhh...that fooking weenie! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: How can I avoid posting when double digits are coming!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Here's the problem...the initial WAA pushes the DGZ pretty high up in the troposphere...around 500mb. So most of the lift in S SNE is below the DGZ. This is not the way to run high ratios. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: He just hated you probably. I literally have zero to offer. lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Winter has been better down there. Agreed. Yeah. I really did think you would have a great season up there relative to average. LBSW was and is a persistent theme this winter and a detriment to your area. That does suck, I feel for some of the posters who have gotten a serious cosmic dildo thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Anyways, hope this comes together more. It's one of those things where you know winter is ending, so you hope for a fun event. These small deals at the end of the season are like poking needles into your body after a long season. I do get Ray on that. I'll take cold and snow threats til March 31, then ideally we could jump into 70s in April...but we know how that works around here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Kevin and George went out and measured each with 6" Kevin came back with 12" ohhhh...that fooking weenie! Send it to Dice! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Anyways, hope this comes together more. It's one of those things where you know winter is ending, so you hope for a fun event. These small deals at the end of the season are like poking needles into your body after a long season. I do get Ray on that. Thsts fine, but please don’t post about you not caring , whining etc. Nobody cares about your emotions . Let those of us that want snow discuss the storm 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Anyways, hope this comes together more. It's one of those things where you know winter is ending, so you hope for a fun event. These small deals at the end of the season are like poking needles into your body after a long season. I do get Ray on that. I mean, even if I were getting what the s coast is, then I'd be fine with it....but 3"+ over 48 hours? 'Cmon lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: Did you quadruple the output though? Lol no But it does have a nice quick hitter for the 22nd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mean, even if I were getting what the s coast is, then I'd be fine with it....but 3"+ over 48 hours? 'Cmon lol OK, but don't post about not caring and bringing everyone down, Deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: This is not the way to run high ratios. I know some where advocating for better ratios than the mid atlantic as early as yesterday, and I was a bit confused as to why. Thanks for clarifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, wx2fish said: I'll take cold and snow threats til April 30, then ideally we could jump into 70s in May...but we know how that works around here. I made a couple of adjustments lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, JC-CT said: the NAVGEM doesn't show anything remotely close to a blizzard I’m not expecting a blizzard, more sustained mod snow for 30 hours or so. However the latest run of the navy was more south though so I have to admit that is a red flag. I’m still waiting to see if it was just an off run or a trend before I get too concerned though, that is a fair point though about the navy not looking great. As a forecaster I want to try to be more accurate and avoid those crazy 3-4 feet snow calls that amount to nothing, so even if the models aren’t showing what I want to see I’m not just going to discount them. Blending the navy euro and Canadian still looks good for my idea of a 16-20 jackpot with most areas getting 12-15 when taking ratios into account so I’m going to stick with it, but I would like to see the navy come back north next run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mean, even if I were getting what the s coast is, then I'd be fine with it....but 3"+ over 48 hours? 'Cmon lol I'm hoping that comes north given the origins, but not sure the upper levels will support it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: OK, but don't post about not caring and bringing everyone down, Deal? No Deal. Regards, Spinazola- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Anyways, hope this comes together more. It's one of those things where you know winter is ending, so you hope for a fun event. These small deals at the end of the season are like poking needles into your body after a long season. I do get Ray on that. At the end of the season?! It’s Feb 17th not Napril. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: At the end of the season?! It’s Feb 17th. Final third. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: At the end of the season?! It’s Feb 17th not Napril. Dude can’t handle kids in the house cooped up so takes his anger out here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: This is not the way to run high ratios. So obviously fronto is well below the dgz. What are the blue/grey shaded areas and what are we looking for with respect to theta-e? nevermind the first part I see the omega legend on the right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: At the end of the season?! It’s Feb 17th not Napril. It's getting near the end. A few weeks left realistically and March already starts mild on guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: At the end of the season?! It’s Feb 17th. 7th inning for southern folks. gets harder and harder from here on out and forget it in about 4 weeks close to 40 inches here, another 6-8 will take me to 45, I'd be happy with that if that was it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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