WHEATCENT Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Radar shows moderate snow. Reality shows nothing. Been doing this in Far North East Ohio all morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 hour ago, CNY_WX said: It looks like western NY has snow moving in from the southwest. The west end of Lake Ontario is going to get more lake effect/enhanced snowfall than us by the end of this season. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I am legit coming into this with the expectation that I will get nothing...perhaps the 23432 dusting of the season...expectations have been set so low by now, that I can be pleasantly surprised with whatever we can squeeze out. For the time being, relaxing during my week off and enjoying the snowy landscape! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 So neat to watch the lake effect/enhanced precip moving to the west over the lake, while the synoptic returns more northeast! COD NEXRAD: BUF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I don't want to be the bearer of bad news but...a few stray flakes are falling now. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 12z National Blend of Models (NBM 2.5km). Only goes out to 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 This is the one that’s coming for our snow pack. Temps 40’s-50’s. Hey, just before my last ski trip! Perfect. Lol. Maybe this winter goes from D-F. Still time. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 Another prime night skiing yesterday, drank too much though. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: This is the one that’s coming for our snow pack. Temps 40’s-50’s. Hey, just before my last ski trip! Perfect. Lol. Maybe this winter goes from D-F. Still time. Places to our north and west (Southern Ontario) and South (Pennsylvania) would say this has probably been an A or B winter. But the zone from Rochester to Syracuse to Northern New England/Maine has had such a failure of a winter. It's definitely been a consistent run this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Places to our north and west (Southern Ontario) and South (Pennsylvania) would say this has probably been an A or B winter. But the zone from Rochester to Syracuse to Northern New England/Maine has had such a failure of a winter. It'd definitely been a consistent run this winter. Vermont and NH are above normal too. It's really just Buffalo/Roc/SYR and eastern Maine. I think Northern Michigan is well below normal too?@josh_4184 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 The western sides of the lakes have had more lake effect then the eastern sides have this year. I don't think I've ever seen such a thing. Wisconsin and Illinois got more lake effect then Michigan did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 We probably won't have much snow to lose by next weekend lol With temps forecasted several days in the mid-upper 30s(maybe some 40s) starting early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 52 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said: Been doing this in Far North East Ohio all morning. Wheatcent. Where you been my whole life? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 30 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I don't want to be the bearer of bad news but...a few stray flakes are falling now. Maybe one of Matt’s dustings? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, CNY_WX said: Maybe one of Matt’s dustings? He may jackpot again with a solid dusting. Maybe 0.1" if he finds a few snow grains stacked up just right on a midnight Jebwalk. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 12 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Places to our north and west (Southern Ontario) and South (Pennsylvania) would say this has probably been an A or B winter. But the zone from Rochester to Syracuse to Northern New England/Maine has had such a failure of a winter. It's definitely been a consistent run this winter. As I was snowblowing yesterday I was thinking how I would grade this winter. I came to the conclusion that this has pretty much been an average winter. I might end up below average for snowfall but I’m at 70 inches right now. I’ve had 7 straight weeks of snow cover. February has averaged below normal in temperatures and there hasn’t been a torch in a couple of months. I think we tend to grade based on expectations and we have had a few letdowns this winter. But overall I would grade this winter C+/B- 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Rgem fwiw.. Could be some decent LES somewhere, has shifted a little south with band placement over it's previous runs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Congrats MA/ SE lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 European had us missing one to the south D7/8.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 17 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Rgem fwiw.. Could be some decent LES somewhere, has shifted a little south with band placement over it's previous runs.. That’s on top of my house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Rgem fwiw.. Could be some decent LES somewhere, has shifted a little south with band placement over it's previous runs.. That's double digits over my place, tossed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 RLMAO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: RLMAO My buddy in Austin is scared to leave his house. 3 consecutive snowstorms in last 7 days, crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 58 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Maybe one of Matt’s dustings? 56 minutes ago, Syrmax said: He may jackpot again with a solid dusting. Maybe 0.1" if he finds a few snow grains stacked up just right on a midnight Jebwalk. We need to take pictures of these "dustings" for comparison AND verification processing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 49 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Rgem fwiw.. Could be some decent LES somewhere, has shifted a little south with band placement over it's previous runs.. It's on the OTHER side of me now...lol....I sort of thought that would happen as it looked like winds might be more NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Next one on the euro.. Surface temps ok at first before becoming more marginal but not much precipitation left.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Sums it up. Check out the minima right over WNY. I don’t really care much about duration and snow pack. Give me one or two big synoptic storms and I’ll be happy. If you measure this year by synoptic storms it would be a big fat red F. Expectations play a part and we’ve had a number of storms fall apart at the very last minute which definitely makes it difficult. If I had a single synoptic event like Binghamton had and not another flake, I’d call it an A- winter. Being nickeled and dimes to a long lasting crust of 5” doesn’t do it for me. But, hey, we all different. Glad that is decent for some of you. Delta could be happy if we had 3 high wind events. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Light snow has finally started here after taking quite a while (other than flurries) to break through the dry air and downsloping. Looking at radar, you can easily see the dry air eating away at precip as it moves into the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Places to our north and west (Southern Ontario) and South (Pennsylvania) would say this has probably been an A or B winter. But the zone from Rochester to Syracuse to Northern New England/Maine has had such a failure of a winter. It's definitely been a consistent run this winter. You nailed it. Id give this winter an A. In my back yard 3 snowstorms over 6" with the biggest being 8" Mid November snowstorm that dropped 8" in Toronto and 4" here before turning to rain for a few hours. (so off to a quick start and helps get the winter/christmas spirit going) Thread the needle storm where I got 6.5" but Buffalo got mostly rain Christmas Eve snowstorm GTA wide that dropped 4-8" and a white christmas February 15-16th that dropped 5-9" across most of the GTA and Niagara And I'm on day 23 of snow cover and looks to be a lock to go an entire winter month with more than 1" on the ground. Should probably make it somewhat deep into March as im at 13" on the ground currently. I actually start grading winters worse for April snow haha. Its pointless slop that melts by 10am and just annoys nearly everyone aside from the hardcore weenies haha 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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