CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Nope.... 6-10” pike south... and the majority of that falls in a consolidated span... so this 4” over 36 hours really doesn’t exist. Rt 6 south? Congrats on 4" in 24 hrs on 3K NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, George001 said: I’m forecasting 16-20 for your area Using the metric system is very thoughtful. 16-20cm is possible 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, George001 said: I’m forecasting 16-20 for your area How long did it take you get muted on the other forum? I need a plausible over/under... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You would need this to keep trending Yeah that’s where the upside is IMHO...unless you are near the south coast...esp in CT where you may do better from the thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Lethal combo. Days and Days of Feet and Feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 The NAM drops the majority of that 6-10” for the pike south area in like 8 hours... with nuisance snows on either side. Not prolific, but certainly not horrendous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Using the metric system is very thoughtful. 16-20cm is possible Triple that and you got my forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, George001 said: I’m forecasting 16-20 for your area serious question: how old are you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Rt 6 south? Congrats on 4" in 24 hrs on 3K NAM. 3k is a shredded mess.... everyone loses if that is the evolution. Im kind of surprised you are poo pooing this. With the lack of all snow events in your local this winter, you’d think you’d be welcoming this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: How long did it take you get muted on the other forum? I need a plausible over/under... It took me 2 weeks. They said I wasn’t learning but I disagree. When I first joined that forum I didn’t even know what a La Niña was and now I know what La Niña, El Niño, and even the polar vortex are. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: serious question: how old are you? 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, George001 said: 20 OK. I think you should look at why you exaggerate and catastrophize. You are well beyond a weenie. I think you are SnowQ, and I'm waiting for the big reveal. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 George, what current model guidance are you using to back your assertions? Not one model is showing that much potential in the upper air pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 3k is a shredded mess.... everyone loses if that is the evolution. Im kind of surprised you are poo pooing this. With the lack of all snow events in your local this winter, you’d think you’d be welcoming this. I've done just as fine as you. But I'm with Ray on a protracted event that drops a few inches. Give it to the scallop fisherman in Buzzards Bay. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 9 minutes ago, George001 said: I’m forecasting 16-20 for your area 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: How long did it take you get muted on the other forum? I need a plausible over/under... 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: George, what current model guidance are you using to back your assertions? Not one model is showing that much potential in the upper air pattern. He hugs the Navy and is worse than me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: George, what current model guidance are you using to back your assertions? Not one model is showing that much potential in the upper air pattern. The 12z CRACK model. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Kinda looks like the mean girls are out..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: I've done just as fine as you. But I'm with Ray on a protracted event that drops a few inches. Give it to the scallop fisherman in Buzzards Bay. I guess... but I mean, it’s feb 17th, not April 17th. It’s still winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not sure why you insist on double digit snowfall. I don’t totally hate the upside of this storm but a lot would need to go right to pull 10-12. It hasn’t trended that way so far. He gets 6-8” just from the thump( putting qpf aside) since they’ve busted on qpf all winter and then there’s another 2-4 at least from round 2/OES. Unlike the last several. This one has some upside . I mean it snows all day Friday in all areas and his area possibly into Saturday AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: George, what current model guidance are you using to back your assertions? Not one model is showing that much potential in the upper air pattern. I use a 60/25/15 euro Canadian navy blend. I completely ignore the 10:1 snowfall maps when making my forecast, I am looking at things like jet dynamics, temps in the upper levels, ect. To me everything is screaming high ratio overperformer, Imo the euro evolution would get most areas to the lower end of my forecast, with the Canadian getting most areas to the higher end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: He hugs the Navy and is worse than me. Not sure if that is possible. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I guess... but I mean, it’s feb 17th, not April 17th. It’s still winter Yeah..I'm just done with the BS winter. Last two years at this time are just brutal. I'm over it unless it's a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Cold Miser said: Not sure if that is possible. lol I beg to differ- 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Meh.. they don’t want 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, George001 said: I use a 60/25/15 euro Canadian navy blend. I completely ignore the 10:1 snowfall maps when making my forecast, I am looking at things like jet dynamics, temps in the upper levels, ect. To me everything is screaming high ratio overperformer, Imo the euro evolution would get most areas to the lower end of my forecast, with the Canadian getting most areas to the higher end. oh. Sounds like a solid plan. Good luck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Not sure if that is possible. lol Believe me He was on another forum and called for a blizzard with every snowstorm. He reminds me of that guy that use to post in this subforum. William ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I’m definitely a huge weenie but in my opinion James has earned the #1 spot with his 40 inch forecasts for cape cod and his book. I’m planning on buying a copy. Though on the other form I did call for 3-4 feet for the Jan 29th threat that ended up going out to sea, that ended up being a huge bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Meh.. they don’t want Phil!!! Can we get Phil to post here again, or does he hate it here THAT much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Cold Miser said: Phil!!! Can we get Phil to post here again, or does he hate it here THAT much. He hated the meh’s and debbies etc. He gone 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 HRRR looks pretty aggressive into middle of SWCT and still snowing. First leap north today. Obviously gonna be a game time call. We need some help moving the Scooter shit streak. On the plus side a long lasting NE fetch with additional salt nuclei should assist in snow growth and provide eastern areas with a long lasting steady snow state. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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