TugHillMatt Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Yep. Miss to the north. Miss to the south. Miss to the north. Miss to the south. Throw some weak lake effect snow in there. Same pattern. Another week. I keep hoping maybe this one will work out for us and move north at the last minute...but I remember hoping the same for the other ones that missed us to the south! ha! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 This will be the one time this yr that we need the NW trend or last minute 200 mile jog to the NW and it just doesn't want to happen, just our luck right! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Looks like another lake effect band possible for the western shores of Lake Ontario again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3.4" of fluff in Westmoreland this morning. Temp hit 0° this morning after the skies cleared. Reached 25.1" for the month! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 And the next system is progged to go just north of us causing mixing for lower elevations lol..Gfs continues to like the tug and southern Dacks with that one.. European is colder but light on the precip as usual.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Nice view this morning... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Lesson learned. Never trust the models when they advertise an EPIC week 7 days in advance. This winter remains a D in my book. I care about synoptic storms and not so much duration of snow cover. And I think it’s just about over. March doesn’t seem to want to deliver but ya never know. Short range, long range, medium range- none of them has been good. At least it’s pretty out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Nice view this morning... A lot of open water still on NE side. Pretty remarkable TBH. I thought it would be solid ice by now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 Pattern starts to break down after this weekend. Back to ups and downs and away from consistent cold. I welcome it, was far too cold this morning. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 Average dailys going up. Almost that time Feb 17th- High- 33.5 Low- 19.3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Pattern starts to break down after this weekend. Back to ups and downs and away from consistent cold. I welcome it, was far too cold this morning. Yeah, if it's not gonna snow theres no need for zero degree weather. Sure it would help to hold onto the pack but I want falling snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Yeah this one is about over.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Back to hoping Lake Ontario provides something meaningful instead.... Otherwise, good riddance to a synoptic crapfest of a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Yeah synoptic systems have destroyed this year lol Lake effect wise it hasn't been terrible.. 16", 13", 10", and 8" events with a bunch of minor ones as well.. Biggest synoptic snowfall this year is like 4.5" lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Back to hoping Lake Ontario provides something meaningful instead.... Otherwise, good riddance to a synoptic crapfest of a winter. Yes! Doesn’t get much worse. Hopefully this will be the last in a cycle. I’m still trying to get a place in the Adirondacks so I can get my fix. Property is in short supply up there. Too many disappointments on the south shore to even count. Check please 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 The Monday system trended a little colder.. Still mixes lower elevations.. Probably have a better shot at a few inches with that one even though gfs is probably to high wrt QPF.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Looks almost like a little clipper pattern (at least temporarily) for next week on the GFS. Obviously not the Arctic cold that comes along with the good ones. Or, t could just be a North Pacific wave train. If you want deep snowpack lake effect at this time of the year doesn't do it. The February sun torches it. The several inches on my car is rapidly disappearing. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 19 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah synoptic systems have destroyed this year lol Lake effect wise it hasn't been terrible.. 16", 13", 10", and 8" events with a bunch of minor ones as well.. Biggest synoptic snowfall this year is like 4.5" lol Same here. I think largest synoptic event was Dec 25th almost 7" of concrete before the lake effect event. That was still my best stretch 30" in 2 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I'm still thinking my backyard can scratch and claw to 90" over the next 6 weeks. That would take about 24" of snow. Granted, it'll likely take the slow boat 2" at a time. I thought the same last winter though and even with "bountiful" May snow we still came up a few inches short of 90. Definately a D grade for winter here IMBY at thIs point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 38 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: I care about synoptic storms and not so much duration of snow cover. It's funny how weather is important for different reasons for different people. I would love a good synoptic storm for sure. But I care about a healthy snow pack that sticks around for weeks. I would rather get a a foot and then just keep adding vs 2 feet at once then nothing for weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 38 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Pattern starts to break down after this weekend. Back to ups and downs and away from consistent cold. I welcome it, was far too cold this morning. Lol for once I actually think we’re lucking out...pics in Texas of frozen fish tanks!!! In houses!!! Also burst water pipes and kitchen sinks looking like glaciers...they’re saying the damages that will be found and tallied will exceed the fist of Harvey...damn 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 12 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Lol for once I actually think we’re lucking out...pics in Texas of frozen fish tanks!!! In houses!!! Also burst water pipes and kitchen sinks looking like glaciers...they’re saying the damages that will be found and tallied will exceed the fist of Harvey...damn Texas is soft. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 BGM recorded 1.7 over the past 2 days. Season total now 84.5 which surpasses the annual avg of 83. However, barring another March blockbuster like 2017, this week of disappointment has probably all but shut the door on any chance of making a run toward a Top 5 (=>117.6) or possibly even Top 10 (=>108.6) snowiest winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 25 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Yes! Doesn’t get much worse. Hopefully this will be the last in a cycle. I’m still trying to get a place in the Adirondacks so I can get my fix. Property is in short supply up there. Too many disappointments on the south shore to even count. Check please We have been looking in the near southern tier (Chautauqua and Cattaraugus) for a place with lake frontage, but we haven't seen what we want, and we're not in a hurry, so we can keep looking until we find it. Chautauqua Lake would be ideal, but a single family lakefront house is way out of our price range. The little glacial lakes in northern Chautauqua would be almost perfect - 1300 feet of elevation, good year-round fishing, and situated in the part of the Chautauqua Ridge that jackpots anytime there's a little cold air and a breeze from the west. Bear Lake is at the same elevation only 10 miles SW as that coop observer in Perrysburg who reports at least 200" every winter. I could be happy living in the relative snow desert of the northtowns if I could get all the snow I wanted by driving a little over an hour from home. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 I'm surprised more of you snow weenies don't do more winter activities. Almost every weekend you'll catch me downhill boarding/skiing, cross country skiing, hiking, playing ice hockey or snowmobiling. That's how I get my fill of winter. Staying at home doesn't cut it for me. I play ice hockey every Saturday, usually go to holiday once a night during the week and try to get out and hike/cross country at local areas once a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 So you're telling me there's a chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'm surprised more of you snow weenies don't do more winter activities. Almost every weekend you'll catch me downhill boarding/skiing, cross country skiing, hiking, playing ice hockey or snowmobiling. That's how I get my fill of winter. Staying at home doesn't cut it for me. I play ice hockey every Saturday, usually go to holiday once a night during the week and try to get out and hike/cross country at local areas once a week. I mean if you and the Mrs want to watch our 3 kids... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Euro is anemic. A solid inch! Wooo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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